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Birchcliff Energy (TSE:BIR)
TSX:BIR
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Birchcliff Energy (BIR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BIR

Birchcliff Energy

(TSX:BIR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
â–²(26.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is primarily supported by solid current profitability and a conservatively levered balance sheet. It is held back by weak free-cash-flow conversion and a slight revenue decline, alongside mostly neutral technical indicators and a valuation that looks only average for a cyclical producer.
Positive Factors
Conservative Leverage
Conservative leverage and a sizable equity base give Birchcliff financial flexibility through commodity cycles. Manageable debt obligations can preserve capacity to fund development, absorb weaker pricing, and maintain operational continuity without excessive reliance on refinancing.
Negative Factors
Weak Free-Cash-Flow Conversion
Low and declining free-cash-flow conversion means less of Birchcliff’s accounting profit is available after capital spending. If this persists, it can constrain debt reduction, shareholder distributions, and internally funded growth even while operating cash flow remains strong.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Leverage
Conservative leverage and a sizable equity base give Birchcliff financial flexibility through commodity cycles. Manageable debt obligations can preserve capacity to fund development, absorb weaker pricing, and maintain operational continuity without excessive reliance on refinancing.
Read all positive factors

Birchcliff Energy (BIR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Birchcliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Birchcliff Energy Ltd. operates as an intermediate energy producer, focusing on the acquisition, exploration, development, and extraction of various hydrocarbon resources, including natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids, acro...
How the Company Makes Money
Birchcliff Energy makes money primarily by producing and selling hydrocarbons—natural gas and associated liquids (such as condensate and other natural gas liquids). Revenue is generated when produced volumes are sold at prevailing market-based com...

Birchcliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are resilient but mixed: profitability remains solid for the sector (TTM net income about $96M) and leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.24). Offsetting this are slightly declining revenue (about -5.6% TTM) and weak free-cash-flow conversion (TTM FCF ~$73M, ~17% of net income, down ~43.6% YoY), which increases cyclicality sensitivity.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue720.01M695.60M601.44M699.93M1.20B877.34M
Gross Profit251.72M162.77M309.52M406.52M922.45M616.53M
EBITDA436.99M394.45M366.38M270.92M1.09B647.57M
Net Income95.81M64.87M56.10M9.78M656.83M314.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.54B3.54B3.56B3.25B3.24B3.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.00K35.00K50.00K55.00K74.00K63.00K
Total Debt564.19M618.70M686.93M384.71M145.57M554.57M
Total Liabilities1.23B1.30B1.36B1.03B826.41M1.27B
Stockholders Equity2.31B2.24B2.20B2.23B2.41B1.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow72.81M98.23M-82.69M12.53M556.73M282.89M
Operating Cash Flow423.96M406.00M200.31M320.53M925.27M515.37M
Investing Cash Flow-314.36M-313.56M-293.36M-338.86M-338.54M-247.38M
Financing Cash Flow-109.51M-92.46M93.05M18.32M-586.73M-267.98M

Birchcliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.32
Price Trends
50DMA
6.50
Positive
100DMA
6.42
Positive
200DMA
6.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
68.53
Neutral
STOCH
83.50
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BIR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.72, below the 50-day MA of 6.50, and below the 200-day MA of 6.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.50 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BIR.

Birchcliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$3.38B18.2224.24%3.24%12.71%0.77%
74
Outperform
C$2.69B3.4227.68%5.50%13.63%361.28%
71
Outperform
C$2.90B20.6413.88%6.11%0.67%11.91%
67
Neutral
C$1.92B22.644.91%17.95%13.99%132.54%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
C$2.03B21.454.22%1.63%10.48%23.40%
62
Neutral
C$2.93B-6.46-19.54%2.80%-2.21%-142.44%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
7.38
0.96
14.86%
TSE:AAV
Advantage Energy
11.49
0.36
3.23%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
19.13
9.01
88.96%
TSE:HWX
Headwater Exploration
14.21
7.10
99.72%
TSE:FRU
Freehold Royalties
17.67
4.37
32.81%
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
27.99
11.15
66.20%

Birchcliff Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Birchcliff boosts 2026 guidance and expands gas marketing after strong Q2
Positive
Aug 12, 2026
Birchcliff Energy reported strong second-quarter 2026 results, with average production of 77,562 boe/d despite a planned 35-day turnaround at its Pouce Coupe gas plant that temporarily reduced volumes. Current output has risen to about 87,500 boe/...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026