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Aris Mining (TSE:ARIS)
TSX:ARIS
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Aris Mining (ARIS) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ARIS

Aris Mining

(TSX:ARIS)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.00
▲(5.19% Upside)
Aris Mining's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, which are offset by concerns about profitability and valuation. The company's growth prospects are promising, but high P/E ratio and cash flow challenges need to be addressed to improve the stock's attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in gold revenue demonstrates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term growth potential.
Operational Efficiency
Improved AISC margins indicate enhanced cost management and operational efficiency, which can sustain profitability in fluctuating market conditions.
Production Capacity Expansion
Increased processing capacity at Segovia positions Aris Mining to meet higher production targets, supporting future revenue growth and market share expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Concerns
Low net profit margins indicate difficulties in translating revenue into profit, which could hinder long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity issues, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Development Challenges
Challenges in the Marmato development could delay production ramp-up, impacting future revenue streams and project timelines.

Aris Mining (ARIS) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aris Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAris Mining (ARIS) is a dynamic mining company focused on the acquisition, development, and operation of precious metals mining projects in the Americas. The company operates primarily in the gold sector and is committed to sustainable practices while delivering value to its stakeholders. With a portfolio that includes operating mines and advanced exploration projects, Aris Mining leverages its expertise and innovative technologies to optimize production and enhance resource recovery.
How the Company Makes MoneyAris Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's core revenue streams include direct sales from its mining operations, which involve processing ore to produce gold bullion and concentrate. Additionally, Aris Mining may engage in strategic partnerships with other mining companies to share resources and expertise, potentially leading to joint ventures that enhance operational efficiency and profitability. The company's revenue is further bolstered by fluctuating market prices for gold, allowing it to capitalize on favorable market conditions. Moreover, cost management initiatives and investments in technology to improve mining processes contribute to higher margins and overall financial performance.

Aris Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong quarter for Aris Mining with record gold production and revenue, significant advancements in project development, and improved cost efficiency. While there are high initial capital expenditures for new projects, the company's financial performance and strategic project pipeline position them well for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Gold Production and Revenue
Gold production in Q3 totaled 73,236 ounces, a 25% increase over Q2. Gold revenue totaled $253 million in Q3, up 27% over Q2.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA was $131 million for Q3 and more than $350 million on a trailing 12-month basis. Ended Q3 with a cash balance of $418 million.
Significant Project Advancements
Construction of the Marmato Bulk Mining Zone is progressing with the first gold pour expected in H2 2026. Pre-feasibility study for Soto Norte and preliminary economic assessment for Toroparu completed, outlining strong financial returns.
Improved Cost Efficiency
AISC margin increased by 36% compared to Q2. Owner mining all-in sustaining cost was $1,452 per ounce in Q3, trending towards the lower end of the full year guidance of $1,450 to $1,600 per ounce.
Negative Updates
High Initial Capital Expenditure for New Projects
Toroparu requires $820 million of initial construction capital. Soto Norte requires $625 million of initial capital expenditure.
Company Guidance
During the Aris Mining Third Quarter 2025 Results Call, the company reported a substantial increase in gold production and financial performance. Gold production in Q3 was 73,236 ounces, marking a 25% increase over Q2, contributing to a total of 187,000 ounces for the first nine months of the year. This positions Aris Mining within the midpoint of their full-year production guidance of 230,000 to 270,000 ounces. Financially, the company achieved record gold revenue of $253 million, a 27% increase from Q2, and an adjusted EBITDA of $131 million. Aris Mining ended Q3 with a cash balance of $418 million, up from $310 million in Q2. The company is also advancing major projects, including the Marmato Bulk Mining Zone, with first gold pour expected in H2 2026, and progressing studies for the Soto Norte and Toroparu projects, indicating a strong growth pipeline.

Aris Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aris Mining shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable with balanced leverage and strong equity. Cash flow performance is improving, but challenges remain in converting earnings into free cash flow due to capital expenditures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Aris Mining demonstrated solid revenue growth with a notable increase of 9.77% TTM over the previous year. The gross profit margin improved to 35.19% TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 4.94% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin decreased slightly to 26.84% TTM, suggesting some operational cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's financial leverage is moderate with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.63 TTM, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity improved to 3.29% TTM, which is a positive sign of profitability but still relatively low. The equity ratio stands at 40.44% TTM, suggesting a strong equity foundation.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow showed improvement, reducing its deficit significantly TTM compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 6.84 TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, highlighting ongoing capital expenditures impacting free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue646.78M510.60M447.67M399.96M382.61M374.98M
Gross Profit303.90M195.84M185.91M204.14M198.71M192.20M
EBITDA245.50M152.23M153.49M166.33M170.39M177.38M
Net Income5.08M24.58M11.42M-4.86M186.23M-4.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.19B1.99B1.35B1.24B998.38M650.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments310.16M252.53M194.62M299.46M323.56M122.51M
Total Debt520.66M520.57M382.93M436.06M318.07M145.15M
Total Liabilities974.00M911.40M728.22M740.75M519.86M454.34M
Stockholders Equity930.13M798.57M624.65M495.89M478.53M153.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.19M-40.21M-9.02M-38.05M17.09M73.58M
Operating Cash Flow258.68M141.24M104.70M76.95M80.55M136.38M
Investing Cash Flow-221.22M-198.77M-180.28M-54.58M-229.72M-72.31M
Financing Cash Flow152.64M121.29M-33.33M-39.32M359.67M-23.61M

Aris Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.26
Price Trends
50DMA
13.38
Positive
100DMA
11.52
Positive
200DMA
9.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
48.38
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ARIS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.09, above the 50-day MA of 13.38, and above the 200-day MA of 9.19, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ARIS.

Aris Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$887.21M38.2411.47%58.97%849.69%
63
Neutral
C$2.73B37.715.13%62.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$768.16M50.213.81%110.25%
56
Neutral
C$3.07B-28.56-14.53%14.41%-350.79%
41
Neutral
C$1.01B-79.33%-193.85%
31
Underperform
C$1.46B-15.43-28.38%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ARIS
Aris Mining
14.26
8.28
138.46%
TSE:ASM
Avino Silver & Gold
5.92
4.27
258.79%
TSE:EDR
Endeavour Silver
10.57
4.01
61.13%
TSE:GGD
GoGold Resources
2.35
0.91
63.19%
TSE:ABRA
AbraSilver Resource
6.35
3.47
120.49%
TSE:SLS
Solaris Resources
8.79
5.64
179.05%

Aris Mining Corporate Events

Aris Mining Appoints Environmental Leader Brigitte Baptiste to Board
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation announced the appointment of Brigitte Baptiste to its Board of Directors. Baptiste, a renowned Colombian environmental leader and academic, is expected to enhance the company’s commitment to responsible mining and sustainable growth in Colombia and Guyana. Her inclusion reflects Aris Mining’s strategic focus on integrating environmental and social considerations into its operations, potentially strengthening its industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Reports Record Q3 2025 Results Amid Segovia Ramp-Up
Oct 30, 2025

Aris Mining Corporation reported record financial results for Q3 2025, with revenue reaching $253.5 million, a 27% increase from Q2 2025 and a 93% rise from Q3 2024. The company’s financial strength is bolstered by a significant cash balance of $417.9 million and reduced net debt to $64 million. The Segovia ramp-up has been a key driver of this growth, with gold production increasing by 25% to 73,236 ounces. The company is on track with its growth projects, including the construction of the Bulk Mining Zone at Marmato, expected to yield first gold in the second half of 2026. These developments position Aris Mining for continued growth and strategic advancement in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Hold with a C$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Releases Q3 2025 Financial and Operational Highlights
Oct 30, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation released its management’s discussion and analysis for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025. The report highlights the company’s financial and operational performance, providing insights into its cash flow, capital resources, and financial condition. The release is significant as it offers stakeholders a detailed view of Aris Mining’s current standing and future potential, emphasizing its commitment to growth and expansion in the gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Hold with a C$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Unveils Promising PEA Results for Toroparu Gold Project
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation announced positive results from the preliminary economic assessment (PEA) of its Toroparu Gold Project in Guyana. The PEA highlights a 21.3-year mine life with an average annual production of 235,000 ounces of gold and an after-tax net present value of $1.8 billion at a gold price of $3,000 per ounce. This development marks a significant growth opportunity for Aris Mining, following its merger with GCM Mining and the strategic reassessment of the project. The company plans to advance the project towards construction with a prefeasibility study targeted for completion in 2026, positioning Toroparu as a major contributor to Guyana’s emerging gold mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Hold with a C$13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Releases Economic Assessment for Toroparu Project
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation released a NI 43-101 Technical Report for the Toroparu Project in the Cuyuni-Mazaruni Region of Guyana. This preliminary economic assessment outlines the project’s potential economic viability, including development plans, capital and operating costs, and production estimates. The report’s findings are crucial for stakeholders as they provide insights into the project’s future operations and potential impact on the company’s market positioning. The assessment also highlights various risks and assumptions associated with the project, reflecting the complex nature of mining operations in foreign jurisdictions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining to Release Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation announced it will release its Q3 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025, followed by a conference call on October 30, 2025, to discuss the results. This announcement is part of Aris Mining’s strategic efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and investors as the company continues to expand its operations and enhance its market position in the gold mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aris Mining Achieves 25% Growth in Q3 2025 Gold Production
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

Aris Mining reported a 25% increase in gold production in Q3 2025, with 73,236 ounces produced, driven by the expanded Segovia mill. The company is on track to meet its full-year production guidance, supported by a strong financial position and favorable gold prices. This growth positions Aris Mining for a robust finish to 2025 and further momentum into 2026, enhancing its industry standing and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Hold with a C$15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Aris Mining Sells Juby Gold Project to Focus on High-Growth Operations
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Aris Mining has completed the sale of its Juby Gold Project in Ontario, Canada, to McFarlane Lake Mining Limited for US$22 million. This transaction is part of Aris Mining’s strategy to concentrate on its high-growth gold operations in Colombia and Guyana, potentially enhancing its market position and operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Aris Mining Ensures Safe Recovery of Workers at La Reliquia Mine
Positive
Sep 24, 2025

Aris Mining reported the safe recovery of all 23 workers trapped underground during a shaft collapse at the La Reliquia Mine, a partner to the Segovia Operations. The incident did not affect Segovia’s regular operations, highlighting the company’s effective emergency response and commitment to safety. This event underscores Aris Mining’s resilience and operational stability, reinforcing its position in the gold mining industry and maintaining trust with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Responds to Incident at Segovia Partner Mine
Sep 23, 2025

On September 22, 2025, a collapse occurred at the La Reliquia Mine, a third-party operation within Aris Mining’s Segovia title, trapping 23 workers, including five Aris Mining employees. All workers are safe, and rescue operations are underway with coordinated efforts from Aris Mining and La Reliquia’s workforce. The incident highlights Aris Mining’s commitment to safety and its swift response to emergencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining to Join S&P/TSX Composite Index
Sep 8, 2025

Aris Mining Corporation announced on September 8, 2025, that its common shares will be added to the S&P/TSX Composite Index on September 22, 2025. This inclusion reflects the company’s growing momentum and positions it among Canada’s leading public companies. With ongoing projects like the Segovia mill and Marmato Bulk Mining Zone, Aris Mining is on track to double its annual gold production, enhancing its industry standing and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Reports Successful Ramp-Up at Segovia Operations
Sep 5, 2025

Aris Mining Corporation announced a successful ramp-up at its Segovia Operations following the commissioning of a second mill in June 2025, which increased processing capacity by 50%. This expansion has led to a significant rise in mill throughput and gold production, with milling rates averaging 2,415 tonnes per day in July and August. The company remains on track to meet its full-year 2025 production guidance of 230,000 to 275,000 ounces of gold. This development enhances Aris Mining’s operational capabilities and strengthens its position in the gold mining industry, benefiting stakeholders by potentially increasing revenue and market share.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Unveils Positive Prefeasibility Study for Soto Norte Project
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation announced positive results from the prefeasibility study of its Soto Norte Gold Project in Colombia. The study highlights the project’s robust economics, low operating costs, and strong environmental and social design features. The project is expected to have a 22-year mine life with significant contributions to local employment and community development. The study also emphasizes the project’s commitment to water protection and minimal environmental impact, positioning Soto Norte as a leading gold project in the Americas.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Releases Soto Norte Prefeasibility Study
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation released a NI 43-101 Technical Report for the Soto Norte Project in Santander, Colombia. The report, effective as of August 18, 2025, outlines a prefeasibility study that includes projections and estimates related to the project’s development, costs, and potential production. This announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on advancing its mining operations in Colombia, which could have significant implications for its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$12.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Aris Mining Shines in Q2 Earnings Call
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Aris Mining Corporation was marked by a largely positive sentiment, reflecting the company’s strong financial performance, increased production, and successful project expansions. While some challenges were acknowledged, such as noncash earnings volatility and issues at Marmato, these were being managed effectively and did not significantly detract from the company’s overall positive trajectory.

Aris Mining’s Shareholder Base Diversifies Following Mubadala’s Share Sale
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Aris Mining Corporation addressed recent volatility in its share price, attributing it to Mubadala Investment Company’s sale of its entire 15.75 million shareholding in Aris Mining. This transaction, completed via a block trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange, has diversified the company’s shareholder base. CEO Neil Woodyer noted that the removal of this overhang, along with the expiry of exchange-traded warrants, positions Aris Mining for future growth. The company is advancing its Pre-Feasibility Study for the Soto Norte project, with results expected in September, which could impact its operational and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aris Mining Reports Record Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Aris Mining Corporation reported strong financial results for Q2 2025, with record revenue of $200.2 million, a 30% increase from Q1 2025, driven by higher gold prices and increased sales volumes. The company’s cash balance rose to $310 million, and adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled compared to Q2 2024. Aris Mining is advancing its growth pipeline with significant investments in its Marmato Bulk Mining Zone and Segovia operations, positioning itself for stronger production in the latter half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ARIS) stock is a Buy with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aris Mining stock, see the TSE:ARIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025