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Algoma Central (ALC) AI Stock Analysis

TSE:ALC

Algoma Central

(TSX:ALC)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:CAD 34.00â–²(10.17% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/09/26

The overall score reflects solid earnings power and asset growth, offset by weak, volatile free cash flow and increased leverage, which together constrain balance-sheet strength. A low valuation multiple and enhanced shareholder returns via a sizable dividend increase and special dividend support a favourable long-term value profile.[10][13] However, the share price has already risen sharply this year and momentum indicators are stretched, implying limited near-term upside and a higher risk of a pullback even as recent corporate actions bolster liquidity and investor returns.[10]

Positive Factors
Improving earnings powerThe sustained increase in net income indicates that Algoma Central has been converting its shipping operations into greater earnings power. Continued improvement across successive periods can support reinvestment, strengthen resilience through the shipping cycle, and provide a durable base for shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversionOperating profits are not translating into cash as efficiently as desired, which weakens the quality of reported earnings. If this conversion remains modest, Algoma Central may have less internally generated funding for fleet investment, debt service, and shareholder distributions.

Algoma Central (ALC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%TSE:ALC+87.09%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 1.24B
Dividend Yield
5.34%
Average Volume (3M)
8,963
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.6
Beta (1Y)
0.57
Revenue Growth
17.55%
EPS Growth
85.13%
Country
Canada
Employees
1,705
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Marine Shipping

Algoma Central Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Algoma Central Corporation is a Canadian enterprise specializing in marine freight transport, principally managing a diverse fleet of dry and liquid bulk vessels across the Great Lakes – St. Lawrence Waterway. Its business is structured into six key...

How the Company Makes Money

Algoma Central makes money by operating vessels for customers that need bulk commodities moved by water, earning revenue primarily from freight and charter arrangements. Its key revenue streams are (1) dry-bulk shipping: transporting cargoes such as...

Algoma Central Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financial performance is solid on the income statement, with strong revenue growth and margins, but rising leverage and persistently weak free cash flow materially lower the quality and durability of earnings.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue828.19M761.06M703.44M721.22M677.94M598.87M
Gross Profit328.69M132.09M632.09M655.17M612.51M531.02M
EBITDA204.27M163.11M147.21M154.06M186.26M162.72M
Net Income171.23M143.03M91.64M82.87M84.47M63.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B1.77B1.52B1.34B1.37B1.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.05M37.16M3.54M32.83M141.97M108.94M
Total Debt770.79M536.44M412.59M377.37M402.79M392.22M
Total Liabilities1.01B762.36M624.11M565.85M639.67M559.80M
Stockholders Equity1.05B1.01B899.85M778.31M726.02M640.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-36.48M-123.83M-10.22M4.96M62.26M130.50M
Operating Cash Flow126.74M135.37M155.39M124.21M133.13M162.38M
Investing Cash Flow-236.81M-212.68M-183.75M-127.78M-65.87M-16.23M
Financing Cash Flow96.97M112.82M-5.55M-105.76M-42.37M-141.02M

Algoma Central Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price30.86

Price Trends

50DMA24.84Positive
100DMA23.43Positive
200DMA21.87Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.95Positive
RSI69.77Neutral
STOCH42.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.66, above the 50-day MA of 24.84, and above the 200-day MA of 21.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALC.

Algoma Central Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

TSE:ALC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:BDTTSE:BDT76OutperformCAD 3.77B62.9713.41%1.24%7.38%-39.80%
TSE:CHRTSE:CHR76OutperformCAD 673.50M14.929.32%1.37%-3.60%―
TSE:CJTTSE:CJT69NeutralCAD 1.27B27.776.30%1.75%0.80%-66.47%
TSE:MTLTSE:MTL69NeutralCAD 2.78B22.5110.58%2.92%11.69%18.18%
TSE:WJXTSE:WJX68NeutralCAD 729.44M11.1512.07%4.16%-4.10%82.03%
TSE:ALCTSE:ALC68NeutralCAD 1.24B6.6418.59%5.34%17.55%85.13%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%TSE:ALCTSE:BDTTSE:CHRTSE:MTLTSE:WJXTSE:CJTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:ALC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:ALCAlgoma Central30.5013.7782.31%
TSE:BDTBird Construction68.0138.68131.91%
TSE:CHRChorus Aviation29.846.8429.71%
TSE:MTLMullen Group Ltd.28.8115.25112.48%
TSE:WJXWajax Corporation33.6810.1543.13%
TSE:CJTCargojet (OTC)85.816.067.60%

Algoma Central Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Algoma Central Ups Convertible Debenture Financing to Back Fleet Growth

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

Algoma Central Corporation has increased its previously announced bought deal offering of 6.20% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures to $70 million, citing strong investor demand and granting underwriters a $10.5 million over-allotment optio...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Algoma Central launches $62.5 million convertible debenture financing

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

Algoma Central Corporation has launched a $62.5 million offering of 6.20% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures, split between a $50 million bought deal public offering led by CIBC Capital Markets and a $12.5 million non-brokered private plac...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Algoma Central Sees Strong Preliminary Q3 Results on Higher Freight Rates and Fleet Expansion

Positive
Oct 20, 2026

Algoma Central Corporation reported preliminary third-quarter 2026 results showing revenue of about $288 million, up roughly 26% from a year earlier, and net earnings of approximately $54 million, aided by higher freight rates, expanded dry-bulk capa...

Business Operations and StrategyDividends

Algoma Central Boosts Quarterly Dividend and Declares $1 Special Payout

Positive
Oct 7, 2026

Algoma Central Corporation’s board has approved a 48% increase in its regular quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.31 per common share, and has declared a special dividend of $1.00 per common share, both designated as eligible dividends for Can...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Algoma Central Lifts Q2 Earnings and Expands Financing for Fleet Growth

Positive
Aug 7, 2026

Algoma Central reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $258.3 million and net earnings of $35.6 million, up from $211.7 million and $32.9 million a year earlier, driven by strong performance in its domestic dry-bulk, product tanker, and ocean self-un...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026