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Manulife Financial (TSE:MFC)
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Manulife Financial (MFC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:MFC

Manulife Financial

(NYSE:MFC)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$49.00
â–²(4.59% Upside)
Manulife Financial's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are the primary drivers of its overall stock score. The company's solid revenue growth, profitability, and effective cash flow management contribute to a stable financial foundation. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, with the stock trading above key moving averages and showing positive momentum. Valuation metrics are reasonable, offering a balanced risk-reward profile. The absence of recent earnings call data and notable corporate events does not impact the score significantly.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for Manulife's products and services, supporting long-term market position and expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash flow management ensures Manulife can fund operations and growth initiatives, enhancing financial stability and shareholder value.
Balance Sheet Health
A stable debt-to-equity ratio reflects prudent financial management, providing flexibility for future investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline Risk
Past revenue declines highlight potential vulnerabilities in market demand or operational challenges, which could impact future growth if not addressed.
Equity and Debt Volatility
Volatility in equity and debt levels may indicate financial instability, affecting investor confidence and the company's ability to raise capital efficiently.
Profit Margin Sustainability
While current margins are strong, historical declines suggest challenges in maintaining profitability, which could pressure future earnings and strategic initiatives.

Manulife Financial (MFC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Manulife Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionManulife Financial Corporation (MFC) is a leading international financial services group headquartered in Toronto, Canada. The company operates primarily in the segments of insurance and wealth management, offering a diverse range of products and services including life insurance, health insurance, retirement solutions, mutual funds, and investment services. Manulife serves millions of customers across Canada, the United States, and Asia, positioning itself as a key player in the global financial landscape and focusing on delivering tailored financial solutions to meet the varying needs of individuals and businesses.
How the Company Makes MoneyManulife Financial generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from premiums collected from its insurance policies, including life and health insurance. The company also earns money through investment income generated from its portfolio of assets, which includes bonds, stocks, and real estate investments. Additionally, Manulife receives fees from managing mutual funds and other investment products. The firm benefits from its partnerships with financial advisors and institutions, which help distribute its products and expand its market reach. Furthermore, the company leverages technology and digital platforms to enhance customer engagement and streamline operations, ultimately contributing to its profitability.

Manulife Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in APE sales, positive net flows in Global WAM, and a strategic acquisition. However, it also noted challenges such as unfavorable U.S. mortality experience and elevated credit loss provisions. The sentiment is balanced with optimism for future growth and strategic alignment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Business Growth
APE sales increased 15% from the prior year with more than 30% growth in both Asia and the U.S. Strong sales supported significant growth in value metrics with 37% growth in new business CSM and 20% growth in new business value.
Positive Net Flows in Global WAM
Global WAM delivered positive net flows of nearly $1 billion, demonstrating the strength of its diversified platform.
Acquisition of Comvest Credit Partners
Manulife announced the acquisition of a 75% stake in Comvest Credit Partners for USD 937.5 million, expected to be immediately accretive to core EPS, core ROE, and core EBITDA margin.
Strong Capital Position
The LICAT capital ratio remained strong at 136% and the financial leverage ratio was 23.6%, continuing to stay well below the 25% medium-term target.
Continued Growth in Asia
Asia's APE increased 31% from the prior year, with substantial growth in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Singapore.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable U.S. Mortality Experience
The U.S. segment's core earnings decreased by 53% from the prior year due to unfavorable mortality experience in the life business.
Elevated Expected Credit Loss Provision
The net investment result was impacted by a net charge in the expected credit loss provision, primarily related to certain below-investment-grade loan investments in the U.S.
Impact of eMPF Transition
The transition to the new eMPF platform in Hong Kong is expected to have a full quarterly run rate impact of approximately USD 25 million beginning in the first quarter of 2026.
Decline in U.S. Core Earnings
U.S. core earnings decreased due to unfavorable mortality experience, lower investment spreads, and strengthened ECL provisions.
Company Guidance
During the Manulife Financial second quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company announced its acquisition of a 75% stake in Comvest Credit Partners for USD 937.5 million, which is expected to be immediately accretive to core earnings per share (EPS), core return on equity (ROE), and core EBITDA margin. The acquisition will scale Manulife's private markets business, enhancing its private credit capabilities with Comvest's USD 14.7 billion platform. Manulife's LICAT ratio is expected to decrease by less than 3 percentage points due to the acquisition but remains strong at 136%. The second quarter results showed continued top-line growth, with insurance segments generating over 30% growth in new business contractual service margin (CSM) and 2% growth in core EPS from the previous year. However, profitability was affected by elevated U.S. mortality and a provision in expected credit loss, with core EPS growth normalizing to 7% when excluding the latter. The U.S. business saw a 40% increase in annual premium equivalent (APE) sales despite core earnings decreasing due to unfavorable mortality experience and lower investment spreads. Overall, Manulife remains confident in achieving its 2027 targets, including an 18%+ ROE, supported by strong underlying business growth and strategic capital deployment.

Manulife Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Manulife Financial exhibits strong financial health with solid revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow management. The company has effectively managed its leverage and equity, contributing to a stable financial foundation. Occasional fluctuations in revenue and equity are noted, but the company's consistent performance in key financial metrics positions it well for future growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Manulife Financial has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 6.15% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend in revenue generation. The gross profit margin is healthy at 32.25%, and the net profit margin is solid at 12.70%, reflecting efficient cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, suggesting strong operational performance. However, the company experienced a significant revenue decline in 2022, which could pose a risk if repeated.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.27, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 11.91%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the overall financial stability appears solid. Historical fluctuations in equity and debt levels suggest potential volatility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Manulife Financial demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.0, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profits. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not available for TTM, but past data shows robust cash flow coverage. Free cash flow growth is positive, albeit modest, at 0.7% in the TTM.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.46B45.58B42.31B23.62B59.84B77.12B
Gross Profit15.72B15.11B13.68B1.00B25.27B23.30B
EBITDA7.50B7.26B6.59B-3.56B9.66B8.61B
Net Income6.05B5.63B5.46B-2.10B6.66B5.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets977.47B978.82B875.57B848.94B917.64B880.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.77B25.79B20.34B19.15B22.59B26.17B
Total Debt13.28B14.16B12.74B12.36B11.86B13.99B
Total Liabilities926.22B925.86B826.85B792.56B858.77B827.34B
Stockholders Equity49.85B51.54B47.30B46.80B58.41B51.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.61B26.49B20.42B16.63B23.16B20.05B
Operating Cash Flow28.61B26.49B20.42B16.63B23.16B20.05B
Investing Cash Flow-20.88B-18.46B-13.72B-18.40B-24.44B-14.15B
Financing Cash Flow-6.07B-4.17B-5.04B-1.83B-2.05B663.00M

Manulife Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.85
Price Trends
50DMA
44.22
Positive
100DMA
43.06
Positive
200DMA
42.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.72
Negative
RSI
65.31
Neutral
STOCH
88.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MFC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.47, above the 50-day MA of 44.22, and above the 200-day MA of 42.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:MFC.

Manulife Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$46.18B15.5711.96%3.95%-19.88%-13.92%
77
Outperform
C$47.29B20.3216.27%1.86%2.51%44.44%
76
Outperform
C$54.79B14.8615.09%3.98%-20.64%14.88%
75
Outperform
$52.87B7.5818.65%0.98%10.08%24.18%
73
Outperform
C$15.47B15.5114.34%2.29%-25.13%16.40%
72
Outperform
C$79.58B15.0211.57%3.67%9.37%32.06%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:MFC
Manulife Financial
46.85
3.50
8.07%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
82.12
2.52
3.16%
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
2,210.63
369.66
20.08%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
59.90
13.28
28.48%
TSE:IAG
iA Financial Corporation Inc
161.33
36.43
29.16%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
280.17
17.06
6.49%

Manulife Financial Corporate Events

Manulife Financial Schedules Board Meeting to Review Quarterly Financials
Oct 17, 2025

Manulife Financial Corporation has announced a board of directors meeting scheduled for November 12, 2025, in Toronto, Canada, where the financial statements for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, will be presented for approval. This meeting is significant as it will review the company’s financial performance, which could impact its strategic decisions and stakeholder confidence.

Manulife Declares Second Quarter Dividend for 2025
Sep 4, 2025

Manulife Financial Corporation has announced a cash dividend for its common shares, declaring a dividend of CAD 0.44 per share for the second quarter of the financial year ending December 31, 2025. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at a rate of HKD 2.484812 per share, with an exchange rate of CAD 1 to HKD 5.6473. The ex-dividend date is set for August 19, 2025, with a payment date on September 19, 2025. This announcement reflects Manulife’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may influence investor sentiment and market positioning.

Manulife Announces Second Quarter Dividend for 2025
Aug 29, 2025

Manulife Financial Corporation announced a cash dividend of CAD 0.44 per share for the second quarter of 2025, payable in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of CAD 1 to HKD 5.6473. The dividend will be paid on September 19, 2025, with a record date of August 20, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may impact its financial standing and attractiveness to investors.

Manulife Updates Code of Business Conduct and Ethics
Aug 11, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Manulife Financial Corporation announced amendments to its Code of Business Conduct and Ethics, reinforcing its dedication to ethical conduct and legal compliance. The updated Code emphasizes the importance of identifying and avoiding conflicts of interest and mandates annual training for all employees. This move is part of Manulife’s ongoing efforts to maintain its reputation for integrity and honesty, which are considered vital assets for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MFC) stock is a Buy with a C$50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manulife Financial stock, see the TSE:MFC Stock Forecast page.

Manulife Financial Releases 2Q25 Financial Report
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Manulife Financial Corporation submitted its 2Q25 Form 6-K to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which includes the Management’s Discussion and Analysis and Unaudited Interim Consolidated Financial Statements for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. This filing is significant as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, impacting stakeholders’ understanding of its market position and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MFC) stock is a Buy with a C$41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manulife Financial stock, see the TSE:MFC Stock Forecast page.

Manulife Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Acquisition
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Manulife Financial Corporation announced its second-quarter results for 2025, highlighting continued strong momentum in new business growth and earnings. The company reported core earnings of $1.7 billion, a slight decrease from the previous year, but net income attributed to shareholders increased significantly by $0.7 billion compared to the second quarter of 2024. The company also announced a strategic acquisition of a 75% stake in Comvest Credit Partners, which is expected to enhance its Global Wealth and Asset Management platform. This acquisition, alongside strong performance in Asia and Global WAM, positions Manulife for future growth and underscores its commitment to delivering shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MFC) stock is a Buy with a C$41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manulife Financial stock, see the TSE:MFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 19, 2025