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Alpha Teknova (TKNO) AI Stock Analysis

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TKNO

Alpha Teknova

(NASDAQ:TKNO)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$8.50â–¼(-1.39% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

Overall score reflects weak financial performance driven by ongoing losses and negative cash flow, partially offset by a constructive earnings outlook (raised 2026 guidance and improving margins/cash usage). Technicals are broadly neutral and valuation provides limited support given the negative P/E and no dividend.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthRecord revenue and accelerating custom-order activity indicate strengthening demand across biopharma, diagnostics, and life science tools. A broader customer base and growth in existing accounts can improve operating leverage and support more durable expansion as programs advance.
Negative Factors
Persistent LossesTeknova has not yet demonstrated sustained earnings power, despite improving losses. Continued operating and net losses limit internally generated capital, increase dependence on financing, and leave the business more exposed if revenue growth or margin improvement falls short.

Alpha Teknova (TKNO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%TKNO+93.71%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$541.00M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
451.81K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-29.2
Beta (1Y)
2.05
Revenue Growth
15.45%
EPS Growth
12.64%
Country
US
Employees
158
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Alpha Teknova Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alpha Teknova, Inc. supplies vital scientific reagents to the life sciences sector across both the United States and international markets. These crucial materials play a key role in facilitating the exploration, evolution, and ultimate production of...

Alpha Teknova Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:16.96%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly constructive. Teknova reported record revenue, 22% year-over-year growth, an 86% increase in Clinical Solutions revenue, improved gross margin and reduced cash usage, while raising its 2026 revenue guidance and strengthening its balance sheet with a $46 million equity raise. The main challenges were continued weakness in early-stage biotech and catalog demand, ongoing operating losses and cash outflow, and the fact that the biotech recovery remains early and not yet fully established.

Positive Updates

Second Consecutive Record Revenue Quarter
Third-quarter 2026 revenue reached a company record and increased 22% year over year, marking the first time in more than four years that growth exceeded 20%.

Negative Updates

Catalog Growth Remains Below Long-Term Targets
Catalog products, which represented approximately 60% of 2025 revenue, grew at a mid-single-digit rate year to date. Large-pharma catalog sales grew in the mid-teens, but total catalog growth was offset by headwinds from other biopharma end markets, including cell and gene therapy and contract manufacturing.

Company Guidance

Teknova increased 2026 total revenue guidance to $46 million to $48 million, implying approximately 16% revenue growth at the midpoint compared to 2025; it expects gross margin to land in the mid-to-upper 30s percentage range for the full year 2026 and is still targeting mid-to-high 30s percentage for gross margin for the full year of 2026, with Q4 expected to be similar in the mid-to-high 30s, while sales and marketing spend is expected to be approximately $2 million for the full year 2026 and operating expenses are forecast to be at least $8 million in the fourth quarter of 2026. Each additional dollar of revenue is estimated to drop through at a marginal cash rate of approximately 70%, adjusted EBITDA is expected to become positive in the range of $52 million to $57 million in annualized revenue, and if end markets are stronger in 2027 and stepped-up commercial investments bear fruit as anticipated, the company should report a positive adjusted EBITDA quarter before the end of 2027; free cash outflow is expected to be similar in the fourth quarter to the $1.4 million reported in the third quarter and less than $8 million for the full year 2026, while 2027 revenue guidance will be provided with full year 2026 results.

Alpha Teknova Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Revenue is growing modestly and losses have narrowed versus prior years, and leverage is relatively moderate; however, the company remains unprofitable with negative operating margins and still-negative operating/free cash flow, keeping financial quality below average.

Income Statement

34Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.95M40.52M37.74M36.68M41.42M36.89M
Gross Profit16.45M13.44M7.23M10.30M17.48M17.62M
EBITDA-10.23M-10.15M-19.57M-25.54M-25.69M-9.16M
Net Income-15.97M-17.26M-26.75M-36.78M-47.47M-9.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets94.68M103.58M118.77M128.59M152.26M166.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.56M5.91M30.40M28.48M42.24M87.52M
Total Debt26.99M15.15M30.17M30.46M42.31M11.87M
Total Liabilities34.90M34.81M36.38M38.55M52.38M23.31M
Stockholders Equity59.78M68.78M82.39M90.04M99.89M143.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.28M-9.79M-13.52M-26.75M-55.55M-28.95M
Operating Cash Flow-5.47M-8.65M-12.39M-18.81M-27.40M-9.07M
Investing Cash Flow8.45M10.70M-27.27M-7.74M-28.15M-17.52M
Financing Cash Flow448.00K151.00K14.89M12.80M10.27M110.79M

Alpha Teknova Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price8.62

Price Trends

50DMA7.82Positive
100DMA6.91Positive
200DMA5.07Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.16Negative
RSI59.54Neutral
STOCH82.21Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TKNO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.38, above the 50-day MA of 7.82, and above the 200-day MA of 5.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TKNO.

Alpha Teknova Risk Analysis

Alpha Teknova disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alpha Teknova reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The use of artificial intelligence (AI) and other emerging technologies in our operations may expose us to additional operational, competitive, regulatory, legal, cybersecurity, intellectual property, compliance, and other risks.Q2, 2026
2.We will no longer qualify as an "emerging growth company" as of December 31, 2026 and, as a result, we will become subject to certain additional regulatory requirements.Q2, 2026
3.Due to the significant resources required to access new markets, we must make strategic and operational decisions to prioritize certain markets, and product offerings, and there can be no assurance that we will allocate our resources in a way that results in meaningful revenue or capitalizes on potential new markets.Q4, 2024

Alpha Teknova Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TKNO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ETONETON82Outperform$1.95B38.75104.82%―100.61%―
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
TKNOTKNO50Neutral$549.14M-29.22-24.95%―15.45%12.64%
EVOEVO50Neutral$614.69M-3.10-25.63%―0.31%-19.37%
LFCRLFCR50Neutral$241.46M-3.39381.59%―――
EBSEBS45Neutral$311.06M-1.20-61.33%―-17.72%-456.60%
ORGOORGO39Underperform$121.39M-0.89-46.25%―-24.33%-1171.44%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%TKNOEBSLFCREVOORGOETONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TKNO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TKNOAlpha Teknova, Inc.8.624.1994.58%
EBSEmergent Biosolutions6.04-4.28-41.47%
LFCRLifecore Biomedical, Inc.6.40-1.49-18.88%
EVOEvotec Ag (Adr)1.69-1.48-46.69%
ORGOOrganogenesis Holdings1.05-5.16-83.09%
ETONEton Pharmaceuticals68.4051.52305.21%

Alpha Teknova Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Alpha Teknova announces underwritten equity offering to fund growth

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

On October 20, 2026, Alpha Teknova entered an underwriting agreement with TD Securities (USA) LLC and William Blair & Company for an underwritten public offering of 8,000,000 shares of common stock at a public price of $5.00 per share. Underwriters w...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026