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SIGA Technologies Inc (SIGA)
NASDAQ:SIGA
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SIGA Technologies (SIGA) AI Stock Analysis

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SIGA

SIGA Technologies

(NASDAQ:SIGA)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(7.03% Upside)
SIGA Technologies' overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and undervaluation, despite technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook with growth potential tempered by operational challenges.

SIGA Technologies (SIGA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SIGA Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSIGA Technologies, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel solutions for serious diseases, particularly those caused by bioterrorism and infectious diseases. The company operates primarily within the pharmaceutical sector and is known for its lead product, TPOXX (tecovirimat), which is an antiviral treatment approved for the treatment of smallpox. SIGA is also involved in research and development efforts to expand its pipeline of antiviral therapeutics.
How the Company Makes MoneySIGA Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products, notably TPOXX, which is sold to government agencies and healthcare providers for use in biodefense and public health preparedness. The company has established contracts with the U.S. government for stockpiling and procurement, which provide a significant and stable revenue stream. Additionally, SIGA may earn revenue through research and development collaborations, licensing agreements, and grants aimed at developing new antiviral therapies. Strategic partnerships with governmental and non-governmental organizations further enhance its financial stability and contribute to its earnings.

SIGA Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial position and positive growth in product sales, driven by continued engagement with government contracts and international sales potential. However, challenges such as potential delays due to the government shutdown, questions from the EMA, and quarterly revenue fluctuations were also noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
SIGA maintains a robust cash balance of $172 million with no debt, providing flexibility and enabling the company to pursue opportunities and manage risks effectively.
Significant Product Revenue Growth
Product sales for the 9 months ended September 30, 2025, were approximately $86 million, outpacing the previous year's sales of $54 million for the same period.
Continued Government Engagement
Ongoing active engagement with the U.S. government regarding TPOXX development, manufacturing, and procurement, highlighting the importance of TPOXX as a critical medical countermeasure for smallpox.
International Sales Growth Potential
Multiple international sales expected in 2026 based on engagements and interest from key stakeholders across strategic markets.
Pipeline Advancements
Progress in the development of TPOXX for pediatric use and post-exposure prophylaxis program (PEP) for smallpox, with a targeted FDA submission for the PEP indication in 2026.
Negative Updates
Impact of Government Shutdown
Potential delays in CDC analysis of samples for the PEP program due to the government shutdown, impacting timelines.
EMA Concerns About TPOXX
The European Medicines Agency (EMA) raised questions about TPOXX's efficacy in treating mpox, although SIGA remains confident in its responses.
Quarterly Revenue Fluctuations
A relatively quiet third quarter with a net loss of $6 million, reflecting the inherent quarterly fluctuations in SIGA's business model.
Higher Cost of Goods Sold
Cost of goods as a percentage of sales was higher in the third quarter due to semi-fixed costs even with limited product deliveries.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, SIGA Technologies reported product revenues of approximately $86 million for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, with $53 million from oral TPOXX and $26 million from IV TPOXX sales under the 19C BARDA contract, and $6 million from international oral TPOXX sales. The company highlighted a relatively quiet third quarter following a strong second quarter, which included $79 million in product revenues. Pre-tax operating income for the first nine months was about $33 million, while the third quarter saw a pre-tax operating loss of approximately $10 million. The net income for the nine months was around $29 million, equating to a fully diluted income per share of $0.40, whereas the net loss for the third quarter was about $6 million, or $0.09 per share. SIGA ended the quarter with a cash balance of $172 million and no debt, maintaining a strong financial position. The company also noted $26 million in outstanding orders from the U.S. government, expected for delivery in 2026, and ongoing strategic discussions with government and international stakeholders concerning future TPOXX procurement and development.

SIGA Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SIGA Technologies shows strong financial health with high profitability, a robust balance sheet with no debt, and sufficient cash flow generation. However, stagnant revenue growth and a decline in operating cash flow are areas to monitor closely for future financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
SIGA Technologies has shown strong profitability with consistent gross and net profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin remains high at 100% in the latest year, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin, although slightly reduced from the previous year, is still robust at 42.7%. However, the revenue growth has been stagnant, with a slight decrease of 0.9% from the prior year, which could suggest a plateau in sales expansion.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with no debt, reflected in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio is strong at 88.3%, indicating financial stability and a low-risk profile. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 27.4%, showcasing effective use of equity financing to generate profits. The absence of debt reduces financial risk significantly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow has decreased by 48.6% compared to the previous year, which could be a concern if the trend continues. However, free cash flow remains positive, indicating the company can cover its capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is satisfactory, showing that profits are backed by cash generation. The decline in cash flow growth rate is a potential risk area.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue172.25M138.72M139.92M110.78M133.67M124.96M
Gross Profit124.60M95.12M122.09M77.82M107.13M99.22M
EBITDA92.43M70.52M84.16M43.22M89.62M85.03M
Net Income74.47M59.21M68.07M33.90M69.45M56.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets231.60M244.34M254.35M195.04M214.73M149.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments171.96M155.40M150.15M98.79M103.14M117.89M
Total Debt0.00546.82K564.01K528.17K466.83K449.94K
Total Liabilities28.12M28.53M57.49M24.88M40.41M20.04M
Stockholders Equity203.48M215.80M196.86M170.16M174.31M129.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow116.31M48.72M94.78M41.61M11.44M71.50M
Operating Cash Flow116.64M48.76M94.80M41.61M11.49M71.52M
Investing Cash Flow-332.31K-42.45K-21.69K0.00-50.62K-15.50K
Financing Cash Flow-43.62M-43.46M-43.42M-45.96M-26.20M-114.60M

SIGA Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.54
Price Trends
50DMA
8.55
Negative
100DMA
7.96
Negative
200DMA
6.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
24.49
Positive
STOCH
42.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SIGA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.23, below the 50-day MA of 8.55, and below the 200-day MA of 6.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SIGA.

SIGA Technologies Risk Analysis

SIGA Technologies disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SIGA Technologies reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SIGA Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$582.87M7.0943.61%3.86%-2.60%
71
Outperform
$539.38M7.8513.92%-29.91%
58
Neutral
$1.21B-7.14%26.73%-310.39%
53
Neutral
$680.97M2.83%13.61%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$503.63M-2.64%-4.21%7.78%
45
Neutral
$725.84M-26.32%-56.54%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SIGA
SIGA Technologies
6.54
-0.31
-4.53%
DVAX
Dynavax
10.83
-2.18
-16.76%
EBS
Emergent Biosolutions
10.16
-1.61
-13.68%
ESPR
Esperion
2.66
0.38
16.67%
ORGO
Organogenesis Holdings
5.63
2.35
71.65%
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics
6.04
0.58
10.62%

SIGA Technologies Corporate Events

SIGA Technologies’ Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for SIGA Technologies highlighted a generally positive sentiment, underscored by the company’s strong financial standing and growth in product sales. The call conveyed optimism driven by ongoing government contracts and international sales prospects. However, it also acknowledged challenges such as possible delays from a government shutdown, inquiries from the EMA, and inherent quarterly revenue fluctuations.

SIGA Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 7, 2025

SIGA Technologies, Inc. is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company specializing in the development of antiviral medicines to combat infectious diseases, with a primary focus on orthopoxviruses. The company is known for its flagship product, TPOXX, which is approved for the treatment of smallpox and other related diseases in various countries.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025