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Volato Group (SOAR)
:SOAR
US Market
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Volato Group (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

Volato Group

(SOAR)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.18
▲(15.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/12/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and inconsistent financial performance (volatile profitability, sharp TTM revenue contraction, negative/weak equity history, and uneven free cash flow). Technicals are neutral with some near-term stabilization but longer-term trend weakness versus the 200DMA. Valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend yield, while corporate events are a modest positive due to improved balance-sheet/gov/strategy steps but with added integration and financing execution risk.
Positive Factors
Marketplace growth
Rapid growth in Vaunt cash sales, projected recurring revenue, and paid memberships indicates improving customer adoption of the marketplace. If retained, this recurring and usage-linked traction can diversify the revenue base and provide a stronger foundation for future operating scale.
Negative Factors
Revenue contraction and losses
The sharp TTM revenue decline and return to net losses show that the 2025 improvement was not yet durable. Continued contraction could weaken operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make it harder for the company to establish consistent profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Marketplace growth
Rapid growth in Vaunt cash sales, projected recurring revenue, and paid memberships indicates improving customer adoption of the marketplace. If retained, this recurring and usage-linked traction can diversify the revenue base and provide a stronger foundation for future operating scale.
Read all positive factors

Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volato Group, Inc. operates within the private aviation industry. The company offers a comprehensive range of services, including fractional aircraft ownership, professional aircraft management, jet card programs, flexible deposit schemes, and on-...
How the Company Makes Money
Volato Group’s revenue model is primarily tied to providing access to private jet aircraft and managing the operations required to deliver those flights. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) fees associated with fractional ownership or usage...

Volato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a high-risk turnaround with weak consistency: Income Statement score is low due to sharp volatility and a TTM revenue drop (~44%) with a return to net losses; Balance Sheet quality is pressured by prior negative equity (despite low debt in the latest TTM); and Cash Flow remains uneven with TTM free cash flow back negative after a better 2025.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
31
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.18M78.56M46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit7.80M14.69M7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA3.22M6.25M-14.56M-4.30M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income-3.57M5.17M-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.54M11.95M46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.08M7.63M2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt107.00K4.36M33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities10.07M13.80M62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity3.46M-1.85M-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-466.00K3.28M-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-1.22M
Operating Cash Flow101.00K3.49M-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-1.22M
Investing Cash Flow-8.46M-8.08M-115.00K1.78M5.14M-281.52M
Financing Cash Flow12.09M5.28M4.31M37.46M22.56M285.32M

Volato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Positive
100DMA
0.18
Positive
200DMA
0.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
56.76
Neutral
STOCH
21.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.20, below the 50-day MA of 0.17, and below the 200-day MA of 0.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOAR.

Volato Group Risk Analysis

Volato Group disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Volato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
46
Neutral
$1.29B-3.33-120.34%9.95%-1057.36%
46
Neutral
$114.33M-1.407.78%2.36%16.15%32.19%
43
Neutral
$10.23M-0.19-270.63%-67.20%
43
Neutral
$62.96M-0.23182.56%3.14%48.61%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOAR
Volato Group
0.22
-1.13
-83.69%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
5.63
0.35
6.63%
FLYX
flyExclusive
1.12
-3.44
-75.44%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
0.48
-3.71
-88.50%

Volato Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Volato Group completes transformative merger and leadership change
Positive
Sep 11, 2026
The merger closed on September 11, 2026, following amendments that set Aligned securityholders’ post‑closing stake at 95% of Volato’s fully diluted Class A common stock through new Series A and Series A‑1 non‑voting c...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volato Group Extends flyExclusive Aircraft Management Agreement
Positive
Sep 4, 2026
Volato Group, Inc. entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement with flyExclusive, Inc. on September 2, 2024, under which flyExclusive became the exclusive provider of certain aircraft management services and agreed to market designated ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Volato to Merge Alignment Engine, Pivot to AI Infrastructure
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026
On August 25, 2026, Volato Group entered into a definitive agreement to merge Alignment Engine into a wholly owned subsidiary in a transaction valuing the AI infrastructure company at about $500 million. The deal will reposition Volato around adva...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Volato Group Appoints New Independent Director and Updates CFO Compensation
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 22, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. appointed David Allen as an independent Class III director, confirming his eligibility under U.S. regulatory independence standards and naming him chair of the Audit Committee as well as a member of the Nominat...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Volato Group Reports Strong Q2 Results, Marketplace Growth
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
Volato Group reported preliminary results on July 6, 2026, showing a strengthened balance sheet at the end of the second quarter, with all convertible notes eliminated, total non-deferred liabilities cut about 75% year-over-year to roughly $5 mill...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Completes June Registered Direct Equity Offering
Neutral
Jul 2, 2026
On June 28, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. entered a Securities Purchase Agreement with accredited investors for a registered direct offering of 11,038,767 Class A common shares at $0.165 per share, with the deal closing on June 30, 2026. The transactio...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Volato Group Announces Registered Direct Equity Offering
Neutral
Jun 29, 2026
On June 28, 2026, Volato Group entered into a securities purchase agreement with accredited investors to sell 11,038,767 Class A common shares at $0.165 each in a registered direct offering, for expected gross proceeds of about $1.82 million. The ...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Raises Capital Through Private Share Placement
Neutral
Jun 18, 2026
On June 7, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement with Catheter Precision, Inc. and institutional investors to issue 6,500,000 shares of its Class A common stock at $0.34 per share in a private placement. The transac...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 12, 2026