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Volato Group
(SOAR)
Select Model
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$0.29
▲(83.12% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/30/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and inconsistent financial performance (recent TTM revenue decline, net losses, and uneven cash generation). Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages, but momentum looks somewhat stretched (high RSI). Corporate events are a meaningful positive catalyst (major AI infrastructure contract and merger-driven strategic shift), partially offsetting the financial risk, while valuation remains challenged given negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Contracted AI Infrastructure Demand
The $1.17 billion, four-year take-or-pay commitment provides strong demand visibility for Volato’s AI infrastructure pivot, while $133 million of contractual prepayments can help fund deployment. Long-term contracted capacity may reduce reliance on spot demand as the platform scales.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and Renewed Losses
The sharp TTM revenue contraction and return to net losses show that the 2025 improvement was not yet durable. Persistent earnings volatility can limit internally funded investment, weaken planning visibility and increase pressure on management to execute the new strategy.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracted AI Infrastructure Demand
The $1.17 billion, four-year take-or-pay commitment provides strong demand visibility for Volato’s AI infrastructure pivot, while $133 million of contractual prepayments can help fund deployment. Long-term contracted capacity may reduce reliance on spot demand as the platform scales.
Read all positive factors
Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$17.81M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)83.72M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.65
Revenue Growth-67.20%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees13
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryAirlines, Airports & Air Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.14
Shares Outstanding53,633,247
10 Day Avg. Volume122,904,444
30 Day Avg. Volume83,724,490
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)-1.52
Price to Sales (P/S)0.04
P/FCF Ratio0.86
Enterprise Value/Market Cap>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit>-0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Volato Group, Inc. operates within the private aviation industry. The company offers a comprehensive range of services, including fractional aircraft ownership, professional aircraft management, jet card programs, flexible deposit schemes, and on-...
How the Company Makes Money
Volato Group’s revenue model is primarily tied to providing access to private jet aircraft and managing the operations required to deliver those flights. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) fees associated with fractional ownership or usage...
Volato Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
31
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 30.18M | 78.56M | 46.29M | 35.57M | 96.71M | 1.06M |
| Gross Profit | 7.80M | 14.69M | 7.50M | 4.79M | 2.43M | 202.56K |
| EBITDA | 3.22M | 6.25M | -14.56M | -4.30M | -8.43M | -1.42M |
| Net Income | -3.57M | 5.17M | -40.65M | -52.82M | -9.37M | -1.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.54M | 11.95M | 46.30M | 71.71M | 30.26M | 14.99M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 9.08M | 7.63M | 2.16M | 14.49M | 5.78M | 1.61M |
| Total Debt | 107.00K | 4.36M | 33.07M | 29.68M | 29.80M | 6.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 10.07M | 13.80M | 62.63M | 56.96M | 35.93M | 7.08M |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.46M | -1.85M | -16.33M | 14.75M | -5.67M | 3.61M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -466.00K | 3.28M | -17.06M | -31.03M | -21.69M | -1.22M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 101.00K | 3.49M | -16.92M | -30.39M | -21.43M | -1.22M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -8.46M | -8.08M | -115.00K | 1.78M | 5.14M | -281.52M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 12.09M | 5.28M | 4.31M | 37.46M | 22.56M | 285.32M |
Volato Group Technical Analysis
Positive
0.16
Price Trends
0.19
Positive
0.18
Positive
0.31
Negative
Market Momentum
0.03
Negative
58.79
Neutral
55.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.22, below the 50-day MA of 0.19, and below the 200-day MA of 0.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOAR.
Volato Group Risk Analysis
Volato Group disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Volato Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
51 Neutral | $148.37M | -0.52 | 182.56% | ― | 3.14% | 48.61% | |
49 Neutral | $17.81M | -0.26 | -270.63% | ― | -67.20% | ― | |
46 Neutral | $1.37B | -3.55 | -120.34% | ― | 9.95% | -1057.36% | |
46 Neutral | $124.54M | -1.49 | 7.78% | 2.36% | 16.15% | 32.19% |
* Industrials Sector Average
SOAR
Volato Group
0.29
-1.33
-81.90%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
5.97
1.62
37.24%
FLYX
flyExclusive
1.21
-3.01
-71.33%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
1.13
-3.60
-76.11%
Volato Group Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volato Secures Transformational AI Infrastructure Master Services Deal
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
On September 22, 2026, Volato’s Alignment Engine subsidiary signed a master services agreement with a large AI customer for dedicated, single-tenant GPU clusters and platform services, anchored at its Ohio AI infrastructure campus. The two i...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Volato Group completes transformative merger and leadership change
Positive
Sep 11, 2026
The merger closed on September 11, 2026, following amendments that set Aligned securityholders’ post‑closing stake at 95% of Volato’s fully diluted Class A common stock through new Series A and Series A‑1 non‑voting c...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volato Group Extends flyExclusive Aircraft Management Agreement
Positive
Sep 4, 2026
Volato Group, Inc. entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement with flyExclusive, Inc. on September 2, 2024, under which flyExclusive became the exclusive provider of certain aircraft management services and agreed to market designated ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Volato to Merge Alignment Engine, Pivot to AI Infrastructure
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026
On August 25, 2026, Volato Group entered into a definitive agreement to merge Alignment Engine into a wholly owned subsidiary in a transaction valuing the AI infrastructure company at about $500 million. The deal will reposition Volato around adva...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Volato Group Appoints New Independent Director and Updates CFO Compensation
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 22, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. appointed David Allen as an independent Class III director, confirming his eligibility under U.S. regulatory independence standards and naming him chair of the Audit Committee as well as a member of the Nominat...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Volato Group Reports Strong Q2 Results, Marketplace Growth
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
Volato Group reported preliminary results on July 6, 2026, showing a strengthened balance sheet at the end of the second quarter, with all convertible notes eliminated, total non-deferred liabilities cut about 75% year-over-year to roughly $5 mill...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Completes June Registered Direct Equity Offering
Neutral
Jul 2, 2026
On June 28, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. entered a Securities Purchase Agreement with accredited investors for a registered direct offering of 11,038,767 Class A common shares at $0.165 per share, with the deal closing on June 30, 2026. The transactio...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.