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Volato Group (SOAR)
:SOAR
US Market
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Volato Group (SOAR) AI Stock Analysis

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SOAR

Volato Group

(SOAR)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$0.30
▲(88.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
The score is held down primarily by weak and inconsistent financial performance (TTM revenue contraction, renewed losses, and negative/uneven cash generation). Technical indicators are a meaningful offset with improving momentum (price above key short/mid-term averages and positive MACD), but valuation support is limited because losses make P/E uninformative and no dividend yield is provided.
Positive Factors
Contracted AI Infrastructure Demand
The take-or-pay structure provides unusually strong contractual visibility for the AI infrastructure pivot, while prepayments can help fund deployment. A large anchor customer and multiyear commitments may support utilization, revenue durability, and disciplined expansion of the Ohio platform.
Negative Factors
Revenue Contraction and Renewed Losses
The recent revenue pullback and return to losses show that the legacy operating model has not yet produced consistent earnings power. This raises execution risk during the business transition and may require the new AI strategy to deliver rapidly enough to offset weaker recent performance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracted AI Infrastructure Demand
The take-or-pay structure provides unusually strong contractual visibility for the AI infrastructure pivot, while prepayments can help fund deployment. A large anchor customer and multiyear commitments may support utilization, revenue durability, and disciplined expansion of the Ohio platform.
Read all positive factors

Volato Group (SOAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Volato Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volato Group, Inc. operates within the private aviation industry. The company offers a comprehensive range of services, including fractional aircraft ownership, professional aircraft management, jet card programs, flexible deposit schemes, and on-...
How the Company Makes Money
Volato Group’s revenue model is primarily tied to providing access to private jet aircraft and managing the operations required to deliver those flights. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) fees associated with fractional ownership or usage...

Volato Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround-like but unstable fundamentals. Income statement performance is volatile with a strong 2025 rebound but a sharp TTM revenue decline and a return to net losses. The balance sheet shows mixed quality (low debt in TTM, but negative equity in 2024–2025), and cash flow consistency is weak with TTM free cash flow back to negative.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
31
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.18M78.56M46.29M35.57M96.71M1.06M
Gross Profit7.80M14.69M7.50M4.79M2.43M202.56K
EBITDA3.29M6.25M-14.56M-4.24M-8.43M-1.42M
Net Income-3.57M5.17M-40.65M-52.82M-9.37M-1.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.54M11.95M46.30M71.71M30.26M14.99M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.08M7.63M2.16M14.49M5.78M1.61M
Total Debt107.00K4.36M33.07M29.68M29.80M6.00M
Total Liabilities10.07M13.80M62.63M56.96M35.93M7.08M
Stockholders Equity3.46M-1.85M-16.33M14.75M-5.67M3.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-466.00K3.28M-17.06M-31.03M-21.69M-1.22M
Operating Cash Flow101.00K3.49M-16.92M-30.39M-21.43M-1.22M
Investing Cash Flow-8.46M-8.08M-115.00K1.78M5.14M-281.52M
Financing Cash Flow12.09M5.28M4.31M37.46M22.56M285.32M

Volato Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.20
Positive
100DMA
0.19
Positive
200DMA
0.29
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
59.98
Neutral
STOCH
31.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, below the 50-day MA of 0.20, and below the 200-day MA of 0.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SOAR.

Volato Group Risk Analysis

Volato Group disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Volato Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Volato Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$121.24M-0.43182.56%―3.14%48.61%
46
Neutral
$14.71M-0.27-270.63%―-67.20%―
46
Neutral
$1.40B-3.51-120.34%―9.95%-1057.36%
46
Neutral
$124.54M-1.647.78%2.36%16.15%32.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOAR
Volato Group
0.31
-1.90
-86.07%
ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings
5.93
1.98
50.13%
FLYX
flyExclusive
1.31
-2.59
-66.41%
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility, Inc.
0.93
-4.07
-81.42%

Volato Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Volato Group Establishes Major Equity Financing Facility
Positive
Oct 9, 2026
On October 8, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. entered into a $1 billion equity line of credit agreement with DFU, LLC, giving the company the discretionary right to sell newly issued Class A common shares over a 36‑month investment period, subject ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Volato Secures Transformational AI Infrastructure Master Services Deal
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
On September 22, 2026, Volato’s Alignment Engine subsidiary signed a master services agreement with a large AI customer for dedicated, single-tenant GPU clusters and platform services, anchored at its Ohio AI infrastructure campus. The two i...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Volato Group completes transformative merger and leadership change
Positive
Sep 11, 2026
The merger closed on September 11, 2026, following amendments that set Aligned securityholders’ post‑closing stake at 95% of Volato’s fully diluted Class A common stock through new Series A and Series A‑1 non‑voting c...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Volato Group Extends flyExclusive Aircraft Management Agreement
Positive
Sep 4, 2026
Volato Group, Inc. entered into an Aircraft Management Services Agreement with flyExclusive, Inc. on September 2, 2024, under which flyExclusive became the exclusive provider of certain aircraft management services and agreed to market designated ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Volato to Merge Alignment Engine, Pivot to AI Infrastructure
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026
On August 25, 2026, Volato Group entered into a definitive agreement to merge Alignment Engine into a wholly owned subsidiary in a transaction valuing the AI infrastructure company at about $500 million. The deal will reposition Volato around adva...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Volato Group Appoints New Independent Director and Updates CFO Compensation
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 22, 2026, Volato Group, Inc. appointed David Allen as an independent Class III director, confirming his eligibility under U.S. regulatory independence standards and naming him chair of the Audit Committee as well as a member of the Nominat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026