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Steven Madden (SHOO)
NASDAQ:SHOO
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Steven Madden (SHOO) AI Stock Analysis

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SHOO

Steven Madden

(NASDAQ:SHOO)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(9.86% Upside)
Steven Madden's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with moderate growth and profitability. The technical analysis indicates positive momentum, while the valuation suggests the stock is somewhat expensive. The earnings call provided a mixed outlook, with challenges in the wholesale segment but strong performance in direct-to-consumer sales and a positive Q4 outlook.
Positive Factors
Direct-to-Consumer Growth
Strong growth in the direct-to-consumer segment indicates successful adaptation to consumer trends, enhancing long-term revenue stability.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Effective integration of acquisitions like Kurt Geiger boosts market presence and diversifies revenue streams, supporting sustainable growth.
Improved Gross Margin
Higher gross margins reflect better cost management and pricing strategies, contributing to long-term profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Tariff-Related Challenges
High tariffs on imports create cost pressures and revenue challenges, potentially impacting long-term profitability in the wholesale segment.
Decrease in Wholesale Revenue
Declining wholesale revenue suggests potential market share loss and highlights challenges in maintaining traditional distribution channels.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can erode profit margins, indicating potential inefficiencies that may impact long-term financial health.

Steven Madden (SHOO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Steven Madden Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSteven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, markets, and sells fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel for women, men, and children in the United States and internationally. Its Wholesale Footwear segment provides footwear under the Steve Madden, Steven by Steve Madden, Madden Girl, BB Dakota, Dolce Vita, DV Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, GREATS, Blondo, Anne Klein, Mad Love, Superga, Madden NYC, and COOL Planet brands, as well as private label footwear. The company's Wholesale Accessories/Apparel segment offers handbags, apparel, small leather goods, belts, soft accessories, fashion scarves, wraps, gifting, and other accessories under the Steve Madden, BB Dakota, Anne Klein, Betsey Johnson, Cejon, Madden NYC, and Dolce Vita brands, as well as private label handbag and accessories to department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, online retailers, specialty stores, and independent stores. Its Direct-to-Consumer segment operates Steve Madden and Superga full-price retail stores, Steve Madden outlet stores, and Steve Madden shop-in-shops, as well as digital e-commerce websites, including SteveMadden.com, DolceVita.com, betseyjohnson.com, Blondo.com, GREATS.com, and Superga-USA.com. The company's Licensing segment licenses its Steve Madden, Madden Girl, and Betsey Johnson trademarks. Its First Cost segment operates as a buying agent for footwear products under private labels for national chains, specialty retailers, and value-priced retailers. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 214 brick-and-mortar retail stores that included 147 Steve Madden full-price stores, 66 Steve Madden outlet stores, and 1 Superga store, as well as 6 e-commerce websites. Steven Madden, Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneySteven Madden generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear and accessories across multiple channels. The company operates a combination of direct-to-consumer sales through its branded retail stores and e-commerce platforms, as well as wholesale distribution to department stores, specialty retailers, and third-party online marketplaces. Key revenue streams include the sale of women’s footwear, which constitutes the largest segment, followed by men’s and children’s footwear and accessories. Additionally, Steven Madden engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other brands and influencers to expand its market reach and enhance brand visibility. The company also benefits from seasonal trends in fashion, driving sales during peak retail periods. Effective marketing strategies and a strong brand identity further contribute to its revenue generation.

Steven Madden Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant challenges due to tariffs affecting wholesale revenue and net income. However, there were strong performances in the direct-to-consumer segment and successful integration of Kurt Geiger, providing a positive outlook for the fourth quarter.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Direct-to-Consumer Growth
Direct-to-consumer revenue increased 76.6% to $221.5 million. Excluding the newly acquired Kurt Geiger, the direct-to-consumer revenue increased 1.5%.
Successful Acquisition Integration
The integration of Kurt Geiger London is on track, with comp sales up mid-teens in the third quarter. The brand is seeing strong momentum and is expanding into international markets.
Improved Gross Margin
Consolidated gross margin was 43.4%, up from 41.6% in Q3 2024, driven by the higher mix of direct-to-consumer business due to Kurt Geiger.
Positive Fourth Quarter Outlook
The company expects revenue to increase 27% to 30% compared to Q4 2024, with earnings per share expected to be in the range of $0.41 to $0.46.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Challenges
New tariffs on Chinese imports reached 145%, leading to wholesale order reductions and shipment delays. This resulted in substantial pressure on both revenue and earnings in Q3.
Decrease in Wholesale Revenue
Wholesale revenue was $442.7 million, down 10.7% compared to Q3 2024. Excluding Kurt Geiger, wholesale revenue decreased 19%.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were $243.4 million or 36.4% of revenue, compared to $174.2 million or 27.9% of revenue in Q3 2024.
Decline in Net Income
Net income attributable to Steve Madden Limited for the quarter was $30.4 million or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $64.8 million or $0.91 per diluted share in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, Steve Madden Ltd. provided guidance for the fourth quarter, anticipating a revenue increase of 27% to 30% compared to Q4 2024, with earnings per share expected to be in the range of $0.41 to $0.46. The company experienced a challenging third quarter, with consolidated revenue at $667.9 million, marking a 6.9% increase from the same quarter in 2024. However, excluding the impact of the newly acquired Kurt Geiger, revenue decreased by 14.8%. Wholesale revenue was down 10.7% year-over-year, primarily due to tariff-related issues, while direct-to-consumer revenue saw a significant rise of 76.6%, bolstered by the inclusion of Kurt Geiger. The company's gross margin increased to 43.4% from 41.6% in Q3 2024, primarily due to the higher mix of DTC from Kurt Geiger. Despite the challenges, Steve Madden's underlying consumer demand remained strong, with notable performance in footwear categories like boots and dress shoes, and marketing efforts driving brand awareness among Gen Z and Millennials. Looking forward, the company is optimistic about improved financial performance in Q4 2025, supported by strategic pricing actions and sourcing initiatives to mitigate gross margin pressure.

Steven Madden Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steven Madden shows robust revenue growth and solid cash flow management, crucial for sustaining operations. However, declining profitability metrics and increased leverage are concerns. The company needs to improve operational efficiency and control costs to enhance margins and profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Steven Madden has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $1.86 billion in 2021 to $2.32 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 40.9% TTM, indicating solid profitability. However, the Net Profit Margin has decreased to 4.0% in TTM 2025 from 9.3% in 2021, which could be a concern. The EBIT Margin at 5.8% in TTM also shows a decline, indicating increased operational costs.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased from 0.13 in 2021 to 0.42 in TTM 2025, reflecting increased leverage. However, the Equity Ratio remains strong at 44.0% in TTM, reflecting balanced financial stability. Return on Equity decreased from 23.5% in 2021 to 11.1% in TTM 2025, indicating reduced profitability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The Free Cash Flow remains strong, although it decreased from $249.5 million in 2022 to $132.7 million in TTM 2025. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio in TTM is strong, reflecting efficient cash conversion, though there has been a decrease in free cash flow growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36B2.28B1.98B2.12B1.87B1.20B
Gross Profit965.11M936.93M832.41M873.84M767.50M464.54M
EBITDA109.70M258.01M235.24M302.22M257.28M66.92M
Net Income56.27M169.39M171.55M216.06M190.68M-18.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.00B1.41B1.35B1.26B1.36B1.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments108.86M203.41M219.81M289.80M263.54M287.17M
Total Debt349.79M152.99M138.88M108.63M110.83M132.85M
Total Liabilities1.11B535.77M499.91M414.13M535.00M347.39M
Stockholders Equity850.84M847.72M829.60M831.55M812.10M776.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.13M172.19M209.77M249.53M152.85M37.64M
Operating Cash Flow171.48M198.10M229.24M267.88M159.46M44.21M
Investing Cash Flow-412.20M-39.49M-99.89M5.52M-3.21M-4.88M
Financing Cash Flow210.22M-167.91M-200.94M-215.83M-184.65M-57.07M

Steven Madden Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.32
Price Trends
50DMA
32.96
Positive
100DMA
29.17
Positive
200DMA
28.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Positive
RSI
66.36
Neutral
STOCH
36.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHOO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.63, above the 50-day MA of 32.96, and above the 200-day MA of 28.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SHOO.

Steven Madden Risk Analysis

Steven Madden disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Steven Madden reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Steven Madden Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$213.07M10.428.67%2.12%4.13%53.56%
70
Outperform
$269.01M11.139.57%9.76%-3.64%-16.12%
69
Neutral
$2.39B25.8311.09%2.25%7.80%-48.10%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$1.79B21.3427.52%1.72%-2.83%
56
Neutral
$351.97M5.979.50%2.46%-5.31%-62.20%
47
Neutral
$65.37M-43.20%-31.07%-8386.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHOO
Steven Madden
37.32
-5.72
-13.29%
RCKY
Rocky Brands
29.29
9.14
45.36%
VRA
Vera Bradley
2.45
-2.82
-53.51%
WEYS
Weyco Group
31.35
-6.31
-16.76%
WWW
Wolverine World Wide
16.72
1.00
6.36%
CAL
Caleres
11.38
-18.27
-61.62%

Steven Madden Corporate Events

Steven Madden Reports Q3 2025 Earnings with Revenue Growth
Nov 6, 2025

Steven Madden, Ltd. is a prominent designer and marketer of fashion-forward footwear, accessories, and apparel, operating in the retail and wholesale sectors with a diverse range of brands and a strong presence in both physical and online retail spaces.

Steve Madden’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Steve Madden presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting both challenges and opportunities. While the company faced significant hurdles due to tariffs impacting wholesale revenue and net income, there were notable successes in the direct-to-consumer segment and the integration of Kurt Geiger, which bodes well for the fourth quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Steven Madden Reports Q3 Revenue Growth Amid Tariff Challenges
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Steven Madden, Ltd. announced its third-quarter financial results, revealing a 6.9% revenue increase to $667.9 million compared to the same period in 2024. Despite challenges from new tariffs on U.S. imports, the company saw positive consumer response to its Fall collections, particularly the Steve Madden brand. However, operating income and net income saw declines, attributed to increased operating expenses and tariff impacts. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per share, payable on December 26, 2025. Looking ahead, Steve Madden anticipates a 27% to 30% revenue increase in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by strategies including tariff mitigation and the acquisition of Kurt Geiger.

The most recent analyst rating on (SHOO) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Steven Madden stock, see the SHOO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025