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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN)
NASDAQ:SHEN

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) AI Stock Analysis

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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co

(NASDAQ:SHEN)

52Neutral
Shenandoah Telecommunications faces several challenges, notably profitability issues and bearish technical indicators, which weigh on its stock score. While the earnings call highlighted potential growth areas, such as Glo Fiber expansion and commercial sales, these positives are balanced by financial and market challenges. Recent corporate events could offer strategic improvements, but overall, the stock is currently rated at a relatively low score due to these compounding issues.
Positive Factors
Revenue per User
Glo Fiber subscribers have routinely opted for faster speed tiers resulting in average revenue per user increase.
Subscriber Growth
The rate of quarterly adds has been rising as the network has gotten bigger.
Negative Factors
Debt Exposure
SHEN’s stock continues to remain exposed to the Company using debt to build its network while ignoring how adjusted EBITDA is rising faster than forecast.
Revenue Recognition
SHEN changed the recognition of $2.6 million in commercial revenue resulting in the Company missing the revenue estimate.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co (SHEN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShenandoah Telecommunications Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of broadband communication services and cell tower colocation space in the Mid-Atlantic portion of the United States. Its Broadband segment offers broadband, video, and voice services to residential and commercial customers in Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Kentucky, via hybrid fiber coaxial cable under the Shentel brand, fiber optic services under the Glo Fiber brand, and fixed wireless network services under the Beam brand name. This segment leases fiber and provides Ethernet and wavelength fiber optic services. In addition, the company offers voice and digital subscriber line telephone services. The company's Tower segment owns 220 cell towers and leases colocation space on the towers. Shenandoah Telecommunications Company was founded in 1902 and is based in Edinburg, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyShenandoah Telecommunications Co generates revenue through multiple streams. A significant portion comes from providing wireless services, including voice, text, and data plans to individual and business customers. Additionally, the company earns from its broadband services, offering high-speed internet connectivity to residential and commercial clients. Cable television subscriptions also contribute to the company's income, as it delivers a variety of TV packages and on-demand services. Moreover, Shenandoah Telecommunications benefits from partnerships and agreements with other telecommunications providers, which can include roaming agreements, infrastructure sharing, and network expansion collaborations, further bolstering its revenue streams.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shenandoah Telecommunications has faced mixed financial performance. The income statement reveals profitability challenges with a negative net profit margin and operational weaknesses. The balance sheet is relatively stable, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, but increased debt and lower return on equity are concerns. Cash flow management issues are evident, with negative free cash flow to net income ratio, although operating cash flow remains positive.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown fluctuation, with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margins have been relatively stable, but the net profit margin has turned negative in the latest period, indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show operational weaknesses, exacerbated by recent losses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Shenandoah Telecommunications has maintained a stable equity base and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, though there is a noticeable increase in total debt. The equity ratio indicates a healthy level of equity. However, the return on equity has been negatively impacted by recent losses, suggesting challenges in generating shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reflects challenges in free cash flow generation, with significant capital expenditures outpacing operating cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting potential cash flow management issues. Operating cash flow remains positive, providing some stability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
328.06M287.38M267.37M245.24M220.78M
Gross Profit
199.95M181.28M159.82M142.94M132.57M
EBIT
-28.59M9.62M5.03M13.00M-1.15M
EBITDA
76.32M78.27M67.43M60.91M46.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
190.39M8.04M-8.38M7.93M2.63M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
46.27M139.25M44.06M84.34M195.40M
Total Assets
1.74B1.21B977.72M890.73M2.03B
Total Debt
432.30M352.73M128.26M56.62M738.02M
Net Debt
386.03M213.48M84.20M-27.72M542.62M
Total Liabilities
739.23M561.56M339.71M248.46M1.45B
Stockholders Equity
918.58M652.67M638.01M642.27M582.39M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-256.50M-142.78M-114.71M-411.04M166.30M
Operating Cash Flow
62.57M113.77M74.89M-250.93M302.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-339.41M-236.69M-184.18M1.78B-155.59M
Financing Cash Flow
183.86M218.11M69.00M-1.64B-53.53M

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.98
Price Trends
50DMA
12.25
Negative
100DMA
12.17
Negative
200DMA
13.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Positive
RSI
44.62
Neutral
STOCH
48.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SHEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.56, below the 50-day MA of 12.25, and below the 200-day MA of 13.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SHEN.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Risk Analysis

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Shenandoah Telecommunications Co reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$13.76B7.65-2.18%3.85%2.32%-36.56%
57
Neutral
$345.89M-8.45%8.50%-743.51%
54
Neutral
$1.02B78.9524.98%11.85%-90.54%
52
Neutral
$657.19M-4.30%0.83%14.16%-443.30%
51
Neutral
$572.00M-12.42%1.91%15.71%
WOWOW
46
Neutral
$380.22M-25.18%-8.13%79.68%
42
Neutral
$554.63M-18.92%66.77%-293.79%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SHEN
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.98
-2.08
-14.79%
RBBN
Ribbon Communications
3.24
0.12
3.85%
GOGO
Gogo
7.80
-1.61
-17.11%
ATEX
Anterix
29.84
-1.69
-5.36%
OOMA
Ooma
12.55
5.40
75.52%
WOW
Wideopenwest
4.49
-0.35
-7.23%

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.99%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong growth in Glo Fiber expansions and a record in commercial sales bookings. Adjusted EBITDA also showed impressive growth, indicating positive financial health. However, there were challenges in the Incumbent Broadband Markets with declining revenues and increased debt levels. Despite these challenges, the positive aspects significantly outweighed the negatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Glo Fiber Expansion Success
5,400 new subscribers added and 16,600 new passings with a 52% revenue increase over the same period in 2024.
Commercial Sales Record
Record quarter for sales bookings with nearly $200,000 in monthly recurring revenues.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA grew 43% to $27.6 million, with margins increasing from 28% to 31% year-over-year.
Liquidity Position
Liquidity stood at $335 million, with $88 million in cash and $143 million in revolver capacity.
Glo Fiber Subscriber Growth
51% year-over-year growth, reaching 71,000 subscribers and 84,000 total revenue-generating units.
Negative Updates
Incumbent Broadband Revenue Decline
Revenue from Incumbent Broadband Markets declined by $2.2 million due to a 14% decline in video RGUs.
Increased Debt
Outstanding debt was $516 million as of March 31, 2025.
Commercial Fiber Churn
Average monthly compression and disconnect churn rose slightly year-over-year to 1.3%.
Company Guidance
During the Shenandoah Telecommunications First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on its growth and financial metrics. Shentel reported a 27% increase in revenues to $87.9 million, with the former Horizon markets contributing $15.2 million. Excluding Horizon, revenues grew by 5% over Q1 2024. The Glo Fiber Expansion Markets saw significant growth, adding 5,400 new subscribers and 16,600 new passings, which increased revenues by 52% compared to the same period in 2024. The company also highlighted a decline in churn by 31 basis points to 1.36% in its Incumbent Broadband business, which returned to positive data RGU growth. Additionally, commercial sales achieved record bookings of nearly $200,000 in monthly recurring revenues, signaling potential future revenue growth. Shentel's liquidity stood at $335 million, including $88 million in cash, with plans to refinance its credit facilities to lower debt costs. The company aims to complete its Glo Fiber Expansion and government grant projects by the end of 2026, with expectations of a 300 to 400 basis point annual increase in EBITDA margins.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Shenandoah Telecommunications Appoints New Accounting Officer
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Shenandoah Telecommunications Co appointed Tracy L. Willis as the principal accounting officer, following her tenure at The Walt Disney Company. The company also held its annual shareholder meeting, electing new directors and ratifying the selection of RSM US LLP as its independent auditor. These developments are expected to strengthen Shentel’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Spark’s Take on SHEN Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SHEN is a Neutral.

Shenandoah Telecommunications Co faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and financial instability across its statements. Technical analysis also suggests a bearish trend, though with some potential for short-term rally. The valuation metrics reflect unprofitability concerns. While the earnings call provided some positive growth signals, risks remain significant. Overall, the company’s stock receives a relatively low score due to these compounding issues.

To see Spark’s full report on SHEN stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.