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GuocoLand Limited
(SGX:F17)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
S$2.50
â–¼(-0.40% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:02/11/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: solid revenue growth is offset by declining margins, high leverage, and weakening free cash flow growth. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend, but very overbought momentum increases near-term downside risk. Valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E with only a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring rental income
GuocoLand's investment-property portfolio produces recurring rental income that diversifies lumpy development revenues. Over 2-6 months this steady cash stream supports liquidity, smooths earnings volatility across project cycles, and underpins long-term financing and dividend capacity.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Declining gross and net margins reflect increased costs or pricing pressure in projects and operations. Sustained margin compression reduces project returns, lowers ROE, and weakens the company's buffer against higher interest or construction costs, impairing long-term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring rental income
GuocoLand's investment-property portfolio produces recurring rental income that diversifies lumpy development revenues. Over 2-6 months this steady cash stream supports liquidity, smooths earnings volatility across project cycles, and underpins long-term financing and dividend capacity.
Read all positive factors
GuocoLand Limited (F17) vs. iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (EWS)
Market Cap
S$2.36B
Dividend Yield3.2%
Average Volume (3M)296.79K
Price to Earnings (P/E)41.7
Beta (1Y)0.54
Revenue Growth-2.64%
EPS Growth-9.64%
CountrySG
Employees160
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Diversified
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.08
Shares Outstanding1,183,373,300
10 Day Avg. Volume305,960
30 Day Avg. Volume296,786
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-21.61
Price to Book (P/B)0.37
Price to Sales (P/S)0.87
P/FCF Ratio8.51
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
S$3.30Price Target Upside31.47% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)0.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)S$1.37B
GuocoLand Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
GuocoLand Limited functions as an investment holding company primarily focused on the acquisition, development, and oversight of a diverse range of properties. Its core operations are structured into several geographical segments: GuocoLand Singap...
How the Company Makes Money
GuocoLand makes money mainly through (1) development revenue and profits from selling developed properties, and (2) recurring income from investment properties.
1) Property development (lumpy, project-based):
- The company acquires land or partne...
GuocoLand Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 1.92B | 1.82B | 1.55B | 965.51M | 853.73M |
| Gross Profit | 365.84M | 393.63M | 379.83M | 365.66M | 268.44M |
| EBITDA | 399.23M | 421.92M | 320.11M | 634.83M | 316.10M |
| Net Income | 107.05M | 128.99M | 207.09M | 392.73M | 169.11M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 12.38B | 12.34B | 12.01B | 12.33B | 11.32B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 761.33M | 984.15M | 890.44M | 1.08B | 1.13B |
| Total Debt | 5.48B | 5.27B | 6.00B | 5.65B | 5.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.85B | 6.75B | 6.85B | 7.02B | 6.37B |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.52B | 4.33B | 4.27B | 4.69B | 4.41B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 196.13M | 466.60M | 440.03M | -29.68M | 384.88M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 202.81M | 471.51M | 442.67M | -28.76M | 388.16M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -36.36M | -259.81M | -132.93M | -322.04M | 213.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -390.40M | -116.71M | -452.06M | 308.47M | -422.94M |
GuocoLand Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
2.51
Price Trends
2.31
Negative
2.43
Negative
2.26
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.04
Negative
30.75
Neutral
16.24
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:F17, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, above the 50-day MA of 2.31, and above the 200-day MA of 2.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.24 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SG:F17.
GuocoLand Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | S$8.02B | 16.60 | 4.14% | 2.06% | 15.72% | 34.49% | |
67 Neutral | S$4.16B | 18.09 | 1.48% | 4.02% | -21.12% | -34.48% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
65 Neutral | S$4.54B | 22.30 | 2.17% | 5.29% | 18.93% | -1.15% | |
63 Neutral | S$2.36B | 41.68 | 1.51% | 3.20% | -2.64% | -9.64% | |
58 Neutral | S$6.93B | 10.96 | 6.76% | 1.23% | 10.19% | 226.12% | |
51 Neutral | S$1.19B | -17.97 | -2.26% | 2.08% | 110.54% | 66.72% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
SG:F17
GuocoLand Limited
2.13
0.61
40.32%
SG:C09
City Developments
7.64
2.33
43.80%
SG:J69U
Frasers Centrepoint
2.23
0.08
3.48%
SG:TQ5
Frasers Property
1.06
0.20
23.11%
SG:U14
UOL Group
9.46
3.00
46.33%
SG:W05
Wing Tai Holdings Limited
1.56
0.27
20.93%
GuocoLand Limited Corporate Events
GuocoLand unit prices S$110m 2.5% notes due 2030 under MTN programme
Jun 22, 2026
GuocoLand’s wholly owned subsidiary GLL IHT Pte. Ltd. has priced a S$110 million tranche of 2.50 per cent notes due 2030 under its S$3 billion multicurrency medium term note programme. The notes, guaranteed by GuocoLand, are issued at par in...
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Files Court Petition to Advance Privatisation Plan
Jun 4, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad has moved a step closer to going private, with its adviser Maybank Investment Bank confirming that the company filed a petition on 4 June 2026 to the High Court. The filing seeks court confirmation of a reduction of the...
GuocoLand Malaysia Ends Share Incentive Plans Ahead of Privatisation
Jun 3, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad, a listed Malaysian property developer under the GuocoLand group, operates in real estate development and investment, offering property-related assets to domestic and regional investors. Its shares trade on Bursa Malays...
GuocoLand Malaysia Wins Shareholder Approval for Privatisation via Capital Reduction
May 29, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad has secured shareholder approval to proceed with its proposed privatisation via a selective capital reduction and repayment exercise under Section 116 of the Malaysian Companies Act 2016. At an extraordinary general mee...
GuocoLand Malaysia Posts Higher Revenue but Swings to Q3 Loss on Rising Costs
May 7, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad reported a sharp rise in revenue to RM151.8 million for the third quarter ended 31 March 2026 from RM96.6 million a year earlier, but swung to a quarterly net loss attributable to shareholders of RM6.2 million versus a ...
Tower REIT lifts earnings and distribution on higher net property income
May 6, 2026
Tower Real Estate Investment Trust reported stronger results for the quarter ended 31 March 2026, with revenue rising to MYR10.69 million from MYR9.10 million a year earlier and net income climbing to MYR3.42 million from MYR1.92 million. For the ...
GuocoLand Malaysia Clears Key Regulatory Step in Proposed Privatisation
Apr 30, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad, a listed Malaysian property developer under the GuocoLand group, is engaged in real estate development and investment activities across the country. The company focuses on building and managing residential, commercial,...
GuocoLand Malaysia Calls EGM to Vote on Privatisation via Capital Reduction
Apr 30, 2026
GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad has called an extraordinary general meeting on 29 May 2026 in Kuala Lumpur, with the record of depositors set for 21 May 2026. Shareholders will vote on a special resolution concerning the proposed privatisation of the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.