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Volvo AB (VOLV.A) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:VOLV.A

Volvo AB

(Nasdaq OMX AB:VOLV.A)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:SEK 331.00â–²(6.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/24/26

The score is primarily supported by strong profitability and returns, but capped by rising leverage and variable cash conversion. Technicals are a meaningful drag due to a clear downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation is a modest positive with a reasonable P/E and a mid-level dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Resilient profitability and returnsStrong margins and approximately 20% return on equity indicate that Volvo converts its industrial scale and product portfolio into meaningful earnings. Consistent positive margins across the cycle provide a durable base for reinvestment, shareholder returns, and competitive resilience.
Negative Factors
Rising leverageHigher debt reliance reduces Volvo's financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to weaker demand or higher funding costs. Rising leverage can constrain future investment and capital allocation, while making an industrial downturn more consequential for earnings and balance-sheet resilience.

Volvo AB (VOLV.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%SE:VOLV.A+25.02%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 630.55B
Dividend Yield
2.74%
Average Volume (3M)
116.27K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.2
Beta (1Y)
1.36
Revenue Growth
-2.72%
EPS Growth
9.79%
Country
Sweden
Employees
98,844
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Volvo AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AB Volvo (publ), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The company operates through Industri...

How the Company Makes Money

Volvo AB makes money primarily by selling commercial vehicles and equipment and by monetizing the installed base of products through services over their life cycle. Its main revenue streams include: (1) Sales of heavy-duty trucks and related componen...

Volvo AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall fundamentals are solid with resilient profitability (TTM gross margin ~25.3%, operating margin ~10.8%, net margin ~7.6%) and strong returns (TTM ROE ~20%). Offsetting this, leverage has risen (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.47) and cash-flow quality is somewhat variable, with only moderate cash conversion (TTM FCF ~52% of net income) despite improving operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue480.37B479.18B526.82B552.25B473.48B372.22B
Gross Profit123.58B116.87B144.05B149.84B111.74B89.75B
EBITDA77.80B72.70B90.23B89.64B67.01B63.08B
Net Income39.07B34.46B50.39B49.83B32.72B32.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets706.35B648.59B714.56B674.07B629.06B515.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.65B73.50B73.49B73.61B67.18B50.79B
Total Debt269.65B248.06B258.85B233.52B205.05B151.45B
Total Liabilities514.92B470.11B517.20B493.33B462.83B371.74B
Stockholders Equity191.31B178.40B194.05B177.79B162.72B141.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.92B27.25B28.06B8.28B7.40B11.81B
Operating Cash Flow51.47B45.59B46.44B21.40B33.24B33.65B
Investing Cash Flow-34.07B-27.48B-24.14B-21.57B-21.49B-1.49B
Financing Cash Flow-21.12B-25.39B-21.87B1.82B7.48B-57.55B

Volvo AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price310.40

Price Trends

50DMA328.38Negative
100DMA334.58Negative
200DMA325.67Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.41Negative
RSI38.68Neutral
STOCH45.09Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:VOLV.A, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 310.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 315.47, below the 50-day MA of 328.38, and below the 200-day MA of 325.67, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:VOLV.A.

Volvo AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

SE:VOLV.A against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:ATCO.BSE:ATCO.B73OutperformSEK 858.54B32.4324.21%1.87%2.72%0.11%
SE:TREL.BSE:TREL.B69NeutralSEK 98.87B25.2910.57%1.77%1.86%11.09%
SE:ALFASE:ALFA67NeutralSEK 225.51B27.7117.58%1.65%4.27%-2.41%
SE:SANDSE:SAND65NeutralSEK 450.20B23.6018.92%1.67%14.34%29.04%
SE:VOLV.ASE:VOLV.A65NeutralSEK 630.55B16.1621.20%2.74%-2.72%9.79%
SE:EPI.ASE:EPI.A64NeutralSEK 276.72B31.14―1.59%1.20%7.88%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%SE:VOLV.ASE:ALFASE:ATCO.BSE:SANDSE:TREL.BSE:EPI.ADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:VOLV.A and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:VOLV.AVolvo AB (GB)310.4062.1125.02%
SE:ALFAAlfa Laval AB545.60106.8324.35%
SE:ATCO.BAtlas Copco AB (0R82)160.4023.5217.18%
SE:SANDSandvik AB (UK)358.9077.9627.75%
SE:TREL.BTrelleborg AB451.2065.7317.05%
SE:EPI.AEpiroc AB239.5044.8423.04%

Volvo AB Corporate Events

Volvo Group Boosts Q3 Earnings and Margins on Strong Truck Demand

Oct 23, 2026

Volvo Group reported solid growth in the third quarter of 2026, with net sales rising 8% year-on-year to SEK 119.5 billion and organic sales up 7%, supported by higher truck orders and deliveries. Adjusted operating income climbed to SEK 14.7 billion...

AB Volvo Adjusts Voting Structure Through Share Class Conversion

Aug 31, 2026

Volvo Group, a long-established Swedish manufacturer of trucks, buses, construction equipment and marine and industrial power solutions, combines these products with financing and productivity-enhancing services across nearly 180 markets. With headqu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026