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Starbreeze AB (SE:STAR.B)
:STAR.B
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Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:STAR.B

Starbreeze AB

(STAR.B)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
kr0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Starbreeze AB's overall stock score is heavily impacted by its poor financial performance and valuation. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, further weighing down the score. The lack of profitability and cash flow issues are the most significant factors affecting the stock's outlook.

Starbreeze AB (STAR.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Starbreeze AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStarbreeze AB is a Swedish video game developer and publisher known for its focus on creating immersive gaming experiences. The company operates primarily in the interactive entertainment sector, with a portfolio that includes popular titles such as 'Payday' and 'Enlightenment'. Starbreeze is also involved in publishing and distribution, collaborating with third-party developers to bring their games to market while leveraging its expertise in game development.
How the Company Makes MoneyStarbreeze AB generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling video games through digital and physical distribution channels. The company earns money from direct sales of its titles, both via its own platforms and through third-party retailers. Additionally, Starbreeze benefits from in-game transactions, downloadable content (DLC), and microtransactions within its games, which enhance user engagement and provide ongoing revenue. The company also engages in partnerships with other developers, allowing it to earn a share of the revenue from published titles. Furthermore, the licensing of its game engine and technology to other developers contributes to its earnings, alongside potential revenue from merchandising and brand collaborations.

Starbreeze AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with significant cash reserves and positive trends in product reviews and market reach, particularly for PAYDAY 3. However, there are challenges with the current performance of PAYDAY 3 and high direct costs impacting the bottom line. The company's focus on future investments and solid financial position provide a positive outlook.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Quarter
Net sales amounted to SEK 56.6 million, with an EBITDA of SEK 28.6 million after adjustments. Positive cash flow from operating activities was SEK 78.4 million, resulting in a healthy cash position of about SEK 387 million.
Positive Trends and Investments
Positive review trends for PAYDAY 3 and continued investment in PAYDAY and Project Baxter, expected to release in 2026. PAYDAY 2 generated SEK 10.9 million in sales, with Third-party Games, mainly Roboquest, contributing SEK 17.4 million.
Solid Financial Position
The company has a strong cash position of almost SEK 400 million with no external debt, and is fully funded for the development of Baxter.
Positive Market Trends
Game Pass and PlayStation platforms have shown better than expected player base numbers for PAYDAY 3.
Negative Updates
PAYDAY 3 Performance Below Expectations
PAYDAY 3 is not performing at expected levels, generating SEK 23.3 million, but positive trends are observed with ongoing content updates.
High Direct Costs
Direct costs amounted to SEK 86.5 million, driven by higher depreciation of intangible assets.
Loss After Tax
Reported a loss after tax of SEK 21 million due to ongoing investments.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for Starbreeze, executives Hans-Jurgen Goeldner and Mats Juhl provided an optimistic update on the company's financial and operational performance. The quarter saw net sales of SEK 56.6 million and an EBITDA of SEK 48.5 million, adjusted to SEK 28.6 million after long-term incentive program impacts. Despite a loss of SEK 21 million due to ongoing investments, the company maintained a solid cash position of SEK 387 million, with a positive cash flow of SEK 78.4 million from operations. The newly launched game Roboquest performed well, contributing SEK 17.4 million to net sales, while PAYDAY 2 and PAYDAY 3 generated SEK 10.9 million and SEK 23.3 million, respectively, with PAYDAY games accounting for 60% of total sales. Despite PAYDAY 3's initial underperformance, positive trends are emerging, bolstered by the launch of Operation Medic Bag. The company is focused on enhancing PAYDAY 3 and advancing Project Baxter, set for a 2026 release, with a development team of 150 people split between the two projects. Starbreeze is also in the final stages of appointing a new CEO, with an announcement expected soon.

Starbreeze AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Starbreeze AB faces significant financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow issues. Despite low debt levels, the company struggles with operational inefficiencies and needs to improve revenue growth and cost management.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Starbreeze AB's income statement shows significant challenges. The company has negative gross and net profit margins, indicating it is not currently profitable. Although there is a slight revenue growth of 6.9% in the TTM, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to improve its cost management and revenue generation to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.086, suggesting limited leverage and potential for borrowing if needed. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall financial stability appears weak due to the negative ROE.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth and a negative free cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite net losses. The company needs to improve its cash flow generation to support operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue210.50M185.85M633.51M127.60M125.69M118.01M
Gross Profit-45.44M-263.00M324.24M67.08M69.39M86.93M
EBITDA23.70M102.38M457.47M64.32M6.35M41.49M
Net Income-159.97M-317.85M207.63M-59.81M-103.47M-130.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets707.86M830.13M1.11B746.40M674.15M708.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments156.40M191.91M347.75M108.22M128.57M157.42M
Total Debt48.95M22.14M16.82M400.16M440.68M393.89M
Total Liabilities140.23M124.69M216.84M689.62M551.33M480.21M
Stockholders Equity567.63M705.44M894.65M56.79M122.82M228.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-221.83M-188.14M-87.80M-88.33M-38.70M-120.43M
Operating Cash Flow11.21M64.87M114.58M57.83M73.87M-24.64M
Investing Cash Flow-233.29M-245.46M-202.38M-143.94M-109.01M-96.22M
Financing Cash Flow44.01M24.52M327.44M65.55M6.17M195.60M

Starbreeze AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.16
Negative
100DMA
0.18
Negative
200DMA
0.19
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
30.70
Neutral
STOCH
36.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:STAR.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.14, below the 50-day MA of 0.16, and below the 200-day MA of 0.19, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:STAR.B.

Starbreeze AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
kr254.35M-3.04%10.71%-3.51%-192.91%
kr152.71M-541.56%31.74%21.54%
€72.82M-295.85%-12.12%23.81%
$226.77M-22.68%-68.13%-229.75%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:STAR.B
Starbreeze AB
0.13
-0.14
-52.17%
SE:FLEXM
Flexion Mobile
2.89
-5.11
-63.87%
SE:GCOR
Gaming Corps AB
1.05
0.43
68.27%
SE:MAGI
MAG Interactive AB
9.60
2.74
39.98%
SE:FRAG
Fragbite Group AB
10.25
-1.00
-8.89%
SE:SCOUT
Scout Gaming Group AB
0.28
-0.02
-6.67%

Starbreeze AB Corporate Events

Starbreeze Focuses on PAYDAY Franchise, Discontinues Project Baxter
Oct 2, 2025

Starbreeze AB has announced a strategic shift to focus on its flagship PAYDAY franchise, discontinuing the development of Project Baxter. This decision results in a non-cash impairment of SEK 255 million but is expected to strengthen Starbreeze’s position in the gaming industry by reallocating resources and talent to enhance the PAYDAY series. The move aims to accelerate growth, increase player engagement, and position Starbreeze as a leader in the heisting genre, with plans to become cash-flow positive by 2026.

Starbreeze Unveils Strategy to Enhance PAYDAY Franchise and Heisting Genre
Oct 2, 2025

Starbreeze AB has unveiled an updated strategy to enhance its leadership in the heisting genre, focusing on the PAYDAY franchise. The strategy aims to deepen player engagement, expand platform reach, and diversify revenue streams, with PAYDAY serving as the core growth platform. The company plans to evolve PAYDAY into a modern live-engagement game, while also developing new heisting experiences and special operations to broaden its portfolio. This approach is expected to position Starbreeze for sustainable, long-term value creation for players and stakeholders.

Starbreeze Introduces PAYDAY 2 Subscription Service on Steam
Sep 24, 2025

Starbreeze Entertainment has launched a new subscription service for its popular game PAYDAY 2 on Steam, allowing players to access over 65 downloadable content packs for a monthly fee. This initiative, part of the PAYDAY franchise’s anniversary celebrations, aims to provide players with greater flexibility and cost-effectiveness in experiencing the game, potentially enhancing Starbreeze’s market position and offering more choices to its community.

Starbreeze AB Expands PAYDAY 3 with ‘Delivery Charge’ Heist
Sep 10, 2025

Starbreeze AB has launched a new DLC heist for PAYDAY 3, titled ‘Delivery Charge,’ which introduces a fresh gameplay experience set in a dockside armored transport depot. This release emphasizes replayability and player choice, with new features like the favor system and various heist strategies, enhancing the game’s dynamic nature and expanding its criminal landscape.

Starbreeze AB Reports Q2 2025 Earnings Growth
Aug 23, 2025

Starbreeze AB is an independent developer, publisher, and distributor of PC and console games, known for its popular PAYDAY franchise, with operations in Stockholm, Barcelona, Paris, and London.

Starbreeze Appoints Paul Keslin as General Manager of Project Baxter
Aug 21, 2025

Starbreeze has appointed Paul Keslin as the General Manager of Project Baxter, leveraging his extensive experience in AAA development, live service operations, and product management. Keslin’s leadership is expected to align the project’s creative vision and business strategy, enhancing Starbreeze’s position in the gaming industry and potentially delivering a game that resonates with players for years.

Starbreeze AB Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid New Game Launches
Aug 19, 2025

Starbreeze AB’s Q2 2025 interim report highlights a mixed financial performance with net sales increasing to SEK 53.8 million, driven by PAYDAY 3 and work-for-hire projects. Despite a reduction in losses before tax, the company continues to face challenges with negative earnings per share. Significant events include the launch of new content for PAYDAY 3 and other game releases, which could impact future revenue streams and market positioning.

Starbreeze Appoints New General Manager for PAYDAY Franchise
Aug 13, 2025

Starbreeze has appointed Jonas Skantz as the General Manager of its PAYDAY franchise, bringing over 20 years of experience in game development and leadership. Skantz’s role will focus on guiding the creative and commercial direction of the PAYDAY series, aiming to enhance its global appeal and continue delivering top-tier co-op heist experiences. His extensive background, including work on major titles like Battlefield and FIFA, positions him to drive the franchise’s growth and innovation, which is anticipated to strengthen Starbreeze’s market position and offer enriched experiences to its community.

Starbreeze AB Announces Q2 2025 Report and Investor Webcast
Aug 12, 2025

Starbreeze AB is set to release its Second Quarter 2025 report on August 19, followed by an investor webcast on August 22, where CEO Adolf Kristjansson and CFO Mats Juhl will present the report. This announcement is significant for investors and stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025