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SKF AB Class A (SKF.A) AI Stock Analysis

SE:SKF.A

SKF AB Class A

(Nasdaq OMX AB:SKF.A)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:SEK 277.00â–²(0.73% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/23/26

The score is driven primarily by stable but slowing fundamentals (revenue decline and weaker cash conversion despite moderate profitability and a healthy balance sheet). The earnings call adds support due to improved continuing-operations performance and cost-savings progress, but technicals remain cautious in the near term and valuation looks only fair with a relatively elevated P/E for a softer growth phase.

Positive Factors
Continuing-operations growth and marginsPositive organic growth combined with a strong adjusted margin indicates that SKF is gaining demand while converting sales efficiently. Continued strength in specialized industrial solutions and selective OEM markets can support earnings resilience and reinforce its position in critical rotating-equipment applications.
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin deteriorationThe recent contraction in revenue and lower profitability show that SKF's earnings base has weakened despite respectable operating margins. If volume, mix, or cost pressures persist, reduced earnings capacity could limit investment flexibility and make a recovery more dependent on restructuring benefits.

SKF AB Class A (SKF.A) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%SE:SKF.A+14.34%EWD+13.33%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
SEK 125.22B
Dividend Yield
3.01%
Average Volume (3M)
9,128
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.2
Beta (1Y)
1.33
Revenue Growth
-10.43%
EPS Growth
-1.68%
Country
Sweden
Employees
37,271
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

SKF AB Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AB SKF (publ) specializes globally in the conception, evolution, and production of bearings, seals, lubrication systems, and related services. Its operations are structured around two principal divisions: Industrial and Automotive. The company's comp...

How the Company Makes Money

SKF makes money primarily by selling engineered products and aftermarket solutions used in rotating equipment across industrial and automotive/transportation applications. A core revenue stream is the sale of bearings (including standard and speciali...

SKF AB Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:1.10%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed a positive overall performance for SKF's continuing industrial operations, with 4.3% organic growth, a 16.3% adjusted operating margin, stronger cash flow, robust growth in Specialized Industrial Solutions and several regions, and rightsizing savings ahead of schedule. The company also reported progress on the Automotive separation and continued investment in Magnetics. Offsetting concerns included volatile market conditions, weak Automotive demand, European and China-related softness, higher input costs, working-capital deterioration, separation-related charges, and seasonally lower expected Q4 margins for Specialized Industrial Solutions.

Positive Updates

Strong Continuing-Operations Organic Growth
SKF's continuing operations delivered 4.3% organic growth in Q3 2026, driven by high demand from selective OEMs including defense, drives, and infrastructure, as well as strong growth in Specialized Industrial Solutions.

Negative Updates

Automotive Demand Decline
The discontinued Automotive business experienced negative growth of 4%, primarily due to weak development in Europe. Management described demand as volatile and weak, although commercial vehicles and aftermarket performed strongly in the Americas and China and Northeast Asia.

Company Guidance

For continuing operations, SKF expects sales to strengthen somewhat in quarter four year-over-year, with roughly the same activity levels, a somewhat improved growth in the fourth quarter, and continued uncertainty from market volatility; quarter-four currency impact is estimated at SEK +150 million, based on the exchange rate at the end of September. Full-year guidance is a tax rate of 27%, additions to property, plant, and equipment of SEK 2.5 billion, and items affecting comparability for the full group, including Automotive, at SEK -2.5 billion-SEK 3 billion. The rightsizing program is expected to reach a SEK 2 billion annual run rate by mid-2027, about half year prior to the original plan, while Automotive separation costs increase by approximately SEK 0.5 billion, from SEK 2.5 billion to some SEK 3 billion; working-capital targets are around 29% at midterm and 27% long-term.

SKF AB Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials look stable but mixed: profitability is still respectable (TTM operating margin ~10.2%, net margin ~5.8%) and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.36), but recent revenue contraction (TTM -5.6%) and margin compression versus 2021 peaks weigh on the outlook. Cash flow is positive and FCF is up TTM, yet cash conversion is a key weakness (FCF ~44% of net income) with a relatively thin operating cash flow cushion versus debt.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.50B91.58B98.72B103.88B96.93B81.73B
Gross Profit24.95B24.52B27.37B26.17B24.47B23.27B
EBITDA12.56B12.38B14.61B14.34B11.64B13.79B
Net Income4.78B3.93B6.47B6.39B4.47B7.33B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets122.90B106.42B119.41B111.90B110.92B99.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.42B9.15B11.09B13.65B11.22B13.66B
Total Debt20.50B15.15B20.04B21.69B21.27B19.23B
Total Liabilities59.66B50.75B57.44B56.95B56.88B54.28B
Stockholders Equity60.80B53.56B59.65B52.74B51.93B43.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.62B4.56B5.70B8.02B428.00M1.36B
Operating Cash Flow6.43B8.39B10.79B13.78B5.64B5.25B
Investing Cash Flow-2.24B-1.50B-5.60B-5.87B-5.35B-3.15B
Financing Cash Flow1.60B-8.29B-7.57B-4.51B-3.40B-3.51B

SKF AB Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price275.00

Price Trends

50DMA268.88Positive
100DMA260.80Positive
200DMA247.10Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.40Negative
RSI54.45Neutral
STOCH88.31Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:SKF.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 275.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 270.45, above the 50-day MA of 268.88, and above the 200-day MA of 247.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:SKF.A.

SKF AB Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

SE:SKF.A against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SE:TREL.BSE:TREL.B69NeutralSEK 98.87B25.2910.57%1.77%1.86%11.09%
SE:HPOL.BSE:HPOL.B68NeutralSEK 31.74B17.5512.33%4.56%-0.82%-7.46%
SE:ALFASE:ALFA67NeutralSEK 225.51B27.7117.58%1.65%4.27%-2.41%
SE:INDTSE:INDT64NeutralSEK 96.84B34.4315.59%1.17%5.59%5.36%
SE:SKF.ASE:SKF.A63NeutralSEK 125.31B26.19―3.01%-10.43%-1.68%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%SE:SKF.ASE:ALFASE:HPOL.BSE:INDTSE:TREL.BSE:ALIVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SE:SKF.A and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SE:SKF.ASKF AB Class A275.0033.5113.88%
SE:ALFAAlfa Laval AB545.60106.8324.35%
SE:HPOL.BHexpol AB92.1511.6114.42%
SE:INDTIndutrade AB265.8018.147.32%
SE:TREL.BTrelleborg AB451.2065.7317.05%
SE:ALIVAutoliv Inc Shs Swedish DR1145.0053.074.86%

SKF AB Class A Corporate Events

SKF lifts margins and accelerates savings as automotive split nears

Oct 21, 2026

SKF AB reported third-quarter 2026 net sales of SEK 17.47 billion, with organic growth of 4.3 percent and an improved adjusted operating margin of 16.3 percent. Performance was driven by higher demand in selected OEM markets and strong price and mix...

SKF Wins Shareholder Support to Spin Off Automotive Unit SKF Vertevo Ahead of Nasdaq Listing

Oct 1, 2026

Aktiebolaget SKF has secured shareholder approval at an Extraordinary General Meeting to distribute all shares in its wholly owned subsidiary SKF Vertevo AB to existing SKF shareholders, ahead of a planned listing of SKF Vertevo on Nasdaq Stockholm o...

SKF updates share composition and total voting rights after conversion

Sep 30, 2026

SKF AB has formally confirmed a change in its share and voting structure following a conversion of Series A shares to Series B, in line with its Articles of Association. As of 30 September 2026, the company has 455,351,068 shares outstanding, compris...

SKF Sets 2027 AGM Date and Names Nomination Committee

Sep 10, 2026

AB SKF has appointed its Nomination Committee for the 2027 Annual General Meeting, in line with its Nomination Committee Charter, naming representatives from key shareholders FAM, Cevian Capital, AFA Försäkring, SEB Funds and Skandia, toget...

AB SKF Calls Extraordinary General Meeting With Detailed Voting Procedures

Sep 7, 2026

AB SKF has called an Extraordinary General Meeting for 1 October 2026 at the Elite Park Avenue Hotel in Gothenburg, inviting shareholders to participate either in person, by proxy, or via postal voting, with doors opening an hour before the meeting....

SKF Sets October Vote on Spin-Off and Nasdaq Listing of Subsidiary SKF Vertevo

Sep 7, 2026

SKF AB has circulated an information brochure ahead of an Extraordinary General Meeting on 1 October 2026, where shareholders will vote on the board’s proposal to distribute all shares in its wholly owned subsidiary SKF Vertevo. If approved, sh...

SKF updates share and voting structure after A-to-B conversion

Aug 31, 2026

SKF AB has announced an updated share and vote structure following a conversion of shares from Series A to Series B, conducted in line with its Articles of Association. As of 31 August 2026, the company reports a total of 455,351,068 shares outstandi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026