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Modelon AB
(MODEL)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
kr8.50
▼(-10.53% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/26/26
Overall score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (persistent losses, negative gross profit, and ongoing cash burn), despite the benefit of having no debt. Technical indicators are mixed with only modest near-term stabilization and a broader downtrend. Valuation remains unattractive/unclear due to a negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A net-debt-free capital structure reduces refinancing and interest-rate exposure, preserving financial flexibility while the company develops its platform. This gives Modelon more capacity to direct available resources toward operations and product investment without servicing leverage.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitability
Negative gross profit and deeply negative margins show that the current revenue base does not cover direct and operating costs. Until pricing, scale, or cost structure improves, continued losses can restrict reinvestment and make sustainable earnings generation uncertain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A net-debt-free capital structure reduces refinancing and interest-rate exposure, preserving financial flexibility while the company develops its platform. This gives Modelon more capacity to direct available resources toward operations and product investment without servicing leverage.
Read all positive factors
Modelon AB (MODEL) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)
Market Cap
kr156.73M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.61K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.47
Revenue Growth-17.82%
EPS Growth53.79%
CountrySE
Employees60
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-1.17
Shares Outstanding18,224,707
10 Day Avg. Volume984
30 Day Avg. Volume1,607
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.13
Price to Book (P/B)5.80
Price to Sales (P/S)2.70
P/FCF Ratio-5.12
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)kr67.30M
Modelon AB Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Modelon AB (publ), an international entity with roots in Sweden, specializes in providing sophisticated software solutions for system modeling and simulation. Its premier offering is Modelon Impact, an innovative, cloud-native platform for system ...
How the Company Makes Money
Modelon makes money primarily by selling access to its modeling and simulation software and related offerings. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) software subscriptions and/or license fees for its simulation products (including cloud and d...
Modelon AB Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 64.50M | 71.50M | 83.61M | 79.00M | 67.58M | 68.85M |
| Gross Profit | -20.80M | -27.80M | -19.72M | -7.27M | -13.92M | -2.48M |
| EBITDA | -20.20M | -27.00M | -58.52M | -54.16M | -63.54M | -38.32M |
| Net Income | -21.00M | -32.60M | -59.45M | -55.60M | -64.83M | -28.50M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 60.60M | 79.10M | 120.96M | 105.21M | 160.26M | 212.65M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 32.20M | 42.10M | 62.63M | 58.99M | 111.86M | 169.40M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 39.90M | 45.80M | 74.45M | 51.31M | 50.43M | 39.55M |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.70M | 33.30M | 46.51M | 53.89M | 109.83M | 173.11M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -18.60M | -37.69M | -48.12M | -52.49M | -58.33M | -19.49M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -35.50M | -37.50M | -47.68M | -52.20M | -55.62M | -19.31M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -500.00K | -198.00K | -442.00K | -290.00K | -2.71M | -180.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 19.60M | 19.60M | 51.61M | -16.00K | -52.00K | 137.74M |
Modelon AB Technical Analysis
Positive
9.50
Price Trends
8.41
Positive
8.90
Negative
8.86
Negative
Market Momentum
0.07
Negative
53.54
Neutral
84.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MODEL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.44, above the 50-day MA of 8.41, and above the 200-day MA of 8.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SE:MODEL.
Modelon AB Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
52 Neutral | kr34.66M | -20.29 | -351.08% | ― | -13.56% | 96.77% | |
47 Neutral | kr156.73M | -7.75 | -83.32% | ― | -17.82% | 53.79% | |
44 Neutral | kr228.77M | -4.11 | -98.57% | ― | ― | 30.68% | |
44 Neutral | kr675.76M | -12.80 | -36.10% | ― | 3.07% | -1.95% | |
44 Neutral | kr1.97B | -14.77 | ― | ― | 35.21% | 40.30% | |
38 Underperform | kr43.19M | -2.86 | ― | ― | -12.43% | 41.02% |
* Technology Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.