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Swisscom AG (SCMWY) AI Stock Analysis

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SCMWY

Swisscom AG

(Other OTC:SCMWY)

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Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$82.00â–¼(-3.52% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/10/26

The score is driven primarily by stable profitability and strong cash generation, supported by reaffirmed guidance and synergy progress in Italy. The key risks holding the score down are the sharp increase in leverage, ongoing top-line/service-revenue pressure, and a neutral-to-soft technical trend.

Positive Factors
Cash generationSwisscom's elevated operating and free cash flow are a durable strength: strong FCF provides funding for network investment, dividend capacity and integration funding without immediate equity raises. Even if conversion is imperfect, recurring telecom cash flow supports multi‑year capital plans and strategic actions.
Negative Factors
Rising leverageA sharp jump in leverage materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest rate sensitivity. Over a 2–6 month horizon higher net debt constrains discretionary spend, limits margin for execution missteps, and makes deleveraging a strategic priority to restore resilience.

Swisscom AG (SCMWY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%SCMWY+22.27%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$44.08B
Dividend Yield
3.85%
Average Volume (3M)
10.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.6
Beta (1Y)
-0.03
Revenue Growth
24.20%
EPS Growth
8.09%
Country
US
Employees
23,266
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

Swisscom AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Swisscom AG is a prominent telecommunications provider, primarily delivering services in Switzerland and Italy, with a broader international presence. Its operations are structured into three distinct segments: Swisscom Switzerland, Fastweb, and Othe...

How the Company Makes Money

Swisscom makes money primarily by selling telecommunications and ICT services on a recurring, subscription-style basis, supplemented by usage-based and project-based fees. 1) Consumer telecom revenue (recurring subscriptions + usage): - Mobile servic...

Swisscom AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:11.32%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a balanced picture: strong operational execution and financial discipline delivered meaningful EBITDA and operating free cash flow growth, Italy integration synergies are ahead of plan, and network rollouts and AI initiatives show promising momentum. However, persistent top-line pressure from declining service revenue in both Switzerland and Italy, MVNO-driven wholesale RGU losses, upcoming integration CapEx and regulatory uncertainties temper the outlook. Management confirmed full-year guidance, signaling confidence in meeting targets despite the headwinds.

Positive Updates

Strong EBITDAaL and Operating Free Cash Flow Growth
Group EBITDAaL increased 6.1% to CHF 1.269 billion and operating free cash flow rose 23.9% year-over-year to CHF 608 million, driven by Italy synergies and Swiss cost savings.

Negative Updates

Group Revenue Decline
Group revenue declined ~2% to CHF 3.6 billion (down CHF 225 million year-over-year; net of currency CHF 147 million), driven by lower Telco and IT service revenue and weaker hardware sales in Italy.

Company Guidance

Swisscom confirmed its full‑year guidance, saying group EBITDAaL is on track and operating free cash flow guidance is reaffirmed after a strong H1 (group revenue down CHF225m year‑over‑year / CHF147m net of FX, EBITDAaL up CHF83m — adj. CHF92m — and operating free cash flow up ~CHF214m with Q2 operating free cash flow CHF608m, +23.9% YoY). Management reiterated Switzerland targets of stable free cash flows, CapEx slightly down for the year, a 60% FTTH coverage target by year‑end (FTTH now ~58%), at least CHF50m of cost savings for 2026 (CHF42m delivered in H1) and a Swiss Telco service‑revenue decline guidance roughly in the CHF120m full‑year range. For Italy they remain on track to deliver EUR300m of synergies in 2026 (EUR166m realized H1; EUR89m in Q2; ~EUR80m quarterly run‑rate), see integration costs to date EUR51m with total integration costs up to EUR250m (integration CapEx up to EUR200m), reported CapEx roughly stable for the year, and an expected Italy service‑revenue decline of roughly CHF150m for 2026, while aiming for growing free cash flow from Italy.

Swisscom AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability remains solid (TTM operating margin ~14.5%, net margin ~8.9%, EBITDA margin ~46%) and cash generation is strong with higher TTM operating cash flow (~6.2B) and free cash flow (~3.26B). Offsetting this, TTM revenue is down ~7.1% and leverage rose sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.43 vs ~0.30 in 2024–2025), increasing balance-sheet risk and making sustained cash flow more critical.

Income Statement

66Positive

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.91B15.05B11.04B11.07B11.11B11.18B
Gross Profit8.19B12.03B8.72B8.81B9.09B9.00B
EBITDA6.91B6.61B4.84B4.58B4.43B4.71B
Net Income1.33B1.27B1.54B1.71B1.60B1.83B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.67B36.02B37.21B24.75B24.62B24.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments214.24M856.00M1.59B198.00M185.00M494.00M
Total Debt16.44B3.73B3.64B1.92B1.91B2.02B
Total Liabilities23.19B23.79B25.06B13.13B13.45B13.99B
Stockholders Equity11.48B12.24B12.15B11.62B11.17B10.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.26B3.00B1.69B1.76B1.59B1.77B
Operating Cash Flow6.20B6.01B3.98B4.03B3.88B4.04B
Investing Cash Flow-2.82B-3.52B-9.28B-2.32B-2.43B-2.12B
Financing Cash Flow-3.37B-3.75B6.82B-1.67B-1.72B-1.86B

Swisscom AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price84.99

Price Trends

50DMA79.24Positive
100DMA78.63Positive
200DMA81.68Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.53Negative
RSI70.74Negative
STOCH95.14Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCMWY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 84.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.84, above the 50-day MA of 79.24, and above the 200-day MA of 81.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.74 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCMWY.

Swisscom AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

SCMWY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TIMBTIMB73Outperform$8.43B10.6517.54%7.85%13.99%29.93%
VZVZ67Neutral$185.39B11.4115.73%6.29%1.38%-16.44%
KTKT66Neutral$8.37B8.017.21%4.85%5.40%39.37%
CMCSACMCSA63Neutral$82.45B7.3512.32%5.68%-0.25%-47.58%
VODVOD63Neutral$36.97B-72.26-0.79%3.38%16.69%87.12%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
SCMWYSCMWY60Neutral$43.98B27.5711.21%3.85%24.20%8.09%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%SCMWYCMCSAKTTIMBVZVODDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SCMWY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SCMWYSwisscom AG (ADR)84.9914.3120.24%
CMCSAComcast Corp23.22-0.77-3.21%
KTKT Corporation17.28-1.42-7.59%
TIMBTim S.A.17.68-3.64-17.06%
VZVerizon Communications44.737.7220.87%
VODVodafone Group Plc15.884.9344.98%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 10, 2026