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Societe Generale (SCGLY)
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Societe Generale (SCGLY) AI Stock Analysis

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SCGLY

Societe Generale

(OTC:SCGLY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▼(-16.71% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/29/26
The score balances a strong, upbeat earnings call (record profitability, cost discipline, strong capital and contained credit risk) and attractive valuation (low P/E) against weaker recent financial statement quality (negative operating/free cash flow and sharply higher leverage) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD).
Positive Factors
Profitability and cost discipline
Improved returns alongside a sub-60% cost-to-income ratio indicate stronger operating efficiency and earnings capacity. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment, absorb moderate revenue volatility, and reinforce profitability across the banking group over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Higher leverage and weak cash conversion
The sharp leverage increase and negative recent cash flow point to weaker financial flexibility despite reported profits. Greater balance-sheet sensitivity to funding and credit conditions could constrain capital allocation and make earnings less durable through a downturn.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability and cost discipline
Improved returns alongside a sub-60% cost-to-income ratio indicate stronger operating efficiency and earnings capacity. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment, absorb moderate revenue volatility, and reinforce profitability across the banking group over coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

Societe Generale (SCGLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Societe Generale Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Société Générale S.A., a financial institution headquartered in Paris, France, provides a wide array of financial services to a varied client base. This includes individual customers, corporate entities, and large institutional investors, with its...
How the Company Makes Money
Société Générale primarily earns revenue through a mix of net interest income, fees and commissions, and trading/investment-related income across its main business lines. (1) Net interest income: The bank takes deposits and other funding, then len...

Societe Generale Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was strongly positive. Management reported record quarterly and nine-month net income, profitability above targets, revenue growth exceeding guidance, lower operating expenses over nine months, strong capital and liquidity, contained credit risk, and broad-based momentum in French Retail and GBIS. The main challenges were declines in Mobility and Financial Services, Ayvens used-car sales normalization, lower fixed income and currencies revenue, muted French volumes, competitive margin pressure in Czech Republic and Romania, and a modestly higher expected cost of funding. Highlights significantly outweighed lowlights.
Positive Updates
Record Net Income and Strong Profitability
The group reported record net income for both Q3 2026 and the first nine months of 2026. Nine-month ROTE was 12.3%, up from 10.5% last year and significantly above the year-end target of around 11%. Q3 net income reached a record EUR 1.9 billion, with ROTE at 13% versus 10.7% in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Mobility and Financial Services Revenue Decline
Mobility and Financial Services revenue declined 4.3% at constant perimeter and exchange rates in Q3. Net income fell 8.6% to EUR 349 million, and RONE was 12.9%. The decline was driven by normalization of Ayvens used-car sales results.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Net Income and Strong Profitability
The group reported record net income for both Q3 2026 and the first nine months of 2026. Nine-month ROTE was 12.3%, up from 10.5% last year and significantly above the year-end target of around 11%. Q3 net income reached a record EUR 1.9 billion, with ROTE at 13% versus 10.7% in Q3 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said the 2026 ROTE target was “around 11%,” the cost-to-income target was “below 60%,” and the cost of risk remained within the “25 to 30 basis points guidance range”; 2026 used car sales results at Ayvens were targeted between EUR 200 and EUR 600 for the full year, MIBS had a “55% target” for cost-to-income and “40 to 45 basis points through-the-cycle cost of risk,” and BoursoBank was on track to exceed its “’26 target of more than EUR 300 million,” with long-term guidance of “above 45% RONE”; management also said it intends to operate at “slightly above practically 13%” with a “strategic objective to be at 13%,” ordinary distribution split “something between, let's say, 40 and 60,” and that “we will exceed our 2026 targets” and “reach our 2029 goals.”

Societe Generale Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Underlying profitability has improved versus 2020 and margins strengthened recently, but the latest annual period shows a sharp revenue decline, a material leverage step-up (debt-to-equity rising to ~4.76x), and negative operating/free cash flow in 2024–2025. This combination signals weaker earnings quality and higher balance-sheet risk despite positive net income.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.85B86.16B97.64B87.14B53.99B46.12B
Gross Profit49.86B52.60B52.51B44.36B36.10B36.25B
EBITDA19.63B19.09B16.82B12.84B9.58B13.48B
Net Income7.93B5.77B4.20B2.49B1.82B5.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67T1.55T1.57T1.55T1.49T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments404.01B369.17B273.13B287.60B289.83B179.97B
Total Debt172.40B287.17B183.09B181.13B154.80B151.28B
Total Liabilities1.59T1.47T1.49T1.48T1.41T1.39T
Stockholders Equity71.64B60.36B70.26B65.97B66.97B65.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.19B-29.01B-21.53B25.56B29.50B13.83B
Operating Cash Flow-21.40B-19.65B-10.10B37.42B39.09B20.29B
Investing Cash Flow7.10B-28.44B-13.74B-12.07B-9.01B-10.12B
Financing Cash Flow-2.31B-8.56B-1.27B-3.90B-214.00M-3.63B

Societe Generale Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.41
Price Trends
50DMA
15.63
Negative
100DMA
16.69
Negative
200DMA
16.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Negative
RSI
34.98
Neutral
STOCH
52.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCGLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.10, above the 50-day MA of 15.63, and above the 200-day MA of 16.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SCGLY.

Societe Generale Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$105.46B16.9515.93%0.85%0.06%1.65%
71
Outperform
$90.46B12.1212.61%3.25%7.11%21.33%
68
Neutral
$58.47B12.418.14%4.26%-4.97%4.01%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$61.41B6.1016.16%6.10%6.60%29.61%
62
Neutral
$71.68B9.5613.09%4.30%1.06%75.52%
59
Neutral
$49.18B8.0311.25%2.95%16.42%29.45%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCGLY
Societe Generale
13.62
1.22
9.81%
TFC
Truist Financial
48.79
6.39
15.06%
IBN
Icici Bank
29.45
-0.81
-2.69%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
5.00
0.43
9.39%
PNC
PNC Financial
227.86
50.95
28.80%
NWG
NatWest Group
15.47
0.85
5.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026