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SAFRAN SA (SAFRY) AI Stock Analysis

SAFRY

SAFRAN SA

(Other OTC:SAFRY)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$83.00â–²(7.87% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth and reliable cash generation) and a very positive earnings update with raised 2026 guidance. These are partially offset by weak technicals (downtrend vs major moving averages and negative MACD) and a premium valuation (P/E ~29.5 with a modest ~1.28% yield).

Positive Factors
Strong Multi-Year Revenue GrowthSafran has delivered substantial multi-year revenue expansion, indicating broadening demand across propulsion, equipment, defense and interiors. This scale supports investment in capacity and research, while increasing the installed base that can generate future aftermarket and service revenue.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityAlthough recent profitability is strong, the history of alternating losses and substantial profits makes earnings power less predictable than the revenue trend. Volatility can complicate planning, reduce confidence in sustainable margins, and make future cash generation more sensitive to program outcomes.

SAFRAN SA (SAFRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%SAFRY-12.85%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$128.00B
Dividend Yield
1.27%
Average Volume (3M)
195.55K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
29.6
Beta (1Y)
0.90
Revenue Growth
22.57%
EPS Growth
-3.89%
Country
US
Employees
110,535
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

SAFRAN SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Safran S.A. operates as a leading global entity within the aerospace and defense industries, conducting its business through three primary segments. The Aerospace Propulsion division is dedicated to the full lifecycle – from design and development to...

How the Company Makes Money

Safran makes money primarily by selling aerospace hardware and by providing long-duration services tied to that hardware. A large share of revenue comes from propulsion, where Safran earns from (1) original equipment (OE) sales of aircraft engines an...

SAFRAN SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-18.77%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial picture: record revenue, elevated margins and exceptional free cash flow drove an upgraded full-year outlook and continued investments in capacity, R&D and defense wins. Key execution risks remain (FX headwinds, one-off charges, French surtax, timing of LEAP-1B RPFH recognition, supply-chain constraints and seats certification/cash conversion). Overall, the positives materially outweigh the outlined challenges.

Positive Updates

Record Half-Year Revenue
Revenue reached EUR 17.6 billion in H1 2026 (reported +19% YoY; organic ~+20%), driven by broad-based civil and defense momentum.

Negative Updates

Foreign Exchange Headwind
Negative currency impact of EUR 742 million on revenue (USD strengthened: average spot 1.17 vs 1.09 prior year) and recorded FX losses of EUR 188 million in financial expense.

Company Guidance

Safran raised its 2026 outlook: group revenue is now expected to grow in the mid‑teens to above €36.0bn, recurring operating income guidance was increased by €300m at the midpoint (management points to roughly €6.5bn ROP), and free cash flow guidance was also uplifted by €300m at midpoint; spare parts and services revenues are now expected to rise in the mid‑20s percentage range and LEAP deliveries are guided to grow in the high‑teens. The upgrade is underpinned by a strong H1 (revenue €17.6bn, +19% reported/>20% organic; recurring operating income €3.2bn; free cash flow €2.6bn; 1,030 LEAP deliveries in H1, +41% YoY; propulsion margin 24.5%), and management notes the higher EBIT guidance increases the estimated French corporate surtax hit to nearly €500m for the year (about €180m incremental in H2).

SAFRAN SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth and consistently positive operating/free cash flow support a solid fundamental profile. The key offset is earnings volatility (loss years mixed with very strong profit years), and the balance sheet is manageable but not conservative due to a material debt load.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

67Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.79B29.96B27.72B23.65B19.52B15.13B
Gross Profit4.63B4.30B13.27B11.21B2.19B980.00M
EBITDA5.90B5.46B676.00M4.51B3.79B1.55B
Net Income3.90B6.89B-667.00M3.44B-2.46B43.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.37B61.79B55.01B50.47B46.83B41.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.65B6.79B6.76B6.68B6.93B5.35B
Total Debt5.10B5.33B5.06B6.58B6.95B7.13B
Total Liabilities51.24B46.33B44.29B38.38B35.96B28.45B
Stockholders Equity14.51B14.83B10.18B11.58B10.41B12.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.40B4.31B3.19B3.44B2.95B2.00B
Operating Cash Flow6.91B5.50B4.73B4.27B3.54B2.44B
Investing Cash Flow-3.46B-3.24B-1.85B-1.70B-1.29B-738.00M
Financing Cash Flow-3.65B-1.93B-3.07B-2.58B-815.00M-268.00M

SAFRAN SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price76.94

Price Trends

50DMA91.59Negative
100DMA94.37Negative
200DMA90.92Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.47Positive
RSI26.91Positive
STOCH8.91Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAFRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 76.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.05, below the 50-day MA of 91.59, and below the 200-day MA of 90.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.91 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SAFRY.

SAFRAN SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SAFRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HONAHONA78Outperform$48.87B25.73-221.47%―8.36%-32.92%
HEIHEI76Outperform$37.93B52.8518.30%0.04%20.69%31.56%
GEGE71Outperform$311.87B34.6650.64%0.59%19.62%15.45%
RTXRTX71Outperform$269.62B32.0712.77%1.41%11.63%26.50%
SAFRYSAFRY70Outperform$128.80B29.6126.45%1.27%22.57%-3.89%
HWMHWM68Neutral$79.22B38.8636.71%0.25%22.02%43.31%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%SAFRYGEHEIRTXHWMHONADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
SAFRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SAFRYSafran Sa Unsponsored Adr76.94-11.76-13.26%
GEGe Aerospace301.80-5.17-1.68%
HEIHEICO Corporation321.366.772.15%
RTXRtx Corporation199.8025.3514.53%
HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.199.22-7.09-3.44%
HONAHoneywell Aerospace Inc154.15-45.85-22.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2026