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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) AI Stock Analysis

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RYTM

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:RYTM)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:$118.00â–²(2.59% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is driven primarily by strong technical momentum and a very positive earnings-call setup (accelerating commercial traction, improving payer access, and a stated multi-year cash runway). Offsetting these positives, financial performance remains constrained by large ongoing losses and negative free cash flow, and valuation is harder to anchor given a negative P/E and no dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Commercial tractionStrong product adoption is visible in both revenue and patient metrics, reducing reliance on a single early launch signal. Continued growth in reimbursed patients can support recurring prescription demand and strengthen the commercial foundation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitabilityRhythm has not yet converted strong gross profitability into sustainable company-wide earnings. The deeply negative net margin means continued execution depends on scaling revenue faster than operating costs, leaving earnings vulnerable if expansion expenses remain elevated.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SegmentBreaks revenue into sources such as product sales, partnerships, milestones, and royalties to show whether the company relies on a single drug, partner agreements, or recurring product income. A business skewed toward one-time milestones or a single product carries higher execution and commercialization risk, while diversified or recurring revenue points to more sustainable cash flow and clearer paths to profitability.

-$25.00M$0.00$25.00M$50.00M$75.00MMar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Product revenue is on an accelerating commercial trajectory driven by the IMCIVREE U.S. launch and sustained ex‑US BBS demand, with management noting improving GTN and rising reimbursed patient counts that support durability. The lone negative license/international blip reflects a one‑time timing/France adjustment that masks underlying growth. Watch diagnosis/access bottlenecks, specialty‑pharmacy inventory timing and elevated SG&A—these can create near‑term volatility even as strong payer uptake and a healthy cash runway underpin continued top‑line momentum.

Data provided by:The Fly

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%RYTM+14.44%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$7.97B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.00M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-39.7
Beta (1Y)
1.29
Revenue Growth
61.04%
EPS Growth
6.14%
Country
US
Employees
414
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company with commercial products, dedicated to the discovery, development, and market launch of therapies addressing rare genetic conditions that cause obesity. Its leading pharmaceutical, IMCIVREE,...

How the Company Makes Money

Rhythm primarily makes money from sales of its prescription drug IMCIVREE (setmelanotide). Revenue is generated when IMCIVREE is prescribed for eligible patients and reimbursed by payers (e.g., government programs and commercial insurers) or paid for...

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:23.10%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, led by 29% sequential revenue growth, a solid U.S. acquired HO launch, improving payer coverage, strong prescriber and reimbursed-patient trends, the Japan launch, and progress toward phase III studies in acquired HO and Prader-Willi syndrome. The company also reported substantial liquidity and expanded financing flexibility. Offsetting factors included a GAAP loss, higher R&D spending, the operational limitation of Japan's two-week prescription supply during its first year, ongoing physician-education and diagnosis work, and significant payments associated with the LG Chem amendment. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Strong Q3 Revenue and U.S. Acquired HO Launch
Global net product sales of IMCIVREE were $92.1 million in Q3, representing 29% sequential growth from $71.3 million in Q2. The U.S. generated $67.5 million, or 73% of product revenue, and the U.S. acquired hypothalamic obesity launch was the primary driver of quarterly growth.

Negative Updates

GAAP Net Loss
GAAP EPS was a net loss of $0.61 per basic and diluted share, including $0.01 per share from $1.0 million of accrued dividends on convertible stock.

Company Guidance

Rhythm anticipates approximately $360 million-$380 million in non-GAAP operating expenses for 2026, comprised of non-GAAP R&D of $165 million-$175 million and non-GAAP SG&A of $195 million-$205 million; approximately $321 million in cash equivalents and short-term investments is expected to be sufficient to fund planned operations for at least 24 months. The company hopes to begin screening patients at the first sites for its 52-week bivamelagon HO study by the end of the year and expects to dose the first patients in January, with a six-month phase III PWS study targeted for 2027. In Japan, prescriptions are limited to a two-week supply during the first year, the restriction is expected to be lifted in November 2027, eligible patients may then receive prescription supply for up to three months, and the company anticipates a greater commercial contribution from Japan in the second and third years of launch; country-level acquired HO launches in Europe are expected during 2027, beginning with Germany.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: revenue growth and very high gross margins are strong positives, and the balance sheet is conservatively levered. However, the company remains deeply unprofitable with significant ongoing cash burn and negative free cash flow, which is the primary financial risk despite some improvement versus the prior year.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue280.75M189.76M130.13M77.43M23.64M3.15M
Gross Profit247.69M170.26M116.76M68.13M21.50M2.56M
EBITDA-173.24M-174.12M-238.09M-168.46M-174.25M-68.45M
Net Income-193.81M-196.54M-260.60M-184.68M-181.12M-69.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets443.13M480.20M392.27M332.75M382.48M329.52M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments320.94M388.95M320.56M275.85M333.29M294.86M
Total Debt3.52M3.99M3.94M1.26M1.94M2.55M
Total Liabilities241.59M210.17M227.72M162.99M118.22M45.37M
Stockholders Equity201.54M270.03M164.55M169.76M264.26M284.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-127.43M-116.63M-113.88M-136.20M-177.71M-151.44M
Operating Cash Flow-125.97M-115.67M-113.88M-136.16M-173.43M-146.00M
Investing Cash Flow142.36M-137.15M-48.17M-5.67M28.03M-62.16M
Financing Cash Flow-21.16M217.96M191.24M74.37M213.83M166.48M

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price115.02

Price Trends

50DMA96.88Positive
100DMA103.25Positive
200DMA97.24Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.37Negative
RSI66.28Neutral
STOCH89.10Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 115.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.96, above the 50-day MA of 96.88, and above the 200-day MA of 97.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RYTM.

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals disclosed 69 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rhythm Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Tech & Innovation - Risks related to the company’s reliance on technology and ability to make innovative products

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our common stock is subordinated to our Convertible Preferred Stock.Q4, 2024
2.Research and development in the pharmaceutical industry is costly, risky, time-intensive and complicated. In particular, our CHI program is a pre-clinical discovery-stage program and we may not succeed in identifying a CHI program candidate to translate to development and even if we do we may not succeed in developing a CHI program product candidate.Q4, 2024
3.Our common stock is subordinated to our Convertible Preferred Stock.Q3, 2024

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

RYTM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RYTMRYTM64Neutral$7.62B-39.66-83.68%―61.04%6.14%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
QUREQURE50Neutral$1.73B-6.72-96.34%―28.04%19.12%
GPCRGPCR42Neutral$1.42B-5.13-21.24%――-8.08%
VKTXVKTX42Neutral$3.52B-5.41-117.35%――-155.21%
MBXMBX34Underperform$2.71B-18.28-34.35%――-27.83%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%RYTMQUREVKTXGPCRMBXKLRADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RYTM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RYTMRhythm Pharmaceuticals115.0214.3314.23%
QUREuniQure N.V.23.81-6.52-21.50%
VKTXViking Therapeutics29.22-9.00-23.55%
GPCRStructure Therapeutics, Inc. Sponsored ADR20.00-17.44-46.58%
MBXMBX Biosciences, Inc.55.9430.33118.43%
KLRAKailera Therapeutics, Inc.13.27-12.73-48.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026