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Revolution Medicines (RVMD)
NASDAQ:RVMD
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Revolution Medicines (RVMD) AI Stock Analysis

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RVMD

Revolution Medicines

(NASDAQ:RVMD)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
Revolution Medicines has a moderate overall score primarily due to financial challenges such as declining revenues and persistent net losses, common in biotech firms. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the valuation remains unattractive with a negative P/E ratio. However, the positive strides in the RAS(ON) inhibitor pipeline and strong liquidity position partially offset these challenges, as highlighted in the recent earnings call.
Positive Factors
Cash position
Revolution Medicines has a solid cash position, which should provide flexibility for late-stage development and early-stage deals.
Market opportunity
The potential market opportunity for daraxonrasib in metastatic pancreatic cancer is estimated to be approximately $7.6 billion.
Pipeline development
There is continued positivity towards the company as the pipeline development progresses alongside building in-house commercialization capabilities.
Negative Factors
Competition
The RAS pathway drug development is highly competitive, presenting a challenging landscape for RVMD.
Financial performance
The EPS for 2Q25 was significantly lower than expected, primarily because of higher than anticipated research and development and SG&A expenses.
Net loss guidance
The expected GAAP net loss for 2025 has increased to $1.03-1.09B from the previous guidance of $840-900M due to the decision to pursue global development and commercialization independently.

Revolution Medicines (RVMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Revolution Medicines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRevolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) is a biotechnology company that operates in the pharmaceutical sector, focusing on the discovery and development of novel targeted therapies for cancer. The company is particularly known for its precision oncology approach, targeting specific genetic mutations and pathways that drive cancer growth and progression. Revolution Medicines' core products are centered around inhibiting critical signaling pathways, such as the RAS and mTOR pathways, which are implicated in various types of cancers.
How the Company Makes MoneyRevolution Medicines generates revenue primarily through strategic collaborations, research and development partnerships, and milestone payments from other pharmaceutical companies. The company enters into agreements with larger pharmaceutical firms to co-develop and commercialize its drug candidates, often receiving upfront payments, research funding, and future royalties on sales of successfully developed products. Additionally, Revolution Medicines may also benefit from licensing agreements, wherein it grants other companies the rights to use its proprietary technologies or compounds in exchange for licensing fees.

Revolution Medicines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in Revolution Medicines' clinical pipeline and financial strategy, with Breakthrough Therapy designations and robust financial backing. However, increased expenses and net loss, along with uncertain commercialization timelines, present challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Breakthrough Therapy Designations
Daraxonrasib received Breakthrough Therapy designation from the FDA for previously treated metastatic pancreatic cancer with KRAS G12 mutations. Elironrasib was granted Breakthrough Therapy designation for locally advanced or metastatic KRAS G12C non-small cell lung cancer following prior systemic therapy.
Strong Financial Position
Revolution Medicines reported $2.1 billion in cash and investments, bolstered by a $2 billion partnership with Royalty Pharma, providing flexible capital without equity dilution.
Pipeline Progress
Successful advancement of clinical programs, including daraxonrasib in pancreatic and lung cancers, with multiple trials underway and strategic collaborations enhancing development.
Partnership with Summit Therapeutics
New collaboration to evaluate combinations of Summit's ivonescimab with RevMed's RAS(ON) inhibitors, aiming to enhance therapeutic impact.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $224.1 million from $134.9 million year-over-year, and G&A expenses rose to $40.6 million from $21.7 million, driven by clinical trial costs and personnel expansion.
Net Loss Increase
Reported net loss for Q2 2025 was $247.8 million, up from $133.2 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to higher operating expenses.
Uncertain Commercialization Timeline
While data readouts are expected in 2026, no specific guidance was provided on commercialization timelines, leaving some uncertainty about market entry.
Company Guidance
During the Revolution Medicines Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic priorities. They highlighted their compelling pipeline of three clinical stage RAS(ON) inhibitors—daraxonrasib, elironrasib, and zoldonrasib—and discussed progress in their pancreatic and non-small cell lung cancer programs. Daraxonrasib received Breakthrough Therapy designation from the FDA for previously treated metastatic pancreatic cancer with KRAS G12 mutations, and the RASolute 302 global Phase III trial is expected to complete enrollment this year with a data readout anticipated in 2026. The company also announced a partnership with Royalty Pharma, securing $2 billion in committed capital to support their clinical development and commercialization plans. Revolution Medicines updated their 2025 financial guidance, projecting a full-year GAAP net loss between $1.03 billion and $1.09 billion, reflecting increased R&D and G&A expenses due to global development and commercialization initiatives.

Revolution Medicines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revolution Medicines faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses, common in the biotechnology industry due to high R&D costs and long product development cycles. While the balance sheet reflects strong liquidity and low leverage, the cash flow statement highlights the need for efficient cash management to sustain operations.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Revolution Medicines shows a declining revenue trend over the past five years, with a significant drop to zero revenue in the most recent year. Margins, including gross profit and net income, are negative, reflecting substantial losses and indicating challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has maintained a strong cash position with negative net debt, suggesting adequate liquidity. However, the consistent high levels of net losses are concerning. The debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating conservative leverage, which is positive for financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flows remain negative with increasing operating and free cash flow deficits, suggesting ongoing challenges in generating positive cash flow from operations. However, substantial financing activities have bolstered cash reserves, which can support operations in the short term.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.0011.58M35.38M29.39M42.98M
Gross Profit0.0011.58M25.72M22.06M-89.27M
EBITDA-589.02M-430.58M-239.47M-179.75M-101.91M
Net Income-600.09M-436.37M-248.71M-179.77M-108.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.56B2.06B811.93M737.99M567.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.29B1.85B644.94M577.05M440.74M
Total Debt135.84M87.94M64.20M66.63M32.66M
Total Liabilities293.10M235.51M126.74M135.42M92.72M
Stockholders Equity2.27B1.83B685.19M602.57M474.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-567.74M-358.30M-235.22M-153.71M-103.00M
Operating Cash Flow-557.44M-350.57M-224.40M-147.18M-100.06M
Investing Cash Flow-554.39M-342.60M-24.12M-142.12M-234.23M
Financing Cash Flow959.41M1.23B301.43M294.18M422.78M

Revolution Medicines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.95
Price Trends
50DMA
38.52
Negative
100DMA
38.15
Negative
200DMA
42.16
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Positive
RSI
36.02
Neutral
STOCH
43.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RVMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.58, below the 50-day MA of 38.52, and below the 200-day MA of 42.16, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RVMD.

Revolution Medicines Risk Analysis

Revolution Medicines disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Revolution Medicines reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Revolution Medicines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$9.12B28.5517.57%0.16%17.71%41.83%
71
Outperform
$5.08B27.044.36%1.18%1.11%-23.73%
54
Neutral
$7.92B1.93-8.56%-38.94%-104.46%
52
Neutral
$7.15B-46.61%-100.00%5.49%
52
Neutral
$9.34B35.68%7.62%-55.29%
51
Neutral
$7.39B0.36-62.86%2.36%15.48%-2.68%
50
Neutral
$8.37B-47.71%99.19%48.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RVMD
Revolution Medicines
34.95
-7.95
-18.53%
TFX
Teleflex
115.49
-112.18
-49.27%
ENSG
The Ensign Group
159.26
18.26
12.95%
BPMC
Blueprint Medicines
129.46
35.56
37.87%
BBIO
BridgeBio Pharma
45.95
21.52
88.09%
ROIV
Roivant Sciences
11.55
0.43
3.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 20, 2025