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Rgc Resources (RGCO) AI Stock Analysis

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RGCO

Rgc Resources

(NASDAQ:RGCO)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$25.00▲(10.13% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/03/26

The score is driven primarily by stable financial performance (healthy margins and earnings recovery) tempered by high leverage and uneven revenue/cash-flow history. Technicals are moderately supportive with price above major moving averages and positive momentum. Valuation is fair with a solid dividend, while earnings-call updates add both positives (narrowed guidance, rate case progress) and meaningful near-term operational risks (LNG facility outage and customer/volume headwinds).

Positive Factors
Regulated Rate RecoveryThe rate-case settlement supports the utility’s regulated earnings model by allowing recovery of additional revenue through approved customer rates. Although below the original request and subject to refunds, the outcome strengthens recurring revenue support and the company’s ability to fund system investment.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageDebt exceeding equity leaves the company with a thinner financial cushion and greater sensitivity to refinancing conditions and interest costs. While leverage is common among regulated utilities, this capital structure can constrain flexibility for investment or weaken resilience if operating conditions deteriorate.

Rgc Resources (RGCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%RGCO+9.99%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$236.52M
Dividend Yield
3.83%
Average Volume (3M)
12.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.6
Beta (1Y)
0.29
Revenue Growth
13.83%
EPS Growth
3.21%
Country
US
Employees
106
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Gas

Rgc Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

RGC Resources, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy services company. It sells and distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Roanoke, Virginia, and the surrounding localities. It operates approxi...

How the Company Makes Money

RGC Resources primarily makes money through its regulated natural gas utility operations. Its core revenue stream is retail natural gas service to customers within its authorized service territory, which generally includes (1) charges for delivering...

Rgc Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:5.62%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 23, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presented a mix of positive financial and operational developments (YTD EPS growth of 4.6%, narrowed EPS guidance, maintained CapEx plan, strong financing action, progressing MVP projects, and local economic tailwinds) alongside notable challenges (structural damage to the LNG facility requiring assessment and temporary replacement strategies, loss of a top-10 customer, softer residential/commercial volumes, and rising non-gas operating costs). On balance, the company demonstrated resilience — managing supply replacements, securing a constructive rate case settlement, and maintaining profitability and capital plans — while acknowledging near-term risks and uncertainties tied to the LNG asset and volume dynamics.

Positive Updates

Year-to-Date Net Income and EPS Growth
Net income for the first 9 months of fiscal 2026 was $14.2 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, up from $1.31 per diluted share in the first 9 months of fiscal 2025 — a 4.6% increase in EPS year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Structural Damage at LNG Facility
The on-system LNG storage tank (in service since 1972, ~200,000 gallons) experienced structural damage/metal stress during Winter Storm Fern; no leaks or unsafe conditions reported, but the company is still assessing repair vs replacement options and has established a regulatory asset for related costs.

Company Guidance

Management narrowed FY2026 EPS guidance to $1.29–$1.32 (with a small Q4 loss expected), reiterated full‑year CapEx of $22.0M (YTD spend $16.1M, up ~2% vs. prior year), and expects on‑system LNG peak‑shaving capability restored for the 2027–2028 winter; they refinanced a $15M note (previously 2%) into a forward note and 3‑year swap fixed at 5.2%, invested just over $1M in Mountain Valley Pipeline projects (Boost to add ~30% capacity; Southgate in construction) while continuing to receive excess cash distributions, and established a regulatory asset for LNG costs; operational and financial metrics cited include 3.5 miles of new main and 464 new services YTD, 2.7 miles of renewed main and 322 renewed services (services +40%), delivered volumes YTD up ~1% (industrial +>25%, residential/commercial down despite HDDs +3%), Q3 net income ≈ $0.55M ($0.05/diluted share) and YTD net income $14.2M ($1.37/diluted share, +4.6% YoY), and a rate case that sought ~$4.3M incremental revenue but settled at $3.85M (rates effective Jan 1 subject to refund; $275k accrued for refunds as of June 30).

Rgc Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid profitability and a clear recovery from the 2022 loss support the score, with healthy TTM margins and steadier earnings. Offsetting this are uneven revenue trends (TTM revenue down ~15%), elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.21), and historically volatile free cash flow despite recent improvement and positive TTM FCF.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.14M95.33M84.64M97.44M84.17M75.17M
Gross Profit33.78M32.85M30.29M29.77M26.15M25.49M
EBITDA36.48M35.39M32.48M30.40M-29.46M26.03M
Net Income13.98M13.28M11.76M11.30M-31.73M10.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets339.66M329.84M320.70M303.73M290.31M310.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.47M2.32M894.18K1.51M4.90M1.52M
Total Debt148.80M148.96M148.64M141.17M137.00M140.47M
Total Liabilities216.78M216.29M212.56M203.00M197.22M210.41M
Stockholders Equity122.87M113.55M108.14M100.73M93.09M99.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.02M8.22M-4.66M-1.51M-9.91M-8.40M
Operating Cash Flow23.08M28.95M17.43M23.80M15.55M11.57M
Investing Cash Flow-22.04M-20.73M-22.03M-27.40M-30.62M-25.85M
Financing Cash Flow-701.56K-6.79M3.98M218.94K18.44M15.51M

Rgc Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price22.70

Price Trends

50DMA22.01Positive
100DMA22.28Positive
200DMA22.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.29Positive
RSI50.62Neutral
STOCH37.61Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RGCO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 22.70 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.84, above the 50-day MA of 22.01, and above the 200-day MA of 22.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RGCO.

Rgc Resources Risk Analysis

Rgc Resources disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rgc Resources reported the most risks in the "Production" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Production - Risks related to the company’s ability to manufacture goods and services

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Laws or regulations associated with ESG matters.Q3, 2023
2.Global pandemics have previously, continue to, and may in the future adversely impact the Company's business, financial condition, and results of operations, the global economy, and the demand for and prices of natural gas.Q3, 2023

Rgc Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

RGCO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SPHSPH78Outperform$1.18B8.9419.49%7.52%-2.48%31.10%
SRSR69Neutral$5.29B9.8215.87%3.74%4.12%93.82%
RGCORGCO67Neutral$236.52M16.5711.73%3.83%13.83%3.21%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
NWNNWN63Neutral$2.19B16.808.23%3.82%3.16%20.58%
NFENFE43Neutral$58.43M-0.01-1737.94%―-37.46%-77.39%
OPALOPAL40Underperform$227.10M-14.88134.08%―2.42%-503.31%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%RGCOSRNWNSPHNFEOPALDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
RGCO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
RGCORgc Resources22.701.708.07%
SRSpire Inc88.272.583.01%
NWNNorthwest Natural Gas51.835.4511.76%
SPHSuburban Propane Partners17.61-0.14-0.81%
NFENew Fortress Energy3.47-51.53-93.69%
OPALOpal Fuels Inc.1.39-0.91-39.57%

Rgc Resources Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing

RGC Resources Extends Revolving Credit Facility Maturity Through 2029

Positive
Nov 2, 2026

RGC Resources, Inc. is the parent of Roanoke Gas Company, its utility subsidiary.On October 29, 2026, Roanoke Gas amended and restated its revolving promissory note and entered a fifth amendment to its loan agreement with Pinnacle Bank. The changes e...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

RGC Resources Updates Investor Presentation Under Regulation FD

Neutral
Sep 14, 2026

RGC Resources, Inc. updated the slide presentation used by management in meetings with analysts, investors and other financial community members. The refreshed materials were scheduled for use and posting on the company’s website in connection with a...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

RGC Resources Reviews Third-Quarter 2026 Operating Results

Neutral
Aug 7, 2026

RGC Resources, Inc. held a conference call with analysts to review and discuss its operating results for the third quarter ended June 30, 2026, providing the investment community with an update on the company’s recent financial performance. The mater...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

RGC Resources Posts Slightly Higher Third-Quarter Earnings

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

On August 5, 2026, RGC Resources reported consolidated earnings of $559,000, or $0.05 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended June 30, 2026, slightly above the $538,000, or $0.05 per diluted share, earned in the same period of 2025. Operating...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 02, 2026