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Rekor Systems Inc (REKR)
NASDAQ:REKR
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Rekor Systems (REKR) AI Stock Analysis

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REKR

Rekor Systems

(NASDAQ:REKR)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-16.20% Downside)
Rekor Systems faces substantial financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses being the most significant factors. Technical indicators suggest overbought conditions, while valuation metrics highlight unprofitability. Despite some positive developments in securing contracts, the overall outlook remains cautious.
Positive Factors
Major Contracts
Securing a major contract with the Texas Department of Transportation enhances Rekor's market position and provides a stable revenue stream, reflecting trust in their technology and potential for further government partnerships.
Operational Efficiency
A significant reduction in operating expenses demonstrates Rekor's commitment to cost management, which can improve profitability and cash flow over time, supporting long-term financial health.
Expanded Market Presence
The contract expansion with a regional authority showcases Rekor's growing market presence and the effectiveness of its technology, which can lead to further adoption and revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Stagnation
Stagnant revenue growth indicates challenges in expanding market share or increasing sales, which may hinder long-term financial performance and investor confidence.
Decline in Recurring Revenue
A decline in recurring revenue suggests potential issues with customer retention or service value, impacting predictable income streams and financial stability.
Decreased Gross Margin
A decrease in gross margin reflects a shift towards lower-margin contracts, which could pressure profitability and limit the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives.

Rekor Systems (REKR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Rekor Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRekor Systems, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops and implements transformative mission-critical intelligent infrastructure solutions and services for transportation management, public safety, and commercial markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers Rekor One Traffic Management solutions, including software modules for roadway monitoring and response, an incident detection and management solution; traffic and infrastructure analytics to capture data for roadway and infrastructure analytics and planning; and live and archival traffic view for situational awareness of what is happening on roadways. The company also provides Rekor One Public Safety solutions comprising contactless compliance application that delivers a turnkey information and citation management solution to cities, states, and municipalities for primary and secondary offenses; Rekor scout that offers accurate license plate and vehicle recognition on any IP, traffic, or security camera, and can be subscribed to separately for use with existing camera or sensor systems; and Rekor blue, a smartphone app that retrieves accurate vehicle license plate number and state of registration, and automatically organizes information by sessions, capturing date, location, and timestamp for law enforcement. In addition, it offers Rekor CarCheck, an API of its vehicle recognition technology to respond with accurate license plate data, vehicle make, model, body type, and color for commercial applications; and AutoNotice, a cloud-based financial management application to record payments in the system and provide functionality to research, manage unapplied payments, and reconcile receipts. Further, the company provides hardware products, which includes Rekor Edge Series, a family of mountable vehicle recognition systems that seamlessly capture and process vehicle data. Rekor Systems, Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyRekor Systems generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its ALPR hardware and software solutions to law enforcement agencies and government entities. The company also offers subscription-based services for its cloud-based analytics platform, which provides ongoing support and updates for its users. Additionally, Rekor may engage in professional services, including training and consulting, which further contributes to its revenue. Significant partnerships with law enforcement organizations and government contracts also play a crucial role in securing long-term revenue sources while enhancing the company's market presence.

Rekor Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Rekor Systems showed significant strides in securing major contracts and expanding their market presence, particularly with the Texas Department of Transportation. However, revenue stagnation and a decline in recurring revenue and gross margins present challenges. The company is optimistic about sequential growth in the latter half of the year, driven by a strong pipeline and operational efficiency. While there are notable achievements, the financial metrics suggest caution.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Major Contract with Texas Department of Transportation
Rekor Systems announced a major statewide blanket purchase order with the Texas Department of Transportation, marking a transformative moment for the company and setting a new standard for AI and data fusion in transportation.
Contract Expansion with Central Texas Regional Mobile Authority
The company secured a $1.4 million contract expansion over 5 years, demonstrating continued trust and investment in Rekor Command technology, leading to significant measurable results, including a 324% increase in incident detection.
Deployment of Rekor Discover in Sunbelt State
A major deployment as part of a new statewide initiative to modernize traffic operations, with 150 Discover systems installed under a $1.2 million Data-as-a-Service contract.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Reduction
Total operating expenses for Q2 declined 17% year-over-year, representing a $2.9 million reduction, reflecting disciplined cost containment across all major areas of the business.
Strong Pipeline and Sequential Growth Anticipated
The company anticipates sequential growth across Discover, Command, and Scout business lines in the second half of the year, confident in turning the corner with a strong pipeline.
Negative Updates
Revenue Stagnation and Decline
Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $12.4 million, consistent with the same quarter of last year, and year-to-date revenue was down 3% from the first half of 2024 due to slower project activity and weather conditions.
Decline in Recurring Revenue
Recurring revenue for Q2 totaled $5.9 million, representing 48% of total revenue, down from 50.6% in Q2 2024, reflecting recent increases in point-in-time sales.
Decreased Gross Margin
Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 49.5%, down from 53.5% in Q2 2024, due to a greater proportion of hardware-based contracts compared to high-margin software sales.
Challenges Due to Unpredictable Weather
Revenue was impacted by adverse weather conditions affecting portable business operations, highlighting the challenges faced by the company in managing external factors.
Company Guidance
During the Rekor Systems, Inc. conference call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. Rekor announced a major statewide blanket purchase order with the Texas Department of Transportation, which is expected to unfold over the coming quarters as the Rekor Command platform is adopted across TxDOT's 25 districts. The company highlighted a $1.4 million contract expansion with the Central Texas Regional Mobile Authority, which resulted in a 324% increase in incident detection and an 11-minute faster average response time. Additionally, Rekor secured a $1.2 million Data-as-a-Service contract for 150 Discover systems in a Sunbelt state, reflecting growing momentum for their solutions. Financially, total revenue for Q2 2025 was $12.4 million, consistent with the previous year, while recurring revenue totaled $5.9 million, representing 48% of total revenue. The company also achieved a 17% reduction in operating expenses year-over-year and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $5.8 million for the quarter. Rekor remains optimistic about the second half of 2025, focusing on revenue growth, extended SaaS offerings, and disciplined execution to move closer to breakeven adjusted EBITDA.

Rekor Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rekor Systems is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting profitability. The company struggles with negative cash flows and low returns on equity, indicating financial instability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Rekor Systems has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -15% in the TTM period. The company is facing challenges in profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the overall income statement reflects significant losses and declining revenue, indicating financial instability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years. However, the return on equity remains negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly provided, but the overall financial leverage appears to be under control, albeit with ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Rekor Systems is experiencing negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings, but overall cash flow performance is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.38M46.03M34.93M19.92M14.29M9.23M
Gross Profit20.53M22.68M18.43M9.03M8.06M5.70M
EBITDA-42.39M-48.86M-36.11M-77.58M-27.60M-10.10M
Net Income-52.53M-61.41M-45.69M-83.45M-26.78M-14.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets80.07M82.47M92.15M83.84M125.88M40.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.17M5.01M15.71M1.92M25.80M20.59M
Total Debt29.94M32.44M42.33M19.76M11.36M2.41M
Total Liabilities44.67M48.33M58.78M34.50M24.79M8.54M
Stockholders Equity35.40M34.14M33.37M49.34M101.09M31.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-32.10M-34.15M-34.02M-43.78M-24.30M-16.10M
Operating Cash Flow-30.28M-32.47M-32.63M-39.61M-18.03M-15.06M
Investing Cash Flow-293.00K-9.37M270.00K-8.39M-47.37M5.19M
Financing Cash Flow32.32M31.45M45.60M23.87M70.99M29.02M

Rekor Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.79
Price Trends
50DMA
1.20
Positive
100DMA
1.18
Positive
200DMA
1.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
81.31
Negative
STOCH
93.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.25, above the 50-day MA of 1.20, and above the 200-day MA of 1.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.31 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for REKR.

Rekor Systems Risk Analysis

Rekor Systems disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rekor Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Rekor Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
306.02M46.3712.54%27.84%-13.78%
58
Neutral
367.42M-2.20-3009.11%-31.11%-52.32%
46
Neutral
41.81M-2.04-123.99%295.86%-2.95%
46
Neutral
169.31M-3.08-219.23%-60.93%10.46%
45
Neutral
73.84M-3.06-42.95%-6.32%6.80%
41
Neutral
$185.71M-128.83%7.05%19.75%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REKR
Rekor Systems
1.79
0.59
49.17%
SNCR
Synchronoss Technologies
6.42
-6.57
-50.58%
VERI
Veritone
5.35
1.94
56.89%
PAYS
PaySign
5.62
1.38
32.55%
AUID
Ipsidy
3.11
-4.50
-59.13%
ARBE
Arbe Robotics
1.61
-0.32
-16.58%

Rekor Systems Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Rekor Systems Ends Market Issuance Agreement
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Rekor Systems, Inc. announced the voluntary termination of its At Market Issuance Sales Agreement with Northland Securities, Inc., initially established on February 10, 2025. Under this agreement, the company had sold 18,888,832 shares of common stock, generating approximately $23.3 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (REKR) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rekor Systems stock, see the REKR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 20, 2025