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Regency Centers (REG)
NASDAQ:REG
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Regency Centers (REG) AI Stock Analysis

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REG

Regency Centers

(NASDAQ:REG)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▲(9.48% Upside)
Regency Centers' overall score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including NOI growth and dividend increases. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's strategic investments and robust leasing activity support a stable outlook, despite challenges like the Rite Aid bankruptcy and competitive acquisition market.
Positive Factors
Strong Same-Property NOI Growth
The consistent growth in same-property NOI indicates a robust demand for Regency's retail spaces, enhancing long-term revenue stability and profitability.
Robust Leasing Pipeline
High leasing rates and new leases with grocers suggest strong tenant demand and effective property management, supporting sustained occupancy and revenue.
Successful Capital Allocation
Strategic capital deployment into development and acquisitions enhances asset value and growth potential, ensuring long-term competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Impact of Rite Aid Bankruptcy
The return of Rite Aid spaces could lead to short-term occupancy challenges, impacting rental income and requiring re-leasing efforts to maintain revenue.
Increased Competition in Acquisition Market
Rising competition in the acquisition market may pressure cap rates and increase acquisition costs, potentially affecting future investment returns.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A decline in free cash flow growth could limit Regency's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, impacting financial flexibility.

Regency Centers (REG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Regency Centers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRegency Centers (REG) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of grocery-anchored shopping centers in the United States. The company focuses on retail properties that are strategically located in high-density markets, providing essential services and a diverse mix of retail tenants. Regency's portfolio includes a variety of shopping centers that host national and regional grocery chains, restaurants, and service-oriented businesses, catering to the daily needs of consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyRegency Centers generates revenue primarily through leasing its retail properties to tenants, which typically includes long-term leases with grocery stores and various service-oriented businesses. The company earns rental income, which is its main revenue stream, while also benefiting from percentage rent agreements, where tenants pay a percentage of their sales in addition to base rent. Furthermore, Regency engages in property management services, generating additional income through management fees. The company also participates in the development of new shopping centers and the redevelopment of existing properties, which can enhance asset value and yield additional revenue streams. Partnerships with national grocery chains and strong tenant relationships contribute significantly to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Regency Centers Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Number of Properties
Number of Properties
Indicates the total count of properties owned, reflecting the company's market presence and potential for rental income generation.
Chart InsightsRegency Centers has significantly increased its property count since mid-2023, reflecting strategic acquisitions, including five shopping centers in Orange County. This expansion aligns with robust financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, driven by strong leasing activity and capital deployment. Despite potential risks from tenant bankruptcies, the company’s raised guidance for NOI growth and strong balance sheet suggest resilience and continued growth potential.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Regency Centers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call painted a largely positive picture with strong growth in same-property NOI and an increased dividend, backed by successful capital allocation and robust leasing activity. However, challenges such as the impact of the Rite Aid bankruptcy on occupancy and increased competition in the acquisition market were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same-Property NOI Growth
Same-property NOI grew by nearly 5% with strong base rent growth as the primary contributor at 4.7%.
Increased Earnings and Dividend
Full year earnings growth outlook raised; dividend increased by more than 7%.
Successful Capital Allocation
Over $750 million deployed into high-quality opportunities, including acquisitions, development, and redevelopment.
Robust Leasing Pipeline
Signed 3 new grocer leases in Q3; same-property percent leased rate at 96.4%.
Development and Redevelopment Activity
Over $170 million of projects started in Q3, bringing year-to-date total to more than $220 million.
Cash Re-leasing and GAAP Rent Spreads
Cash re-leasing spreads were strong at 13%, while GAAP rent spreads were near record high levels at 23%.
Negative Updates
Impact of Rite Aid Bankruptcy
Ten Rite Aid spaces returned, affecting occupancy rates.
Increased Competition in Acquisition Market
Acquisition market becoming more competitive with capital flowing into the sector, affecting cap rates.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Regency Centers Corporation demonstrated impressive financial performance, marked by a significant same-property net operating income (NOI) growth of nearly 5%, driven primarily by a 4.7% increase in base rent growth. The company also achieved a same-property percent leased rate of 96.4% and a commenced rate increase to 94.4%. Regency's strategic capital allocation led to over $750 million of investments this year alone, including $300 million in development projects. The company's robust leasing activity resulted in cash re-leasing spreads of 13% and GAAP rent spreads near record levels at 23%. Regency's successful capital recycling enabled acquisitions at an average 6% cap rate, while selling assets at over 5.5%. With an A-rated balance sheet and significant free cash flow, the company raised its full-year earnings growth outlook and increased its dividend by more than 7%. Looking ahead, Regency anticipates mid-3% same-property NOI growth in 2026, with contributions from its development pipeline expected to drive total NOI growth in the mid-6% range.

Regency Centers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Regency Centers demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a solid balance sheet, though increasing debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting operational and strategic initiatives.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Regency Centers shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.55% and consistent gross profit margins above 70%. The net profit margin is healthy at 26.99%, indicating effective cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased in the TTM compared to the previous year, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.81 in the TTM, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing. However, the return on equity remains stable at around 6%, reflecting consistent profitability. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the rising debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Regency Centers demonstrates robust cash flow management with a significant free cash flow growth of 11.98% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.00, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash beyond its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.50B1.37B1.27B1.20B1.05B
Gross Profit1.01B1.07B975.08M925.15M877.18M734.85M
EBITDA990.53M939.75M839.58M818.05M771.32M606.32M
Net Income411.46M400.39M364.56M482.87M361.41M44.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.06B12.39B12.43B10.86B10.79B10.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments205.59M56.28M84.97M66.47M93.10M376.07M
Total Debt5.52B5.02B4.80B4.29B4.30B4.52B
Total Liabilities6.00B5.49B5.23B4.68B4.68B4.88B
Stockholders Equity6.80B6.72B7.03B6.10B6.04B5.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow845.48M790.20M719.59M660.70M396.66M523.47M
Operating Cash Flow845.48M790.20M719.59M655.82M659.39M499.12M
Investing Cash Flow-459.71M-326.64M-341.98M-206.11M-286.35M-25.64M
Financing Cash Flow-228.74M-493.02M-355.04M-475.96M-656.46M-210.59M

Regency Centers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.42
Price Trends
50DMA
71.38
Negative
100DMA
70.85
Negative
200DMA
70.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.61
Positive
RSI
38.52
Neutral
STOCH
29.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.17, below the 50-day MA of 71.38, and below the 200-day MA of 70.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REG.

Regency Centers Risk Analysis

Regency Centers disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Regency Centers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Regency Centers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.31B42.323.47%4.23%14.67%-5.17%
77
Outperform
$8.34B24.4110.92%4.61%6.05%14.70%
73
Outperform
$7.52B18.938.91%5.93%4.53%-3.46%
73
Outperform
$8.07B24.4111.36%4.09%6.07%-0.28%
70
Outperform
$13.84B24.525.68%4.76%7.99%55.05%
69
Neutral
$12.55B31.646.07%4.07%5.34%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REG
Regency Centers
69.42
-0.64
-0.91%
ADC
Agree Realty
72.45
2.25
3.21%
KIM
Kimco Realty
20.43
-2.83
-12.17%
NNN
NNN REIT
39.83
0.71
1.81%
FRT
Federal Realty
96.20
-12.04
-11.12%
BRX
Brixmor Property
26.21
-0.93
-3.43%

Regency Centers Corporate Events

Regency Centers Corp. Reports Strong Earnings and Growth
Oct 31, 2025

The latest earnings call from Regency Centers Corp. painted a largely positive picture, highlighting strong growth in same-property Net Operating Income (NOI) and an increased dividend. These positive developments were backed by successful capital allocation and robust leasing activity. However, the company also acknowledged challenges such as the impact of the Rite Aid bankruptcy on occupancy and increased competition in the acquisition market.

Regency Centers Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Regency Centers Corporation is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of shopping centers in suburban areas across the United States, with a focus on properties anchored by top-tier grocers and retailers.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Regency Centers Raises Earnings Guidance and Dividend
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Regency Centers Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net income attributable to common shareholders increasing to $0.58 per diluted share. The company raised its full-year earnings guidance and increased its common stock dividend by over 7%, reflecting robust operational performance and strategic capital allocation. Regency also executed significant leasing activities and development projects, including acquiring shopping centers and completing property transactions, which are expected to support its growth and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (REG) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regency Centers stock, see the REG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Regency Centers Updates Investor Presentation September 2025
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Regency Centers Corporation released an updated investor presentation for use at upcoming conferences and meetings. This presentation, available on their website, aims to inform stakeholders about the company’s current operations and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (REG) stock is a Hold with a $76.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regency Centers stock, see the REG Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Regency Centers Declares Quarterly Dividends for August 2025
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Regency Centers Corporation’s Board of Directors declared quarterly cash dividends on its common stock, Series A preferred stock, and Series B preferred stock. The dividends are scheduled to be paid in October 2025, with specific dates set for each type of stock, impacting shareholders and reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (REG) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Regency Centers stock, see the REG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025