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Privia Health Group (PRVA)
NASDAQ:PRVA
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Privia Health Group (PRVA) AI Stock Analysis

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PRVA

Privia Health Group

(NASDAQ:PRVA)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(4.57% Upside)
Privia Health Group's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths, supported by robust revenue growth and strategic expansion. However, the high P/E ratio and absence of a dividend yield present valuation concerns. Technical indicators show moderate bullish momentum, contributing to a balanced overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and increased adoption of services, enhancing long-term business stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions expand market presence and service offerings, positioning the company for sustained growth and competitive advantage.
Cash Position
A strong cash position with no debt enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and resilience against economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
EBIT Margin Fluctuations
Inconsistent EBIT margins can signal operational inefficiencies, potentially impacting profitability and financial predictability over time.
Capitation Model Challenges
Challenges in the capitation model may affect revenue stability and require strategic adjustments to mitigate potential financial impacts.
Conservative Q4 Guidance
Conservative guidance suggests potential short-term financial pressures, which could impact investor confidence and strategic planning.

Privia Health Group (PRVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Privia Health Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrivia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with medical groups, health plans, and health systems to optimize physician practices, enhance patient experiences, and reward doctors for delivering care in-person and virtual settings. It offers technology and population health tools to enhance independent providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; single-TIN medical group that facilitates payer negotiation, clinical integration and alignment of financial incentives; accountable care organization, which engage patients, reduce inappropriate utilization, and enhance coordination and patient quality metrics to drive value-based care; and network for purchasers and payers that enable providers to connect with new patient populations and create custom contracts. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia. Privia Health Group, Inc. was a former subsidiary of Brighton Health Group Holdings, LLC.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrivia Health generates revenue through a multi-faceted model that primarily includes service fees from healthcare providers who utilize its technology and management services. Key revenue streams consist of subscription fees for its platform, performance-based incentives tied to value-based care initiatives, and fees for ancillary services such as care coordination and patient engagement tools. Strategic partnerships with payers and healthcare organizations further bolster its earnings by facilitating broader access to its services and enhancing its value proposition in the healthcare market.

Privia Health Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Privia Health's third-quarter earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, growth in attributed lives, and successful expansion plans. Despite challenges in the Medicare Advantage capitation model and conservative guidance for Q4, the company's overall results and strategic acquisitions position it well for future success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Privia Health's practice collections increased 27.1% year-over-year, reaching $940.4 million in Q3. Adjusted EBITDA rose 61.6% to $38.2 million, with an EBITDA margin of 30.5%.
Medicare Shared Savings Program Success
The Medicare Shared Savings Program demonstrated an aggregate savings rate of 9.4%, up from 8.2% in 2023, with total shared savings of $234.1 million, a 32.6% increase from the previous year.
Expansion and Growth
Privia Health's implemented provider growth was 13.1% year-over-year, and attributed lives increased by nearly 13%. The acquisition of an ACO business from Evolent Health will add over 120,000 value-based care attributed lives.
Cash Position and Financial Flexibility
Privia Health reported pro forma cash of $409.9 million with no debt, forecasting at least $410 million in cash by year-end, positioning the company for further growth opportunities.
Negative Updates
Capitation Model Challenges
Despite some favorable retroactive adjustments, the company remains cautious about headwinds in the Medicare Advantage capitation model.
Conservative Q4 Guidance
The guidance for Q4 shows limited profitability growth with low single-digit year-over-year growth and some margin compression expected.
Company Guidance
During the Privia Health Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported robust performance indicators, highlighting a 27.1% year-over-year increase in practice collections and a 61.6% rise in adjusted EBITDA, with the EBITDA margin expanding by 720 basis points to 30.5%. The company also noted a 13.1% growth in implemented providers and a 12.8% increase in value-based attribution. Privia Health's total attributed lives grew nearly 13%, driven by new provider growth and entry into new markets like Arizona. The acquisition of an accountable care organization (ACO) business from Evolent Health for $100 million, plus an earn-out of up to $13 million, is expected to expand Privia's attributed lives to over 1.5 million. Despite these significant investments, the company maintains a strong cash position with $410 million anticipated by year-end. Based on this performance, Privia Health raised its 2025 outlook above previous ranges, expecting practice collections growth of 17.1%, care margin growth of 13.2%, and adjusted EBITDA growth of 32%, with over 80% of full-year EBITDA expected to convert to free cash flow.

Privia Health Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Privia Health Group exhibits strong financial performance with significant revenue growth, efficient cost management, and a robust equity base. However, fluctuations in EBIT margins and free cash flow growth warrant attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Privia Health Group has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with the latest figure reaching $1.74 billion, a significant increase from previous years. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating efficient cost management. Despite a slight decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins in the latest year, the company maintains a positive net profit margin, showcasing profitability. However, the fluctuation in EBIT margins could be a point of concern.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a strong equity base, with a healthy debt-to-equity ratio indicating low leverage, which is favorable for stability. The return on equity has improved over the years, reflecting effective utilization of shareholder funds. A high equity ratio further underscores financial robustness, though continuous monitoring of debt levels is advised.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Privia Health Group has demonstrated consistent growth in operating cash flow, which is a positive indicator of cash-generating efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow growth rate has experienced some volatility, signaling potential fluctuations in cash availability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.04B1.74B1.66B1.36B966.22M817.08M
Gross Profit202.39M176.85M161.50M134.78M63.66M82.58M
EBITDA41.97M24.25M27.18M-14.55M-214.97M27.22M
Net Income18.17M14.38M23.08M-8.59M-188.23M31.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.35B1.14B999.90M792.81M686.37M328.97M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments441.35M491.15M389.51M347.99M320.58M84.63M
Total Debt6.24M5.59M8.29M11.50M46.50M33.66M
Total Liabilities588.23M452.34M392.51M273.76M236.19M185.32M
Stockholders Equity709.12M635.18M561.44M499.09M426.87M146.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow110.70M109.28M80.67M47.09M54.51M38.51M
Operating Cash Flow110.70M109.28M80.78M47.20M55.06M38.89M
Investing Cash Flow-96.52M-11.98M-42.97M-104.00K-32.77M-380.00K
Financing Cash Flow5.18M4.33M3.71M-19.68M213.66M-767.00K

Privia Health Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.43
Price Trends
50DMA
24.15
Negative
100DMA
22.51
Positive
200DMA
23.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
37.90
Neutral
STOCH
23.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.17, below the 50-day MA of 24.15, and above the 200-day MA of 23.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRVA.

Privia Health Group Risk Analysis

Privia Health Group disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Privia Health Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Privia Health Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.03B211.212.74%19.01%38.68%
67
Neutral
$734.21M36.525.87%0.48%3.68%5.62%
62
Neutral
$2.33B-102.810.42%2.98%-21.26%-119.34%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$705.05M-13.63%-16.65%-71.92%
48
Neutral
$1.34B-15.42%-2.37%77.85%
48
Neutral
$396.10M-1.05-47.69%-5.30%46.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRVA
Privia Health Group
23.43
0.63
2.76%
HSTM
HealthStream
24.65
-7.79
-24.00%
PINC
Premier
28.15
5.91
26.57%
EVH
Evolent Health
4.96
-10.17
-67.22%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.53
-2.28
-23.24%
DH
Definitive Healthcare Corp
2.93
-1.47
-33.41%

Privia Health Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Privia Health Mourns Loss of Board Member
Negative
Oct 28, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Patricia Maryland, a member of the Board of Directors and Chair of the Compliance Committee at Privia Health Group, passed away. The company expressed sadness at her passing and gratitude for her significant contributions over the past five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRVA) stock is a Buy with a $24.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Privia Health Group stock, see the PRVA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Privia Health Acquires ACO Business for $100 Million
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Privia Health Group announced its agreement to acquire an Accountable Care Organization business from Evolent Health for $100 million, with an additional $13 million contingent on performance. This acquisition, expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, will expand Privia Health’s value-based care arrangements to approximately 1.5 million attributed lives, enhancing its national network and offering synergy opportunities for participating providers.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRVA) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Privia Health Group stock, see the PRVA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Privia Health Group Announces Significant Medicare Savings
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Privia Health Group announced its Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) achieved $233.1 million in shared savings through the Medicare Shared Savings Program for 2024, marking a 32% increase from the previous year. This performance underscores the effectiveness of Privia’s physician-led approach and data-driven tools, benefiting nearly 195,000 Medicare beneficiaries. The company also increased its Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 to $113-$116 million, reflecting its strong operational performance and strategic positioning in the healthcare industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRVA) stock is a Hold with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Privia Health Group stock, see the PRVA Stock Forecast page.

Privia Health’s Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Aug 13, 2025

Privia Health Group, Inc. Reports Strong Growth Amid Cautious Outlook

Privia Health Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 8, 2025

Privia Health Group, Inc. is a leading physician enablement company in the United States, specializing in building provider networks with primary-care centric medical groups and offering a comprehensive suite of technology and service solutions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025