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Permian Resources Corporation (PR)
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Permian Resources (PR) AI Stock Analysis

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PR

Permian Resources

(NYSE:PR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(9.35% Upside)
Permian Resources scores well due to strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, including record free cash flow and cost reductions. The stock's valuation is attractive, though technical indicators suggest caution with potential bearish momentum. Uncertainties in future guidance and commodity prices slightly temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Record free cash flow indicates robust operational efficiency and financial health, providing flexibility for strategic investments and debt reduction.
Production Outperformance
Exceeding production targets enhances revenue potential and demonstrates effective resource management, strengthening market position.
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction improves financial stability and creditworthiness, reducing interest expenses and enhancing long-term sustainability.
Negative Factors
Delayed 2026 Guidance
Postponing guidance creates uncertainty about future strategic direction and financial planning, potentially affecting investor confidence.
Potential for Lower Commodity Prices
Lower oil prices could impact revenue and profitability, challenging the sustainability of dividends and capital allocation strategies.
Gross Profit Margin Decline
A declining gross profit margin suggests rising costs or pricing pressures, which could erode profitability if not managed effectively.

Permian Resources (PR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Permian Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPermian Resources (PR) is an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company focused primarily on the Permian Basin in the United States. The company operates in the energy sector, specializing in the extraction and production of hydrocarbons, leveraging advanced technologies and operational efficiencies to optimize resource recovery. Permian Resources is committed to responsible energy development and aims to meet the growing global energy demands while maintaining environmental stewardship.
How the Company Makes MoneyPermian Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The company operates a portfolio of assets in the Permian Basin, which is one of the most prolific oil-producing regions in the country. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of produced hydrocarbons to refiners, marketers, and other customers, as well as potential revenue from midstream services such as transportation and storage. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility and secure more stable cash flows. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other operators and service providers in the region can enhance operational efficiencies and reduce costs, further contributing to profitability.

Permian Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with significant achievements in free cash flow, production outperformance, cost reductions, and successful acquisition strategies. However, there were some uncertainties about future guidance and potential impacts of lower commodity prices.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow
Highest quarterly free cash flow per share since inception, despite a suppressed commodity environment, with adjusted operating cash flow of $949 million and record adjusted free cash flow of $469 million.
Production Outperformance
Oil production exceeded expectations with 187,000 barrels per day, up 6% from Q2, and total production of 410,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
Cost Reductions
Reduced controllable cash costs by 6% quarter-over-quarter, with LOE reduced to $5.07 per Boe and D&C costs averaging $7.25 per foot.
Debt Reduction and Credit Upgrade
Reduced outstanding debt by over $450 million and received a positive credit outlook upgrade from Moody's, along with an investment-grade credit rating from Fitch.
Successful Acquisition Strategy
Closed 250 deals primarily in New Mexico, adding 5,500 net leasehold acres and 2,400 net royalty acres for approximately $180 million.
Gas Marketing Agreements
Agreements to sell approximately 330 million cubic feet per day out of the basin in 2026, increasing to 700 million cubic feet per day in 2028, expected to realize $1 per Mcf higher pricing.
Negative Updates
Delayed 2026 Guidance
Decision to wait until February to provide 2026 guidance, leaving investors uncertain about future production and CapEx plans.
Potential for Lower Commodity Prices
Acknowledgment of potential for oil prices to fall to $40, impacting dividend sustainability and capital allocation strategies.
Company Guidance
During the Permian Resources third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported its highest quarterly free cash flow per share since inception, driven by strong operational performance, including oil production of 187,000 barrels per day, a 6% increase from the previous quarter, and total production of 410,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company achieved a 6% reduction in controllable cash costs, lowering LOE to $5.07 per Boe and D&C costs by 3% to $7.25 per foot. Adjusted operating cash flow reached $949 million, with a record adjusted free cash flow of $469 million and cash CapEx of $480 million. The company reduced outstanding debt by over $450 million, supported by improved credit ratings, and increased its full-year production guidance to 181,500 barrels of oil per day while maintaining CapEx guidance. Permian Resources also emphasized its strategic flexibility in capital allocation and successful acquisition strategy, completing 250 deals in Q3 and adding significant leasehold and royalty acreage. The company plans to continue leveraging its technical expertise and cost structure to drive long-term value and expects 2026 to be a capital-efficient year with improved gas marketing agreements enhancing netbacks.

Permian Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Permian Resources demonstrates strong financial performance with robust cash flow generation and stable profitability. The company benefits from low leverage, enhancing its financial stability. However, attention to cost management is necessary to sustain margins.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Permian Resources shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 2.09% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a solid net profit margin of 15.65% and an impressive EBITDA margin of 68.68%. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, indicating potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.014, reflecting strong financial stability. Return on equity is moderate at 8.55%, suggesting efficient use of equity. However, the equity ratio is not provided, limiting a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Permian Resources demonstrates robust cash flow performance with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 970.95% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.61 indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.19B5.00B3.12B2.13B1.03B580.46M
Gross Profit2.14B2.36B1.65B1.42B548.46M41.31M
EBITDA3.57B3.62B2.20B1.41B489.15M-342.58M
Net Income812.32M984.70M476.31M515.04M138.18M-682.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.33B16.90B14.97B8.49B3.80B3.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments111.81M479.34M73.29M59.55M9.38M5.80M
Total Debt3.69B4.31B3.91B2.21B842.98M1.07B
Total Liabilities6.05B6.38B5.74B2.84B1.05B1.22B
Stockholders Equity10.03B9.14B6.34B2.94B2.75B2.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.03B291.33M419.83M587.67M198.57M-156.64M
Operating Cash Flow3.57B3.41B2.21B1.37B525.62M171.38M
Investing Cash Flow-2.69B-3.10B-1.58B-1.21B-226.48M-326.32M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B97.71M-631.19M-106.63M-297.55M147.74M

Permian Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.26
Price Trends
50DMA
13.00
Positive
100DMA
13.31
Negative
200DMA
13.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
58.97
Neutral
STOCH
63.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.48, above the 50-day MA of 13.00, and above the 200-day MA of 13.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PR.

Permian Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$10.62B11.718.58%4.95%7.55%-34.40%
73
Outperform
$8.46B5.6927.24%4.20%4.88%-41.34%
71
Outperform
$8.70B15.4214.18%0.93%23.88%20.55%
67
Neutral
$10.07B19.277.65%17.05%1028.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$6.39B103.322.86%35.41%
61
Neutral
$9.51B41.162.26%3.22%-8.07%-87.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PR
Permian Resources
13.26
-1.22
-8.43%
APA
APA
23.83
2.77
13.17%
CRK
Comstock Resources
23.02
8.78
61.66%
OVV
Ovintiv
38.86
-2.58
-6.23%
RRC
Range Resources
37.58
3.44
10.09%
AR
Antero Resources
33.65
1.98
6.25%

Permian Resources Corporate Events

Permian Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Permian Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company based in Midland, Texas, focusing on the acquisition, optimization, and development of high-return oil and natural gas properties primarily in the Permian Basin, specifically the Delaware Basin.

Permian Resources Shines in Earnings Call Amid Uncertainties
Nov 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Permian Resources Corporation was marked by a generally positive sentiment, highlighting significant achievements in free cash flow, production outperformance, cost reductions, and successful acquisition strategies. However, some uncertainties lingered regarding future guidance and the potential impacts of lower commodity prices.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Permian Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Permian Resources announced strong financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, with significant increases in production and reductions in costs. The company reported a total average production of 410.2 MBoe/d and reduced drilling and completion costs by 11% compared to 2024. It also strengthened its balance sheet by reducing debt and increasing liquidity, while enhancing its acquisition strategy with the addition of 5,500 net acres. The company raised its full-year production guidance and improved its natural gas marketing portfolio, positioning itself for better pricing and increased cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Permian Resources Amends Credit Agreement in October 2025
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

Permian Resources Corporation announced a significant amendment to its credit agreement on October 24, 2025. This move is likely to impact the company’s financial operations and could influence its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Permian Resources Announces Public Offering of Shares
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Permian Resources Corporation announced the commencement of an underwritten public offering of 46,112,899 shares of its Class A Common Stock by certain affiliates of Pearl Energy Investments and Riverstone Investment Group LLC. The company will not receive any proceeds from this offering. The offering is expected to close around September 16, 2025, and is subject to customary closing conditions. Concurrently, Permian Resources plans to purchase 2,000,000 common units from the selling stockholders, which is conditioned upon the completion of the offering. This move is part of the company’s strategy to optimize its operations and strengthen its market position in the oil and natural gas industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Permian Resources Registers Shares for Exchangeable Notes
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On March 19, 2021, Permian Resources Operating, LLC issued 3.25% exchangeable senior notes due 2028, which can be exchanged for shares of the company’s Class A Common Stock. These shares have been registered with the SEC, with relevant documentation filed in 2024 and 2025, indicating a strategic financial move to potentially enhance liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Permian Resources Announces Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Permian Resources Operating, LLC, a subsidiary of Permian Resources Corporation, announced the redemption of its 3.25% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028. The redemption process allows noteholders to exchange their notes for shares of the company’s common stock at an increased exchange rate until September 10, 2025, before the notes are repurchased for cash on September 12, 2025. This move is part of the company’s financial strategy to manage its debt obligations and could impact stakeholders by altering the company’s capital structure and potentially affecting stock value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PR) stock is a Buy with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Permian Resources stock, see the PR Stock Forecast page.

Permian Resources Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Permian Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company based in Midland, Texas, focuses on acquiring, optimizing, and developing high-return oil and natural gas properties primarily in the Permian Basin, with a significant presence in the Delaware Basin.

Permian Resources’ Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call of Permian Resources Corporation painted a picture of robust operational performance and strategic growth. The company reported increased production and strategic acquisitions, bolstered by achieving an investment-grade rating. Despite facing challenges such as tariffs and market volatility, Permian Resources’ execution of its downturn playbook and strategic marketing agreements suggest a positive outlook for the future.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025