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IMPINJ Inc (PI)
NASDAQ:PI
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IMPINJ (PI) AI Stock Analysis

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PI

IMPINJ

(NASDAQ:PI)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$208.00
▲(8.56% Upside)
IMPINJ's stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and strategic financial moves, offset by high valuation concerns and ongoing profitability challenges. The company's growth trajectory is promising, but high leverage and market overvaluation pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
IMPINJ's significant revenue growth over recent years highlights its expanding market presence and product adoption, indicating strong demand for its RFID solutions across various industries.
Innovative Product Adoption
The adoption of innovative products like Gen2X and M800 underscores IMPINJ's ability to meet industry needs, enhancing its competitive advantage and supporting long-term growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow generation indicates strong operational efficiency, providing IMPINJ with the financial flexibility to invest in growth initiatives and manage debt effectively.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to IMPINJ's financial stability, potentially limiting its ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing challenges with achieving consistent profitability could hinder IMPINJ's long-term financial health and ability to sustain competitive positioning in the market.
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Declining year-over-year revenue growth signals potential market saturation or competitive pressures, which could impact IMPINJ's future growth prospects and market share.

IMPINJ (PI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IMPINJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImpinj, Inc. operates a cloud connectivity platform in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Its platform, which comprises multiple product families, wirelessly connects individual items and delivers data about the connected items to business and consumer applications. The company's platform comprises endpoint ICs, a miniature radios-on-a-chip that attaches to a host item and includes a number to identify the item. Its platform also consists of systems products that comprise reader ICs, readers, and gateways to wirelessly provide power to and communicate bidirectionally with endpoint ICs on host items, as well as to read, write, authenticate, and engage the endpoint ICs on those items; and software and algorithms that enables its partners to deliver use cases, such as retail self-checkout and loss prevention, and warehouse pallet and carton tracking to end-users. The company primarily serves retail, supply chain and logistics, aviation, automotive, healthcare, industrial and manufacturing, sports, food, datacenter, travel, banking, and linen and uniform tracking sectors through distributors, system integrators, value-added resellers, and software solution partners. Impinj, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyIMPINJ generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the sale of RAIN RFID products, including integrated circuits (ICs), readers, and software solutions. The company sells its chips to manufacturers who embed them in items for tracking purposes, while their readers are utilized by businesses to scan and process RAIN RFID tags. Additionally, IMPINJ offers software solutions that help manage and analyze the data collected through their RFID systems. Significant partnerships with key players in various sectors, including retail giants and logistics providers, bolster their market presence and drive sales. The recurring revenue model is further supported by service agreements and maintenance contracts, providing ongoing support and updates for their technology.

IMPINJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in revenue and EBITDA, with strong product performance and gross margins. However, challenges persist with year-over-year revenue declines and tariff-related uncertainties affecting future guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Exceeds Expectations
Second quarter revenue was $97.9 million, up 32% sequentially and exceeded the upper end of the guide range.
Record Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $27.6 million, marking a new quarterly record with a margin of 28.2%.
Strong Endpoint IC Performance
Second quarter endpoint IC revenue was $84.6 million, up 38% sequentially. The book-to-bill ratio was strong, exceeding expectations.
Innovative Product Adoption
Gen2X and M800 are driving demand, with significant adoption in retail loss analytics and inventory management, particularly in apparel and food sectors.
Improved Gross Margin
Second quarter gross margin was 60.4%, driven by licensing revenue and a richer mix of M800 products.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Second quarter revenue was down 4% year-over-year, and endpoint IC revenue declined 5% year-over-year.
Challenges from Tariffs and Supply Chain
Headwinds from tariffs and supply chain disruptions continue to pose challenges, although they were offset by demand drivers.
Sequential Decline in Reader IC Revenue
Second quarter reader IC revenue declined sequentially due to significantly lower indie shipment volumes.
Minimal Turns Assumed in Guidance
Due to continuing tariff-related uncertainty and volatility, minimal turns are assumed at the midpoint of third-quarter revenue guidance.
Company Guidance
In the Impinj Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided comprehensive guidance and metrics for the upcoming quarters. Impinj reported second-quarter revenue of $97.9 million, a 32% sequential increase, but a 4% decrease year-over-year. For the third quarter, the company expects revenue to range between $91 million and $94 million, with an adjusted EBITDA between $15.6 million and $17.1 million. The second quarter saw an adjusted EBITDA of $27.6 million, marking a record quarterly margin of 28.2%. Impinj's endpoint IC revenue rose to $84.6 million, up 38% sequentially, although down 5% year-over-year. Systems revenue increased slightly to $13.3 million. The company achieved a gross margin of 60.4%, attributed to licensing revenue and a richer M800 product mix. Looking ahead, Impinj anticipates further gross margin improvements driven by M800 mix and lower-cost wafer sell-through, expecting third-quarter product gross margin to rise sequentially. The company also underscored the ongoing strength in their solutions strategy and the promising outlook for endpoint IC product revenue growth, further supported by robust demand in the food and supply chain logistics sectors.

IMPINJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IMPINJ is on a growth trajectory with significant revenue increases and improvements in cash flow generation. While the company has made strides in reducing losses and increasing stockholders' equity, challenges remain in achieving consistent profitability and managing leverage. Continued focus on cost management and capital structure optimization will be crucial to enhancing financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
IMPINJ has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue of $358.94M, up significantly from $138.92M in 2020. The gross profit margin is healthy at 52.11% for the TTM, reflecting effective cost management. However, the company has struggled with profitability at the operating level, as indicated by negative EBIT and modest net profit margin of 0.18% in the TTM period. Despite improvements, maintaining consistent profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56 in the TTM, suggesting potential risk in financial stability. Stockholders' equity has improved significantly to $187.69M from a deficit in 2021, reflecting a positive trajectory in equity growth. However, the equity ratio is still moderate at 36.87%, indicating room for strengthening the capital structure.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
IMPINJ has shown improvement in cash flow, with operating cash flow to net income ratio at 71.75 in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow has grown, with a TTM free cash flow of $27.46M, up from negative values in earlier years. Despite this progress, cash flow stability could be enhanced further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue358.94M366.09M307.54M257.80M190.28M138.92M
Gross Profit187.09M188.85M151.98M137.88M98.95M65.14M
EBITDA17.82M57.82M-26.83M-13.54M-43.95M-41.92M
Net Income633.00K40.84M-43.37M-24.30M-51.26M-51.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets508.82M489.08M359.41M349.74M315.54M207.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.21M164.71M113.23M173.75M193.35M106.09M
Total Debt292.40M292.80M294.59M294.43M304.37M73.46M
Total Liabilities321.13M339.22M325.28M334.15M326.61M98.50M
Stockholders Equity187.69M149.86M34.13M15.59M-11.08M109.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.46M111.20M-68.22M-11.44M-9.77M-19.95M
Operating Cash Flow45.41M128.31M-49.38M641.00K6.46M-16.88M
Investing Cash Flow-229.72M-192.57M115.81M-102.80M-18.64M-36.29M
Financing Cash Flow11.80M15.68M8.74M-2.15M112.44M9.90M

IMPINJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price191.60
Price Trends
50DMA
160.06
Positive
100DMA
135.49
Positive
200DMA
125.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.60
Positive
RSI
58.76
Neutral
STOCH
66.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 191.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 188.35, above the 50-day MA of 160.06, and above the 200-day MA of 125.04, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PI.

IMPINJ Risk Analysis

IMPINJ disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IMPINJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IMPINJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
1.39B32.956.87%-2.37%147.46%
74
Outperform
5.16B23.7218.23%0.15%12.93%17.64%
68
Neutral
$5.57B27,190.280.42%13.96%-96.21%
67
Neutral
2.95B-383.82-11.39%2.05%91.37%
65
Neutral
2.73B79.694.46%8.39%0.00%
58
Neutral
3.64B-25.02-69.12%-11.03%91.98%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PI
IMPINJ
191.60
-16.57
-7.96%
BDC
Belden
130.28
16.54
14.54%
DGII
Digi International
37.57
10.64
39.51%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
22.30
7.32
48.87%
COMM
CommScope Holding
16.45
10.16
161.53%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
12.24
3.77
44.51%

IMPINJ Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Impinj Announces $190M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced the pricing of its private offering of $170 million in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029, later increased to $190 million after the initial purchasers exercised their option. The proceeds, approximately $183.6 million, were used to exchange $190 million of its 2027 Notes for cash and shares, and to fund capped call transactions aimed at reducing potential dilution of its common stock. The notes, convertible under specific conditions, are senior unsecured obligations and will mature on September 15, 2029. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Impinj’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Impinj Announces $150M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced its plan to offer $150 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers, with an option for purchasers to acquire an additional $25 million. The proceeds from this offering are intended to be used for the exchange of a portion of its outstanding 2027 Notes and other corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to affect Impinj’s stock market activity and could influence the trading price of its common stock and notes, impacting stakeholders’ decisions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025