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IMPINJ Inc (PI)
NASDAQ:PI
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IMPINJ (PI) AI Stock Analysis

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PI

IMPINJ

(NASDAQ:PI)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$218.00
▲(16.16% Upside)
IMPINJ's strong revenue growth and bullish technical indicators are offset by high valuation concerns and profitability challenges. The cautious outlook from the earnings call further tempers the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
IMPINJ's robust revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Innovative Product Adoption
The adoption of innovative products like Gen2X and M800 enhances IMPINJ's competitive edge and strengthens its market position.
Cash Flow Generation
Improved cash generation capabilities provide IMPINJ with the financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage could pose financial risks, limiting IMPINJ's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges suggest difficulties in cost management, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
A decline in year-over-year revenue growth may indicate market saturation or increased competition, affecting future growth prospects.

IMPINJ (PI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IMPINJ Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIMPINJ, Inc. is a leading provider of RAIN RFID solutions that enable businesses to identify, locate, and authenticate items in real-time. Operating primarily in the technology sector, IMPINJ's core products include RAIN RFID readers, chips, and software that facilitate the tracking of inventory and assets across various industries such as retail, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing. The company's innovative technology enhances supply chain efficiency, improves operational visibility, and enables better customer experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyIMPINJ generates revenue through multiple streams primarily focused on the sale of RAIN RFID products, including integrated circuits (ICs), readers, and software solutions. The company sells its chips to manufacturers who embed them in items for tracking purposes, while their readers are utilized by businesses to scan and process RAIN RFID tags. Additionally, IMPINJ offers software solutions that help manage and analyze the data collected through their RFID systems. Significant partnerships with key players in various sectors, including retail giants and logistics providers, bolster their market presence and drive sales. The recurring revenue model is further supported by service agreements and maintenance contracts, providing ongoing support and updates for their technology.

IMPINJ Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted some positive developments, including record endpoint IC volumes and strong systems revenue growth, along with strategic hires and a solid financial position. However, these were tempered by sequential revenue declines, a cautious fourth-quarter outlook, and challenges with Chinese partner orders.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Endpoint IC Volumes
Third quarter results showed record endpoint IC volumes, contributing to a new quarterly product revenue record, despite weak retailer buying patterns and tariff headwinds.
Strong Systems Revenue Growth
Third quarter systems revenue was $17.3 million, up 30% sequentially from $13.3 million in second quarter 2025 and up 21% year-over-year from $14.2 million in third quarter 2024.
New Leadership in SaaS and Cloud Services
Hired an SVP of SaaS and Cloud Services to develop software and win recurring revenue opportunities, enhancing the company's strategic focus on software.
Positive Cash Flow and Financial Position
Free cash flow was $18 million compared to $4.7 million in third quarter 2024, and cash, cash equivalents, and investments totaled $265.1 million.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue Decline
Third quarter revenue was $96.1 million, down 2% sequentially from $97.9 million in second quarter 2025.
Endpoint IC Revenue Drop
Third quarter endpoint IC revenue was $78.8 million, down 7% sequentially from $84.6 million in second quarter 2025 and down 3% year-over-year from $81 million in third quarter 2024.
Lower Fourth Quarter Outlook
Fourth quarter revenue is expected to be between $90 million and $93 million, a decrease from third quarter 2025, with adjusted EBITDA also expected to decline.
Conservative Ordering by Chinese Partners
Conservative ordering by Chinese reader IC partners is expected to push revenue lower in the fourth quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Impinj third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported revenue of $96.1 million, slightly down from the previous quarter's $97.9 million, but up 1% year-over-year. Despite a 7% sequential decrease in endpoint IC revenue to $78.8 million, systems revenue saw a robust 30% sequential increase, reaching $17.3 million. The third quarter's gross margin was 53%, with endpoint ICs contributing to a sequential increase in product gross margin. Operating expenses totaled $31.8 million, and the company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $19.1 million, marking a 19.8% adjusted EBITDA margin, a new record based on product revenue. Looking ahead, Impinj anticipates a modest sequential decline in fourth-quarter revenue to between $90 million and $93 million, with expectations for adjusted EBITDA ranging from $15.4 million to $16.9 million. The company also highlighted continued investments in Gen2X technology and software innovations to address growing market opportunities in sectors like food and e-commerce.

IMPINJ Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IMPINJ shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, but faces profitability challenges and high leverage. Continued focus on cost control and debt management is crucial for sustaining growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
IMPINJ shows a strong revenue growth rate of 23.9% in the TTM, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 52.1%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin, suggesting challenges in controlling operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.56, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. The return on equity is low at 0.4%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio of 37.8% shows a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
IMPINJ's cash flow statement highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate of 48.4%, demonstrating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.51 indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.60 suggests room for improvement in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.80M366.09M307.54M257.80M190.28M138.92M
Gross Profit187.84M188.85M151.98M137.88M98.95M65.14M
EBITDA1.43M10.32M-26.59M-13.54M-30.93M-37.21M
Net Income-12.40M40.84M-43.37M-24.30M-51.26M-51.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets516.46M489.08M359.41M349.74M315.54M207.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments190.08M164.71M113.23M173.75M193.35M106.09M
Total Debt287.53M292.80M294.59M294.43M304.37M73.46M
Total Liabilities321.50M339.22M325.28M334.15M326.61M98.50M
Stockholders Equity194.96M149.86M34.13M15.59M-11.08M109.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow40.76M111.20M-68.22M-11.44M-9.77M-19.95M
Operating Cash Flow56.23M128.31M-49.38M641.00K6.46M-16.88M
Investing Cash Flow-73.08M-192.57M115.81M-102.80M-18.64M-36.29M
Financing Cash Flow-5.29M15.68M8.74M-2.15M112.44M9.90M

IMPINJ Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price187.67
Price Trends
50DMA
195.95
Negative
100DMA
163.08
Positive
200DMA
132.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.16
Positive
RSI
42.03
Neutral
STOCH
17.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 187.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 209.49, below the 50-day MA of 195.95, and above the 200-day MA of 132.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 6.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PI.

IMPINJ Risk Analysis

IMPINJ disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IMPINJ reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IMPINJ Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$1.34B31.707.21%-2.37%147.46%
$4.62B20.8818.41%0.17%13.42%31.28%
$3.91B266.972.13%15.60%
$5.65B-7.49%4.24%-141.83%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
$3.57B9.86%99.11%
$2.54B299.5317.08%14.31%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PI
IMPINJ
187.67
-10.56
-5.33%
BDC
Belden
117.53
-0.76
-0.64%
DGII
Digi International
36.15
6.78
23.08%
EXTR
Extreme Networks
18.78
3.48
22.75%
COMM
CommScope Holding
16.13
9.49
142.92%
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
17.54
7.77
79.53%

IMPINJ Corporate Events

Impinj Inc. Earnings Call: Mixed Signals Amid Growth
Oct 31, 2025

The recent earnings call for Impinj Inc. painted a mixed picture, with both positive and challenging elements. On the upside, the company celebrated record endpoint IC volumes and robust systems revenue growth, supported by strategic hires and a strong financial footing. However, these achievements were balanced by a sequential revenue decline, a cautious outlook for the fourth quarter, and difficulties with Chinese partner orders.

Impinj Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

Impinj Inc., a leader in RAIN RFID technology and a pioneer in the Internet of Things sector, connects everyday items to the internet, providing data for business and consumer applications. In its third-quarter 2025 earnings report, Impinj announced strong financial results, surpassing revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, reflecting the success of its solutions and Gen2X focus. The company reported a revenue of $96.1 million, with a GAAP gross margin of 50.3% and a non-GAAP gross margin of 53.0%. Despite a GAAP net loss of $12.8 million, Impinj achieved a non-GAAP net income of $17.7 million, or $0.58 per diluted share. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2025, Impinj projects revenue between $90.0 million and $93.0 million, with a GAAP net loss ranging from $2.6 million to $1.1 million. The company remains optimistic about its market position and future opportunities, driven by its innovative technology and strategic focus.

Executive/Board Changes
Impinj Appoints Arthur Valdez Jr. to Board
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced the appointment of Arthur L. Valdez Jr. to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to seven members. Mr. Valdez’s term will last until the company’s next annual stockholders’ meeting, and he will participate in the company’s outside director compensation policy. There are no existing relationships or transactions between Mr. Valdez and the company that require disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Impinj Announces $190M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced the pricing of its private offering of $170 million in 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2029, later increased to $190 million after the initial purchasers exercised their option. The proceeds, approximately $183.6 million, were used to exchange $190 million of its 2027 Notes for cash and shares, and to fund capped call transactions aimed at reducing potential dilution of its common stock. The notes, convertible under specific conditions, are senior unsecured obligations and will mature on September 15, 2029. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance Impinj’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Impinj Announces $150M Convertible Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Impinj, Inc. announced its plan to offer $150 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2029 in a private placement to qualified institutional buyers, with an option for purchasers to acquire an additional $25 million. The proceeds from this offering are intended to be used for the exchange of a portion of its outstanding 2027 Notes and other corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to affect Impinj’s stock market activity and could influence the trading price of its common stock and notes, impacting stakeholders’ decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PI) stock is a Buy with a $205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IMPINJ stock, see the PI Stock Forecast page.

Impinj Inc. Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Impinj Inc. Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges in Q2 Earnings Call

Impinj Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Jul 31, 2025

Impinj Inc., a leader in RAIN RFID technology and a pioneer in the Internet of Things sector, specializes in connecting everyday items to the internet to enhance data-driven decision-making for businesses and consumers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025