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PureCycle Technologies (PCT)
NASDAQ:PCT
US Market

PureCycle Technologies (PCT) AI Stock Analysis

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PureCycle Technologies

(NASDAQ:PCT)

38Underperform
PureCycle Technologies is facing significant financial challenges, including zero revenue and negative cash flows, which heavily weigh down its stock score. The company's bearish technical indicators and poor valuation further contribute to a low score. However, recent operational improvements and partnerships offer a glimmer of hope, reflected in slightly higher scores for earnings call and corporate events. Overall, the stock remains a high-risk investment with potential upside if operational improvements lead to financial stability.
Positive Factors
Commercialization
First major product commercialization announcement could be a share price rally catalyst.
Market Opportunity
Significant commercial opportunity in the fiber, film, and injection molding markets is beginning to take shape.
Technology
PureCycle's unique technology allows it to produce near-virgin quality polypropylene cost effectively, which can be used in high value applications.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The GAAP net loss was significantly higher than estimates and consensus forecasts.
Revenue
PureCycle did not generate any revenue this quarter, which was below estimates.

PureCycle Technologies (PCT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

PureCycle Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPureCycle Technologies, Inc. produces recycled polypropylene (PP). The company holds a license for restoring waste PP into ultra-pure recycled resin. Its recycling process separates color, odor, and other contaminants from plastic waste feedstock to transform it into virgin-like resin. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyPureCycle Technologies generates revenue by selling ultra-pure recycled polypropylene resin to manufacturers and companies seeking sustainable materials for their products. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with major corporations and partnerships with companies looking to incorporate recycled materials into their supply chains. Additionally, PureCycle benefits from licensing its proprietary recycling technology to other facilities, expanding its market reach and potential income sources. The company's earnings are bolstered by the growing demand for environmentally friendly materials, as businesses and consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability.

PureCycle Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PureCycle Technologies faces critical financial challenges, with no revenue generation, mounting losses, and negative cash flows. Although the debt position has improved, the company lacks profitability and operational sustainability, presenting significant risks to stakeholders.
Income Statement
10
Very Negative
PureCycle Technologies has consistently reported zero revenue over the years, indicating a lack of sales and market penetration. The company has faced increasing net losses, with the latest net income at -$289 million, suggesting significant operational challenges and poor profitability. There is no revenue growth or profitability margin to assess, reflecting a struggling position in its industry.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 2.43 in 2020 to 0.37 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. However, the equity ratio has decreased over time, with the latest equity ratio at 22.61%, reflecting vulnerability in its financial structure. The decreasing total assets and stockholders' equity suggest a deteriorating asset base and financial strength.
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
Cash flow statements highlight negative operating and free cash flows, indicating a lack of self-sustaining operations and capital expenditure reliance without adequate financing inflows. The free cash flow has consistently been negative, with an increasing trend in cash outflows. This persistent cash burn is a significant risk factor.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
0.00-18.86M-26.56M-10.55M-8.60M
EBIT
0.00-113.90M-75.48M-69.37M-48.89M
EBITDA
0.00-97.97M-79.54M-67.30M-46.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-289.14M-101.72M-87.39M-84.36M-64.69M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
15.68M121.64M162.48M200.78M64.49M
Total Assets
798.38M1.04B861.34M664.68M404.13M
Total Debt
67.60M543.80M250.13M232.51M262.27M
Net Debt
51.91M470.39M186.24M199.09M197.78M
Total Liabilities
617.94M619.14M350.45M283.15M296.23M
Stockholders Equity
180.45M420.24M510.88M381.54M107.90M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-200.41M-248.81M-352.67M-191.90M-47.76M
Operating Cash Flow
-144.83M-94.91M-65.48M-54.51M-17.95M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.01M-102.10M-218.39M-305.57M-29.81M
Financing Cash Flow
-109.17M272.00M247.53M293.37M378.19M

PureCycle Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price6.72
Price Trends
50DMA
7.45
Negative
100DMA
8.82
Negative
200DMA
8.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.16
Negative
RSI
48.89
Neutral
STOCH
67.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 6.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.37, below the 50-day MA of 7.45, and below the 200-day MA of 8.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PCT.

PureCycle Technologies Risk Analysis

PureCycle Technologies disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PureCycle Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PureCycle Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$914.15M20.0218.34%8.89%278.44%
72
Outperform
$865.15M39.5310.73%12.93%7.08%
64
Neutral
$4.28B11.805.33%250.46%4.10%-9.26%
ARARQ
63
Neutral
$178.57M-2.58%9.86%72.73%
50
Neutral
$29.23M-4.54%-7.19%-24.85%
39
Underperform
$47.12M
PCPCT
38
Underperform
$1.21B-96.27%-180.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCT
PureCycle Technologies
6.72
1.55
29.98%
ARQ
Arq Inc
4.23
-3.74
-46.93%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
25.92
2.85
12.35%
ERII
Energy Recovery
15.80
2.37
17.65%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
0.95
-0.32
-25.20%
SCWO
374Water
0.32
-1.30
-80.25%

PureCycle Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -29.04%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant commercial successes and operational improvements, particularly the commercialization of the Ironton facility and strong customer feedback. However, challenges remain with cash reserves and dependency on certification for inventory sales.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Commercialization of Ironton
PureCycle entered a new period of commercialization for its Ironton facility, with progress leading to the first meaningful purchase order from Drake.
Strong Customer Feedback and Demand
Positive feedback from customers indicates that products meet or exceed the qualities of virgin material, with over 20 trials ongoing and more than 10 in later-stage industrial trials.
Procter & Gamble Partnership
Amended license agreement with Procter & Gamble secures exclusivity in North America and additional exclusivity for global expansion.
Expansion in Various Market Segments
Engaged in trials across various segments, including rigid packaging, flexible packaging, and automotive, with potential demand reaching up to 500 million pounds per year.
Operational Improvements at Ironton
Achieved a new monthly high of almost 70% on-stream time in December, with significant improvements in reliability and quality metrics.
Successful Capital Raise
Raised $33 million in February, enhancing liquidity and attracting significant investment from Plead Investment Advisors.
Negative Updates
Limited Cash Reserves
Year-end liquidity position included just under $16 million of unrestricted cash, with cash expenses in the fourth quarter totaling $68 million.
Dependency on Certification for Inventory Sales
Sales held back to achieve higher value, dependent on third-party certification, expected toward the end of Q1.
Uncertainty in Automotive Market Timing
Discussions ongoing about whether recycled content will be introduced in a current or next model year vehicle, affecting the timeline for commercialization.
Company Guidance
During the PureCycle Technologies fourth quarter 2024 corporate update call, the company highlighted several key metrics and developments. In terms of operational progress, the Ironton facility achieved a maximum feed rate of 12,500 pounds per hour with an on-stream time nearing 70% in December, signaling robust improvements in production reliability. The company compounded 4 million pounds of material in Q4 and has a promising pipeline of 29 trials with potential customers, with 16 trials at an industrial scale stage. This is expected to unlock a demand potential of 250 to 500 million pounds per year. Financially, PureCycle raised $33 million in February and ended the year with nearly $16 million in unrestricted cash, maintaining a monthly cash burn rate around $9 to $9.5 million. Furthermore, PureCycle anticipates securing third-party certification for 7.2 million pounds of finished product in inventory by the end of Q1. The company is also engaged in significant partnerships, including an amended license agreement with Procter & Gamble, positioning itself for robust commercialization and growth.

PureCycle Technologies Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PureCycle Technologies Reports Progress in Operations and Facilities
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

In a corporate update for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, PureCycle Technologies announced significant progress in its operations, including improvements at its Ironton Facility and the successful launch of the Denver, PA sorting facility. The company has made strides in commercializing its PureFive™ resin, with successful trials and sales to major companies such as Drake Extrusion Inc. and Churchill Container. These developments highlight PureCycle’s potential for growth in various industries, including consumer goods and automotive, as it continues to enhance production capacity and product quality.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.