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Arq Inc (ARQ)
NASDAQ:ARQ
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Arq Inc (ARQ) AI Stock Analysis

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ARQ

Arq Inc

(NASDAQ:ARQ)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(0.50% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
Overall score reflects weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative free cash flow) as the primary constraint, partly offset by encouraging earnings-call indicators (margin and adjusted EBITDA improvement with reaffirmed 2026 guidance). Technicals are broadly neutral, while valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improving PAC profitability
Higher PAC margins and adjusted EBITDA indicate improving operating leverage and product economics. If sustained, this progress can strengthen earnings quality and support management’s longer-term profitability targets.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability
Revenue growth has not yet translated into sustainable profitability, as cost pressure or unfavorable mix continues to outweigh sales gains. Persistent losses can erode the equity base and constrain investment unless the PAC improvement endures.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving PAC profitability
Higher PAC margins and adjusted EBITDA indicate improving operating leverage and product economics. If sustained, this progress can strengthen earnings quality and support management’s longer-term profitability targets.
Read all positive factors

Arq Inc (ARQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arq Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating throughout North America, Arq, Inc. is a specialized manufacturer of activated carbon materials. Their product range encompasses various types of activated carbon, specifically granular, powdered, and colloidal forms. Additionally, they ...
How the Company Makes Money
Arq, Inc. makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling activated carbon products to industrial customers. Its key revenue stream is product sales—particularly powdered activated carbon used for emissions control (e.g., mercury removal and ot...

Arq Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights a clear operating improvement driven by PAC: margin expansion, strong adjusted EBITDA growth, reduced net loss, introduction of a promising PAC for PFAS product, and active options to monetize non-core assets. Key risks remain around the large and uncertain capital needed for a potential GAC conversion ($40–$60M), restricted cash timing effects and existing leverage, and the delayed timeline for any GAC production. On balance, the company delivered meaningful operational progress and new product momentum while management is taking a disciplined capital allocation approach.
Positive Updates
Revenue Stability
Revenue of approximately $30.0 million in Q2 2026, up modestly year-over-year, driven by improved volumes and pricing.
Negative Updates
GAC Conversion Cost Uncertainty
Estimated capital required to complete bituminous GAC conversion remains a wide range of $40 million to $60 million (Phase 1 = 25 million pounds capacity); company has not committed and will only proceed if returns justify the spend, leaving material strategic uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Stability
Revenue of approximately $30.0 million in Q2 2026, up modestly year-over-year, driven by improved volumes and pricing.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated full‑year 2026 guidance of $120–$125 million revenue and $17–$20 million adjusted EBITDA, with capital expenditures reaffirmed at $8–$10 million and the biennial Red River turnaround (cost $3.1 million, capitalized) not expected to recur before April 2028; Q2 results included ~$30 million revenue, ~38.5% gross margin (up ~520 bps YoY), and ~$5.8 million adjusted EBITDA (vs. $3.7M a year ago) with a net loss of ~$0.7 million. Management said PAC for PFAS may drive meaningful 2027 contribution (some H2 2026 sales possible), expects no bituminous GAC production/sales in 2027, and provided a preliminary GAC conversion estimate of $40–$60 million to reach ~25 million pounds capacity (12‑month build estimate). Balance sheet figures cited: total cash $12.1 million (≈$11.2M restricted), unrestricted cash ~$3.1 million as of July 31, and total debt ~$30.9 million (≈$21.4M MidCap revolver, $8.1M CTV); the company plans to fund needs via existing cash, cash generation, cost savings and potential incremental credit while targeting up to a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDA (management’s $30M EBITDA goal).

Arq Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is growing and leverage is modest (debt-to-equity ~0.06), but profitability remains the key weakness with deeply negative TTM net margin (~-42%) and weak/negative free cash flow, limiting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue123.44M120.34M108.96M99.18M102.99M100.29M
Gross Profit35.55M33.53M39.44M31.86M22.52M34.72M
EBITDA-37.88M-38.40M6.58M1.46M-1.96M85.50M
Net Income-52.26M-52.61M-5.11M-12.25M-8.92M60.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets233.01M230.58M284.37M235.50M181.16M185.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments906.00K6.57M13.52M45.36M66.43M78.75M
Total Debt17.10M37.39M34.36M31.74M12.44M10.50M
Total Liabilities64.79M62.62M67.09M57.10M41.19M38.13M
Stockholders Equity168.22M167.96M217.28M178.40M139.98M147.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.40M-11.05M-74.69M-44.17M-14.97M19.80M
Operating Cash Flow-35.00K-2.48M10.48M-16.65M-6.06M26.00M
Investing Cash Flow-4.73M-8.41M-85.07M-28.54M-4.61M44.38M
Financing Cash Flow1.49M3.70M42.68M22.91M-1.68M-17.53M

Arq Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.99
Price Trends
50DMA
2.22
Negative
100DMA
2.35
Negative
200DMA
2.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
50.23
Neutral
STOCH
21.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.18, below the 50-day MA of 2.22, and below the 200-day MA of 2.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARQ.

Arq Inc Risk Analysis

Arq Inc disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arq Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arq Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$4.23B-119.75-3.60%37.64%-145.85%
55
Neutral
$30.84M-4.86-58.08%82.74%17.79%
53
Neutral
$96.07M-1.72-28.98%4.93%-3567.25%
51
Neutral
$47.48M-2.21-401.94%
47
Neutral
$45.58M-13.17-8.88%8.89%-6.47%
45
Neutral
$18.45M-0.67-79.34%-0.17%37.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQ
Arq Inc
2.16
-5.56
-72.02%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
69.67
24.08
52.82%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
1.48
-1.44
-49.32%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
4.47
-1.38
-23.58%
LIQT
LiqTech International
0.57
-1.39
-70.92%
SCWO
374Water
2.79
-0.78
-21.85%

Arq Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Arq Appoints Peter Owino as Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Aug 28, 2026
On August 24, 2026, Arq&#8217;s board appointed veteran finance executive Peter Owino, 52, as Chief Accounting Officer, effective September 1, 2026, following his stint as interim CAO under a consulting arrangement since June 2026. The move formal...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Arq Restructures CEO Compensation Toward Long-Term Equity Alignment
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
On July 23, 2026, Arq, Inc. amended the employment agreement of President and CEO Robert Rasmus, setting a new term through July 23, 2029, while reducing his annual salary to $50,000 and eliminating his eligibility for annual bonuses and long-term...
Executive/Board Changes
Arq Inc Chief Accounting Officer Resigns, Leadership Shift
Neutral
Jul 2, 2026
Effective June 12, 2026, Arq, Inc.&#8217;s Chief Accounting Officer, Stacia Hansen, resigned from her position with the company, marking a leadership change in its financial reporting function. In connection with her departure, Hansen entered into...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Arq Appoints Interim Accounting Officer Amid Finance Transition
Neutral
Jun 18, 2026
On June 14, 2026, Arq, Inc.&#8217;s board appointed veteran accountant Peter Owino as Interim Chief Accounting Officer, effective June 12, 2026, making him the company&#8217;s principal accounting officer while a permanent successor is sought. Owi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Arq Inc Shareholders Approve New Incentive Plan and Governance
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Arq, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where investors approved a new 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan authorizing up to 1.5 million new shares plus remaining capacity from the 2024 plan for a broad array of equity an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026