tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Arq Inc (ARQ)
NASDAQ:ARQ

Arq Inc (ARQ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
448 Followers

Top Page

AR

Arq Inc

(NASDAQ:ARQ)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(3.97%Upside)
Arq Inc's overall score reflects mixed financial performance and valuation concerns. While there is a strong technical outlook and positive earnings call sentiment, the company faces profitability challenges and valuation issues. The appointment of a new CFO is a positive strategic move but not included in the score due to weight redistribution.
Positive Factors
Contract Renegotiation
Arq has now renegotiated all of the company's PAC contracts — eliminating negative margins.
Market Demand
Large water utilities and municipalities are moving at an accelerated pace to secure GAC supply, which is beneficial for Arq.
Negative Factors
Business Transition
The GAC metamorphosis is taking longer than expected, delaying the financial inflection point the GAC transition promises.
Financial Performance
Arq reported earnings that missed consensus estimates, with revenue and gross margin coming in below expectations.

Arq Inc (ARQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arq Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArq Inc (ARQ) is a technology company that specializes in providing innovative digital solutions across various sectors. The company focuses on developing cutting-edge software products and services that enhance efficiency and productivity for businesses. Arq Inc's core offerings include cloud computing services, data analytics solutions, and cybersecurity tools that cater to a diverse range of industries, including healthcare, finance, and retail.
How the Company Makes MoneyArq Inc generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model for its cloud computing and data analytics services. Clients pay recurring fees to access Arq's software solutions, which are delivered via the cloud. Additionally, the company earns income from one-time licensing fees and consulting services related to the implementation and customization of its software products. Arq Inc also partners with other technology firms to integrate its solutions into broader platforms, expanding its customer base and revenue potential. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for digital transformation and the increasing importance of data security, which drive the adoption of Arq's cybersecurity tools.

Arq Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.47%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced outlook. Arq reported strong revenue growth, improved profitability, and significant new contracts. However, these positives were countered by significant delays and challenges in the GAC line commissioning, which are critical to future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Arq reported revenue of $27.2 million in Q1 2025, an improvement of 25% over the prior year period, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of double-digit year-over-year percentage growth in ASP.
Improved Profitability
The company achieved adjusted EBITDA of $4.1 million and positive net income of $200,000, compared to a net loss of $3.4 million in Q1 2024.
High Customer Retention
Arq maintained a 95% customer retention rate in 2024 for power generation and industrial customers, showcasing strong relationships and customer satisfaction.
New Major Contract
Arq secured a landmark life of asset contract, the second-largest by value in company history, providing enhanced visibility into their PA business.
Potential New Growth Avenues
Exploration of extracting rare earth minerals and producing synthetic graphite from coal waste feedstock, with potential government funding support.
Negative Updates
GAC Production Delays
The completion and commercial production of the first GAC production line at Red River has been delayed, with full commissioning now expected by late Q2 or early Q3 2025.
Mechanical and Process Challenges
Ongoing mechanical issues and process inconsistencies in the GAC line, particularly in the binding and shaping zone, have caused production delays.
SG&A Costs
SG&A expenses remain higher than appropriate for the company's size, although active cost reduction efforts are underway.
Company Guidance
During the Arq First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating a positive trajectory with revenue of $27.2 million, marking a 25% improvement over the prior year. The increase was driven by a 13% growth in average selling price (ASP) and a favorable product and customer mix. Arq reported a gross margin of 36.4%, consistent with the previous year, and achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $4.1 million. The company highlighted achieving double-digit million annual EBITDA from its PAC business and emphasized the potential growth in its GAC initiative, despite some commissioning delays. Additionally, Arq secured a landmark contract, contributing to a 95% customer retention rate and outlining a clear path to future growth, with expectations to reach nameplate capacity slightly beyond 2025.

Arq Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arq Inc shows moderate revenue growth but faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow. The income statement indicates moderate growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 5%. However, the negative net profit margin and stressed cash flow dynamics highlight financial pressures. The balance sheet is strong, with low leverage and a high equity ratio, but the negative cash flow requires attention to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Arq Inc's income statement reflects moderate growth in revenue with a challenging profitability trajectory. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth is notable at approximately 5% over the previous year, indicating positive sales momentum. However, profitability metrics such as the gross profit margin (34.66%) and net profit margin (-1.3%) suggest pressures on cost management and overall earnings. The EBIT margin (1.47%) and EBITDA margin (9.03%) show slight improvements but remain low, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet of Arq Inc indicates a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, reflecting low leverage. This is favorable for financial stability and risk management. The return on equity (ROE) remains negative due to net losses, but the equity ratio stands strong at 76.92%, suggesting a robust capital structure with significant equity relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Arq Inc faces significant challenges in cash flow management. Operating cash flow is negative, indicating cash outflows from operations. The free cash flow is also negative, driven by substantial capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio cannot be reliably assessed due to negative figures, highlighting stressed cash flow dynamics that could impact future growth and investment capacity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
114.47M108.96M99.18M102.99M100.29M67.36M
Gross Profit
39.67M39.44M31.86M16.11M26.79M8.43M
EBIT
1.68M-1.96M-13.34M-12.03M2.15M-16.01M
EBITDA
10.33M6.58M1.46M-1.96M85.50M-1.33M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.49M-5.11M-12.25M-8.92M60.40M-20.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.34M13.52M45.36M66.43M78.75M30.93M
Total Assets
283.67M284.37M235.50M192.17M197.41M156.12M
Total Debt
10.66M34.36M31.74M12.44M10.50M26.88M
Net Debt
4.32M20.85M-13.62M-53.99M-68.25M-4.05M
Total Liabilities
65.50M67.09M57.10M52.19M50.11M70.91M
Stockholders Equity
218.17M217.28M178.40M139.98M147.30M85.21M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-38.66M-74.69M-44.17M-11.92M69.48M46.58M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.42M10.48M-16.65M-2.42M77.08M54.05M
Investing Cash Flow
-79.03M-85.07M-28.54M-8.24M-6.70M-7.47M
Financing Cash Flow
46.29M43.31M22.91M-1.68M-17.53M-27.73M

Arq Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.29
Price Trends
50DMA
4.20
Positive
100DMA
4.83
Positive
200DMA
5.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
65.55
Neutral
STOCH
72.47
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.83, above the 50-day MA of 4.20, and below the 200-day MA of 5.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.47 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARQ.

Arq Inc Risk Analysis

Arq Inc disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arq Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arq Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$943.06M20.9618.34%8.89%278.44%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.295.40%3.67%4.15%-12.21%
ARARQ
56
Neutral
$227.52M-0.76%14.33%85.35%
55
Neutral
$32.40M-75.96%10.88%3.57%
54
Neutral
$60.63M-6.95%7.30%-247.48%
54
Neutral
$15.38M-69.66%-17.77%0.86%
39
Underperform
$57.24M-110.71%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARQ
Arq Inc
5.23
-0.99
-15.92%
CECO
Ceco Environmental
27.87
3.77
15.64%
FTEK
Fuel Tech
1.89
0.84
80.00%
CLIR
ClearSign Combustion
0.60
-0.12
-16.67%
LIQT
LiqTech International
1.49
-0.87
-36.86%
SCWO
374Water
0.41
-0.75
-64.66%

Arq Inc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Arq Inc Announces Board Changes at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Arq Inc. held its annual meeting where significant changes to the Board of Directors were made, with L. Spencer Wells and Gilbert Li stepping down. The meeting included votes on various proposals, including the election of six directors, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of Moss Adams LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. Richard Campbell-Breeden was appointed as Chair of the Board, with Laurie Bergman, Carol Eicher, and Campbell-Breeden taking key committee roles.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARQ) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arq Inc stock, see the ARQ Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arq Inc Delays Commissioning of GAC Facility
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Arq, Inc. announced a revised timeline for the commissioning of its granular activated carbon (GAC) facility at the Red River Plant. Initially expected by the end of Q1 2025, the final commissioning and first commercial production are now anticipated by the end of Q2 or early Q3 2025 due to extended fine-tuning and testing. Despite producing small non-commercial volumes, the company aims to ensure consistent commercial-scale production without increasing capital expenditures. A ramp-up period of three to six months is expected to achieve full capacity.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arq Inc Appoints Jay L. Voncannon as CFO
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

On April 2, 2025, Arq Inc. appointed Jay L. Voncannon as Chief Financial Officer, marking a significant step in the company’s ongoing transformation and growth strategy. Voncannon, with over 35 years of experience in finance, previously served as CFO at CoorsTek, Inc., and brings extensive expertise in strategic growth and profitability. His appointment is expected to strengthen Arq’s financial leadership and support its accelerated growth in the activated carbon market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.