TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

CD Projekt (OTGLY) AI Stock Analysis

Top Page

OTGLY

CD Projekt

(Other OTC:OTGLY)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:$19.00â–²(16.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/07/26

The score is primarily supported by excellent financial fundamentals (very high margins, low leverage, healthy returns) and a strongly positive earnings call highlighting growth, liquidity, and a visible multi-year pipeline. Offsetting this, technical indicators show clear bearish momentum, while valuation is less attractive with a high P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Durable franchise IPThe Witcher and Cyberpunk franchises provide durable intellectual property, established audiences, and meaningful back-catalogue sales. Their scale can support future releases, expansions, licensing, and cross-media partnerships while reducing the need to build consumer awareness from scratch.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue cycleThe business remains dependent on the timing and commercial success of major releases, making revenue less predictable between launches. Even strong margins cannot fully offset periods of weaker title performance, creating variability in earnings, cash generation, and capital efficiency.

CD Projekt (OTGLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%OTGLY-4.19%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$6.54B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
11.86K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
41.4
Beta (1Y)
0.94
Revenue Growth
-7.51%
EPS Growth
48.36%
Country
US
Employees
808
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

CD Projekt Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CD Projekt S.A., together with its associated companies, specializes in the global development, publication, and digital delivery of video games for personal computers and console systems. The enterprise is structured around two key divisions: CD PRO...

How the Company Makes Money

CD Projekt makes money mainly by developing and selling video games and by operating a digital distribution storefront. 1) Game development and publishing (CD PROJEKT RED) - Full game sales: Revenue is generated from sales of CD Projekt’s own titles...

CD Projekt Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 01, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:3.96%|Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall, supported by 23% revenue growth, 28% gross-profit growth, 37% net-profit growth, 57% net profitability, strong sales and engagement across both franchises, positive Gamescom reception, a substantial release pipeline and nearly PLN 1.3 billion of liquidity. The main negatives were the 6% increase in operating costs, continued high development cash outflows, a PLN 39 million decline in reserves and management's expectation that the second incentive-program target will not be met.

Positive Updates

Cyberpunk 2077 Continues Strong Long-Term Sales
Nearly six years after launch, Cyberpunk 2077 has sold over 14 million copies and continues to sell well. In the first week of July, peak concurrent players on Steam exceeded 100,000, the highest level observed since October 2023.

Negative Updates

Operating Costs Increased
Operating costs rose 6% year-on-year to over PLN 160 million, driven mainly by administrative expenses, while selling expenses remained relatively stable.

Company Guidance

Management said Songs of the Past is launching in 2027, The Witcher 4 has a target release window in 2028, and The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt Remastered launches on September 29, 2026, but it is not guiding specifically on the revenue attached to Remastered, future results, licensing revenues for the second half of '26, development-expenditure increases, or specific expansion attachment rates; Hadar is expected to grow from over 30 people to up to 50 developers by the end of this year. The first tranche of incentive program B requires PLN 2 billion in cumulative net profit from continuing operations over 4 years, is 86% complete, and leaves 14% or approximately PLN 273 million over the remaining two quarters; the company will most likely not meet the second-stage 2024, 2027 target of PLN 3 billion, so 70% of the entitlements will most likely not vest, while management remains optimistic about achieving the third and fourth targets of respectively PLN 4 billion and PLN 5 billion in subsequent 4-year periods.

CD Projekt Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall financial quality driven by exceptionally high profitability (TTM ~98% gross margin, ~72% net margin) and a very conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage and healthy ROE (~18.6% TTM). The key offset is cyclicality: revenues and free cash flow have been volatile across years, and free-cash-flow conversion has been uneven despite generally positive and strong operating cash flow.

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue821.04M828.73M985.03M1.23B952.58M888.17M
Gross Profit805.19M743.01M737.88M849.63M708.60M637.94M
EBITDA381.02M506.14M448.49M553.33M515.06M326.63M
Net Income597.75M503.58M469.87M481.11M347.09M208.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.78B3.50B3.04B2.61B2.27B2.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments441.05M634.00M1.19B878.98M894.67M984.35M
Total Debt46.06M26.00M20.15M20.04M28.46M46.88M
Total Liabilities226.72M213.15M241.76M209.95M240.72M264.38M
Stockholders Equity3.56B3.29B2.80B2.40B2.03B1.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow213.69M514.65M173.84M280.07M149.93M784.46M
Operating Cash Flow436.78M609.77M521.30M610.88M406.03M967.83M
Investing Cash Flow-508.75M-499.21M-470.55M-607.35M-335.61M-613.79M
Financing Cash Flow-37.22M-120.86M-103.92M-103.31M-204.18M-505.78M

CD Projekt Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price16.32

Price Trends

50DMA16.36Negative
100DMA16.12Positive
200DMA16.77Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.16Positive
RSI43.95Neutral
STOCH40.07Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTGLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.85, below the 50-day MA of 16.36, and below the 200-day MA of 16.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OTGLY.

CD Projekt Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

OTGLY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NTESNTES83Outperform$71.72B14.7920.04%2.58%9.83%-2.22%
OTGLYOTGLY70Outperform$6.52B41.4018.64%―-7.51%48.36%
BILIBILI68Neutral$5.37B23.419.84%―10.34%620.66%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
TTWOTTWO54Neutral$35.56B-109.92-9.12%―15.30%92.77%
RBLXRBLX50Neutral$30.77B-31.14-397.76%―32.13%4.15%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%OTGLYNTESTTWOBILIRBLXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
OTGLY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
OTGLYCd Projekt S.A.16.32-0.97-5.61%
NTESNetease113.64-24.14-17.52%
TTWOTake-Two Interactive190.17-65.48-25.61%
BILIBilibili12.68-17.51-58.00%
RBLXRoblox Corp.42.99-64.67-60.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 07, 2026