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Take-Two (TTWO)
NASDAQ:TTWO

Take-Two (TTWO) AI Stock Analysis

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Take-Two

(NASDAQ:TTWO)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$235.00
▲( 4.45% Upside)
Take-Two's overall score reflects significant financial challenges and negative valuation metrics. However, strong earnings call results and strategic initiatives, like the recent stock offering, provide a positive outlook. Technical indicators suggest potential upward momentum, but financial performance remains a major concern.
Positive Factors
Earnings
TTWO reported strong F4Q results as GTA Online, Zynga, and particularly NBA 2K outperformed.
Future Releases
Announcing several highly anticipated titles to be released in 2025.
Game Franchises
TTWO has strong game franchises including NBA 2K, Grand Theft Auto (GTA), and Red Dead Online.
Negative Factors
Launch Delays
The practical effect of Take-Two delaying the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI is that the company guided substantially below consensus estimates for FY:26.
Monetization Challenges
Slower than expected monetisation ramp-up of new games which could affect the time spent on games and lead to slower revenue growth.
Underperformance
The February launch of Civilization VII underperformed the company's targets, leading to the more modest F4Q beat vs. expectations.

Take-Two (TTWO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Take-Two Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a leading developer, publisher, and marketer of interactive entertainment for consumers around the globe. The company operates through two primary business segments: Rockstar Games and 2K. Take-Two is known for its high-quality, immersive entertainment experiences and is responsible for some of the most successful video game franchises in history, including Grand Theft Auto, Red Dead Redemption, NBA 2K, and BioShock. Its products are designed for console gaming systems, PCs, and mobile devices, catering to a diverse audience of dedicated gamers.
How the Company Makes MoneyTake-Two generates revenue primarily through the sale of video games, which includes both physical and digital formats. A significant portion of its income comes from the initial sale of game titles, as well as ongoing purchases of additional content such as downloadable content (DLC), in-game purchases, and virtual currency. The company also benefits from recurrent consumer spending, which continues to grow as players engage with online components and multiplayer features. Key partnerships with console manufacturers, digital storefronts, and retail distributors play a crucial role in expanding the reach of its games. Additionally, Take-Two earns revenue from licensing and intellectual property agreements, allowing third parties to create additional content or products based on its game franchises.

Take-Two Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Bookings
Net Bookings
Measures the total value of products and services sold digitally or physically, indicating the company's sales performance and future revenue potential.
Chart InsightsTake-Two's net bookings show a robust upward trend, driven by strong performances from NBA 2K and Grand Theft Auto series. The recent earnings call highlights a 30% increase in recurrent consumer spending for NBA 2K and anticipates record net bookings with upcoming major releases like Grand Theft Auto VI. Despite challenges in the mobile sector, the company projects a 5% growth in net bookings for fiscal 2025, supported by strategic game launches and a positive outlook for fiscal 2026 and 2027.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Take-Two Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Take-Two is facing significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow trends. The income statement shows a concerning decline in profitability, with a negative net profit margin and stagnant revenue growth. The balance sheet is moderately stable, with manageable leverage and a stable asset base funded by equity. However, declining stockholders' equity and assets pose challenges. Cash flow issues further highlight liquidity concerns, with negative free cash flow and operational cash deficits.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Take-Two's income statement shows significant financial challenges, with a notable decline in profitability. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) reflects a negative net profit margin of approximately -67.1%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue growth has been stagnant, with only a slight increase from the previous year, which is concerning given the competitive industry. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, further highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.18, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the decline in stockholders' equity over time points to potential challenges in value retention. The equity ratio stands at 45% for the TTM, indicating a stable asset base funded by equity. While there is some resilience, the overall decline in assets and equity over recent periods is a concern.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals liquidity issues, with negative free cash flow in the TTM, reflecting cash outflows exceeding inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, which is troubling as it indicates operational cash deficits. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, underscoring a downward cash flow trend, which could hinder future investments and operations.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.45B5.35B5.35B3.50B3.37B3.09B
Gross Profit
2.85B2.24B2.29B1.97B1.84B1.55B
EBIT
-318.90M-3.59B-1.13B473.60M629.38M425.27M
EBITDA
-1.80B-1.72B656.80M690.56M876.29M697.62M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.66B-3.74B-1.12B418.00M588.90M404.46M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.23B776.00M1.01B2.55B2.73B2.00B
Total Assets
12.68B12.22B15.86B6.55B6.03B4.95B
Total Debt
4.10B3.53B3.49B250.22M191.27M177.25M
Net Debt
2.90B2.78B2.66B-1.48B-1.23B-1.18B
Total Liabilities
6.98B6.55B6.82B2.74B2.70B2.41B
Stockholders Equity
5.70B5.67B9.04B3.81B3.33B2.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-494.60M-157.80M-203.10M99.34M843.39M632.29M
Operating Cash Flow
-333.10M-16.10M1.10M257.98M912.32M685.68M
Investing Cash Flow
-143.40M-28.20M-2.88B139.22M-806.72M4.05M
Financing Cash Flow
608.80M-91.40M1.93B-256.81M-57.34M-77.45M

Take-Two Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price224.99
Price Trends
50DMA
217.37
Positive
100DMA
206.99
Positive
200DMA
186.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.27
Positive
RSI
50.45
Neutral
STOCH
25.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTWO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 224.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 228.53, above the 50-day MA of 217.37, and above the 200-day MA of 186.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TTWO.

Take-Two Risk Analysis

Take-Two disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Take-Two reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Take-Two Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$75.19B17.2023.93%2.15%1.26%6.84%
EAEA
76
Outperform
$36.84B34.5916.13%0.52%-0.81%-9.28%
73
Outperform
$55.80B-460.30%30.24%27.61%
65
Neutral
$7.72B-4.29%21.11%87.93%
63
Neutral
$1.69B12.03-220.61%8.87%1.64%-32.31%
61
Neutral
$14.08B5.95-4.18%3.68%2.79%-36.29%
57
Neutral
$39.92B-114.76%5.31%-15.57%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTWO
Take-Two
224.99
68.20
43.50%
EA
Electronic Arts
146.89
15.54
11.83%
NTES
NetEase
119.75
31.05
35.01%
BILI
Bilibili
18.94
5.01
35.97%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
4.51
-3.57
-44.18%
RBLX
Roblox
82.26
49.30
149.58%

Take-Two Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record net bookings and successful game releases, particularly NBA 2K25 and Zynga's mobile titles. However, significant operating expense increases and impairment charges present challenges. The anticipation for Grand Theft Auto VI and a robust future pipeline provide optimism for continued growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Bookings
Fourth quarter net bookings reached $1.58 billion, the top of the guidance range. Annual net bookings for fiscal 2025 were $5.65 billion, also at the top of the range.
NBA 2K25 Success
NBA 2K25 posted near-record performance with nearly 10 million units sold, a 7% increase from NBA 2K24. Engagement metrics such as Daily Active Users increased by 30%.
Zynga's Continued Momentum
Zynga's peak performance included Match Factory exceeding expectations and Toon Blast experiencing a 7% growth in net bookings.
Upcoming Releases and Outlook
A strong pipeline with titles like Mafia: The Old Country, Borderlands 4, and Grand Theft Auto VI expected to drive significant growth. Fiscal 2026 net bookings projected to be $5.9 billion to $6 billion.
Grand Theft Auto VI Anticipation
The second trailer for GTA VI set a record with 475 million views in 24 hours, indicating high consumer anticipation.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses Surge
Operating expenses increased by 44% to $4.6 billion in the fourth quarter, primarily due to a $3.6 billion impairment expense related to goodwill and acquired intangible assets.
Recurrent Consumer Spending Challenges
Despite strong growth in some areas, recurrent consumer spending is expected to be flat in fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025.
Impairment Charge
A partial impairment of $3.6 billion related to goodwill and acquired intangible assets, which has not been specified but is assumed to be linked to Zynga.
Company Guidance
During the Take-Two Interactive Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported net bookings of $1.58 billion for the quarter, marking the top end of their guidance range. Highlights included NBA 2K's recurrent consumer spending growth of 42% and 7% year-over-year sales increase, driven by strong engagement metrics such as a 30% rise in Daily Active Users. The fiscal year concluded with net bookings of $5.65 billion, also at the top of their guidance range. Looking ahead, Take-Two provided an initial financial outlook for fiscal 2026, projecting net bookings between $5.9 billion and $6 billion, indicating a 5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. The outlook assumes continued positive trends in mobile performance and the strength of NBA 2K, with anticipated releases like Mafia: The Old Country and Borderlands 4. The company also highlighted Grand Theft Auto VI set for release in fiscal 2027, following trailers that shattered viewership records. Operating expenses were projected to increase by 3% in fiscal 2026 due to higher marketing expenses, though operating expense leverage is expected as net bookings growth outpaces expense expansion.

Take-Two Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Take-Two Completes $1.04 Billion Stock Offering
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 4,750,000 shares of its common stock at $225.00 per share, with an option for underwriters to purchase an additional 712,500 shares. The offering, which closed on May 22, 2025, is expected to generate net proceeds of approximately $1.04 billion, or $1.19 billion if the option is fully exercised, intended for general corporate purposes including debt repayment and future acquisitions. This strategic move is likely to impact Take-Two’s financial flexibility and market positioning, potentially benefiting stakeholders by supporting growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTWO) stock is a Buy with a $194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Take-Two stock, see the TTWO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Take-Two Announces Record Net Bookings Expectations
Positive
May 2, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. announced its expectations for record levels of net bookings in fiscal years 2026 and 2027. The company also revealed that Rockstar Games’ highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI is now scheduled for release on May 26, 2026, instead of the previously expected fall 2025. This delay is intended to allow Rockstar Games to fully realize its creative vision for the game. Take-Two plans to report its fourth-quarter and fiscal 2025 results on May 15, 2025, with a conference call to discuss these results.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.