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Orion Group Holdings
(NYSE:ORN)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(54.55% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
Overall score is driven by improving fundamentals (earnings recovery and healthier leverage) and supportive technical momentum (price above major moving averages). The main constraints are inconsistent/negative free cash flow and a middling valuation (P/E ~23), while the earnings call adds optimism via strong backlog/pipeline despite conservative guidance and segment-level execution risks.
Positive Factors
Large pursuit pipeline and growing backlog
A $24B pursuit pipeline and $668M backlog provide multi‑year revenue visibility and work‑in‑hand supporting utilization and bidding competitiveness. Structurally, this reduces revenue volatility, enables phased project execution, and increases probability of converting pursuits into contracted revenue over time.
Negative Factors
Negative and volatile free cash flow
Negative and inconsistent free cash flow constrains internal funding for capex, bid bonds and working capital, increasing reliance on external financing. In a project‑based business, volatile FCF raises risk around timing of collections and retainage, limiting durable reinvestment and financial resilience.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large pursuit pipeline and growing backlog
A $24B pursuit pipeline and $668M backlog provide multi‑year revenue visibility and work‑in‑hand supporting utilization and bidding competitiveness. Structurally, this reduces revenue volatility, enables phased project execution, and increases probability of converting pursuits into contracted revenue over time.
Read all positive factors
Orion Group Holdings (ORN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$680.86M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)388.56K
Price to Earnings (P/E)79.2
Beta (1Y)1.93
Revenue Growth6.74%
EPS Growth250.16%
CountryUS
Employees1,767
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryEngineering & Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.22
Shares Outstanding40,479,280
10 Day Avg. Volume360,290
30 Day Avg. Volume388,557
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.68
Price to Book (P/B)2.48
Price to Sales (P/S)0.46
P/FCF Ratio-36.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.07
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.83
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.72
Enterprise Value/Ebitda19.11
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.47Price Target Upside45.92% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)0.39
Revenue Forecast (FY)$938.11M
Orion Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. functions as a specialized construction company, contributing its expertise across the building, industrial, and infrastructure sectors. Its operations span a wide geographical area, encompassing the continental United S...
How the Company Makes Money
Orion Group Holdings primarily makes money by performing construction projects under customer contracts and recognizing revenue as work is executed. Key revenue streams include (1) marine construction services—earning contract revenue from buildin...
Orion Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted substantial positive momentum driven by a breakout quarter in the Concrete segment (large YoY revenue and adjusted EBITDA gains), a deep $24 billion pursuit pipeline, strong post-quarter award momentum and healthy cash flow and balance sheet flexibility. Offsetting items include a softer Marine quarter with lower revenue and EBITDA versus prior year, conservative guidance (no upward revision despite momentum), modest acquisition-related debt and operational risks from fuel, tariffs and local resource constraints. Taken together, the material positives (notably the outsized Concrete performance and large pipeline/backlog growth) outweigh the near-term Marine softness and conservative posture.Positive Updates
Overall Revenue and Profit Growth
First quarter revenue of $216.0 million, representing +15% year-over-year growth; GAAP net income of $4.7 million; adjusted EBITDA of $8.7 million, up +7% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $0.05.
Negative Updates
Marine Segment Softness and Margin Compression
Marine revenue declined to $110.0 million from $127.0 million year-over-year (≈ -13.4%); adjusted EBITDA declined to $12.0 million from $17.0 million (≈ -29.4%); segment margin at 11% this quarter; management attributes weakness to ramp-down of large projects and early-stage phasing of new projects.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Overall Revenue and Profit Growth
First quarter revenue of $216.0 million, representing +15% year-over-year growth; GAAP net income of $4.7 million; adjusted EBITDA of $8.7 million, up +7% year-over-year; adjusted EPS of $0.05.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance (initiated last month) while taking a conservative posture, citing a strong start to the year: Q1 revenue $216M, GAAP net income $4.7M, adjusted EBITDA $8.7M and adjusted EPS $0.05 (revenue +15% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +7% YoY). Backlog ended the quarter at $668M (including nearly $220M of new awards/change orders) and the pursuit pipeline remains robust at $24B (roughly $8B each in 2026, 2027 and 2028+), with over $200M of April awards not yet under contract (notably a $100M port renovation, $40M dredging and $24M data center). Segment performance included Marine revenue $110M/adjusted EBITDA $12M (11% margin) and Concrete revenue $106M/adjusted EBITDA $8.6M (8% margin), and the balance sheet showed just over $70M of debt (including $53M drawn on the UMB facility) with net leverage around 1.5x; management said they will hold guidance for now and revisit as Q2 bookings and execution progress.Orion Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 879.91M | 852.26M | 796.39M | 711.78M | 748.32M | 601.36M |
| Gross Profit | 108.48M | 105.61M | 91.16M | 61.66M | 50.74M | 40.97M |
| EBITDA | 38.14M | 42.29M | 31.39M | 15.68M | 11.06M | 4.70M |
| Net Income | 8.59M | 2.49M | -1.64M | -17.88M | -12.61M | -14.56M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 478.72M | 414.65M | 417.32M | 416.89M | 367.15M | 351.75M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 6.25M | 1.59M | 28.32M | 30.94M | 3.78M | 12.29M |
| Total Debt | 116.66M | 64.81M | 94.46M | 85.49M | 66.56M | 69.21M |
| Total Liabilities | 312.06M | 255.62M | 266.64M | 295.42M | 229.35M | 203.65M |
| Stockholders Equity | 166.67M | 159.03M | 150.68M | 121.47M | 137.80M | 148.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.97M | -10.80M | -1.42M | 8.27M | -5.02M | -16.91M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 36.43M | 28.07M | 12.68M | 17.18M | 9.56M | 69.00K |
| Investing Cash Flow | -57.53M | -13.70M | -11.48M | 2.17M | -9.70M | 10.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 16.09M | -39.39M | -3.82M | 7.81M | -8.37M | 6.00K |
Orion Group Holdings Technical Analysis
Positive
11.97
Price Trends
14.36
Positive
13.25
Positive
11.57
Positive
Market Momentum
0.58
Negative
68.51
Neutral
83.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.97 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.02, below the 50-day MA of 14.36, and above the 200-day MA of 11.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORN.
Orion Group Holdings Risk Analysis
Orion Group Holdings disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Group Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Orion Group Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | $680.86M | 79.21 | 5.40% | ― | 6.74% | 250.16% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
63 Neutral | $360.88M | 34.95 | 14.45% | 1.11% | 19.86% | -49.73% | |
63 Neutral | $607.24M | 84.26 | 3.17% | ― | 2.07% | -38.08% | |
59 Neutral | $385.43M | -25.76 | -10.79% | ― | 13.88% | 34.22% | |
44 Neutral | $35.99M | -0.32 | 1577.14% | ― | -24.31% | -169.16% |
* Industrials Sector Average
ORN
Orion Group Holdings
16.82
7.84
87.31%
ESOA
Energy Services of America
19.11
9.29
94.58%
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
13.70
0.07
0.51%
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings
12.05
5.77
91.88%
SLND
Southland Holdings
0.66
-3.72
-84.86%
Orion Group Holdings Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Orion Shareholders Approve Governance Changes and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 20, 2026
At its May 19, 2026 annual meeting, Orion Group Holdings shareholders approved an amendment to the company’s 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan, increasing the share pool by 2 million to 5.735 million and broadening award limits to all eligible p...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orion Group Returns to Profitability With Strong Q1 Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
On April 28, 2026, Orion Group Holdings reported first-quarter 2026 results showing a return to profitability, with revenue rising 15% year over year to $216.3 million and GAAP net income reaching $4.7 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, driven l...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.