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Southland Holdings (SLND) AI Stock Analysis

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SLND

Southland Holdings

(NYSE MKT:SLND)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$0.62â–¼(-2.07% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/13/26

The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (deep TTM losses, negative equity, and negative TTM cash flows). Offsetting factors include improving near-term technical momentum and meaningful liquidity/capital-structure actions discussed on the earnings call, but valuation is constrained by loss-making results and corporate events include elevated listing-compliance risk.

Positive Factors
Backlog and long-term project pipelineA substantial backlog provides multi-period revenue visibility, while the Winnipeg award extends the project base through 2030. Although backlog has declined, these contracted opportunities support future utilization and demonstrate continued access to major infrastructure work.
Negative Factors
Severe losses and weak operating performanceThe current earnings profile indicates substantial project or contract cost pressure rather than a temporary margin dip. Persistent revenue contraction and deeply negative profitability weaken internal funding capacity and make recovery dependent on improved execution and project outcomes.

Southland Holdings (SLND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%SLND-81.17%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$34.24M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.30M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.1
Beta (1Y)
0.68
Revenue Growth
-32.66%
EPS Growth
-397.97%
Country
US
Employees
1,800
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Engineering & Construction

Southland Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Southland Holdings, Inc. engages in specialty infrastructure construction business in North America. The company operates through Civil and Transportation segments. The Civil segment designs and constructs water pipelines, pump stations, lift station...

Southland Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-11.16%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call contained material positive developments on liquidity and capital structure—formalized surety support, credit amendment providing cash interest relief and suspension of principal payments, expected issuance of preferred shares, asset monetization gains, and an active pipeline highlighted by a $190 million Winnipeg award. However, these positives were overshadowed by severe current-quarter operating results driven by a large, noncash legacy dispute reassessment: steep revenue decline (~47%), a $71 million gross loss, net loss widening to $84.3 million, negative EBITDA, and a ~17% decline in backlog. Management frames the legacy adjustments as largely one-time and is focused on closing out legacy work and ramping bidding, but significant uncertainty remains around claim recoveries and the impact on future financials.

Positive Updates

Surety Financial Assistance Agreement and Term Loan Amendment
Formalized agreements with sureties and a second amendment to the senior credit facility provide runway to complete bonded work. Senior facility interest fixed at 4% (capitalized), scheduled principal payments and early termination premium suspended, and removal of ongoing financial covenants. Management estimates ~ $27 million of cash debt service relief over the next 12 months from these changes.

Negative Updates

Large Revenue Decline
Reported revenue for Q2 2026 was $113.3 million compared to $215.4 million in Q2 2025, a decline of approximately 47.4%. Reported revenue was materially impacted by a noncash revenue reversal of roughly $102.3 million related to legacy dispute adjustments.

Company Guidance

The company said the agreements with its sureties and the second amendment to the senior credit facility provide the runway to complete bonded work, improve capital structure and drive increased bonding and bidding activity going forward, with key metrics including: bonding surety financing of ~$59M and nonbonding financing of ~$151M as of June 30, 2026 (with ~ $151M of preferred shares expected to be issued by September 30, 2026, at $1,000 stated value and limited to 50% of actual loss), a fixed 4% interest rate on bonding surety financing and the amended senior facility (with interest capitalized), roughly $27M of cash debt service relief over the next 12 months, Q2 surety advances of ~$70.6M (total advances ~$209.8M excl. WSCC; total surety payables $298.9M incl. WSCC) with no repayment required prior to at least August 13, 2027, backlog of $1.68B (down from $2.03B) with ~38% expected to convert to revenue in the next 12 months, and the recently announced Winnipeg Phase 3 award representing ~ $190M of contract value for Southland (expected to conclude in 2030).

Southland Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements show acute stress: TTM revenue is down (~14.5%) with deeply negative gross/operating/net results, shareholder equity is negative (raising refinancing/credit risk), and TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow are substantially negative. A modest offset is some debt reduction from 2025 to TTM and evidence the business was profitable in 2021–2022, but the current profitability and balance-sheet profile remain the dominant risk.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

18Very Negative

Cash Flow

20Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue603.01M772.17M980.18M1.16B1.16B1.28B
Gross Profit-266.09M-155.26M-63.04M35.81M140.93M114.19M
EBITDA-299.16M-191.63M-99.61M22.76M130.53M107.20M
Net Income-404.30M-306.54M-105.36M-19.25M60.54M38.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets784.73M989.28M1.20B1.20B1.13B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.88M52.71M72.19M49.18M57.91M63.34M
Total Debt226.60M322.35M321.05M319.69M300.20M270.47M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.12B1.03B940.50M765.42M733.40M
Stockholders Equity-253.53M-140.93M163.66M249.62M349.44M291.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-157.65M12.73M-5.49M-21.11M-70.97M-109.37M
Operating Cash Flow-156.31M16.58M1.93M-10.26M-66.20M-90.57M
Investing Cash Flow10.26M3.39M3.23M4.49M5.56M-8.50M
Financing Cash Flow128.48M-40.15M18.78M-2.59M20.14M30.60M

Southland Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.63

Price Trends

50DMA0.69Negative
100DMA0.68Negative
200DMA0.95Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI38.19Neutral
STOCH7.92Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SLND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, below the 50-day MA of 0.69, and below the 200-day MA of 0.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SLND.

Southland Holdings Risk Analysis

Southland Holdings disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southland Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Director and Officer Trading ArrangementsQ2, 2026
2.Amended and Restated Employment Agreement with Keith BassanoQ2, 2026
3.Item 5. Other InformationQ1, 2026

Southland Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

SLND against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
ESOAESOA65Neutral$164.39M15.0714.64%1.54%21.21%252.85%
BBCPBBCP64Neutral$508.97M60.383.58%1.27%6.91%4.11%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
MTRXMTRX54Neutral$259.11M35.835.14%―8.04%―
ORNORN50Neutral$308.60M50.453.48%―10.96%-40.56%
SLNDSLND46Neutral$36.09M-0.08331.10%―-32.66%-397.97%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%SLNDESOAMTRXORNBBCPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
SLND and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.0.63-3.50-84.77%
ESOAEnergy Services Of America9.08-0.99-9.83%
MTRXMatrix Service9.24-2.48-21.16%
ORNOrion Group Holdings7.77-1.72-18.12%
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings10.244.1869.03%

Southland Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Southland Holdings Amends Financial Assistance Agreement and Timeline

Neutral
Oct 6, 2026

On September 30, 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc. and related entities executed a first amendment to their existing financial assistance agreement with certain sureties and Berkshire Hathaway Specialty Insurance Company as collateral agent. The agreeme...

Delistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Southland Holdings Faces NYSE American Listing Compliance Challenge

Negative
Sep 25, 2026

On September 23, 2026, Southland Holdings received notice from NYSE Regulation that it was no longer in compliance with NYSE American continued listing standards due to a stockholders’ deficit of $248.2 million and net losses in its last three fiscal...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings

Southland Holdings Settles WSCC Surety Losses, Boosts Income

Positive
Aug 27, 2026

On December 1, 2025, American Bridge received an adverse ruling related to the Washington State Convention Center project, and on January 15, 2026, a Washington state court entered a judgment against the company and its sureties. Following a March 27...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Southland Holdings Secures Surety Financing and Amends Term Loan

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

On August 13, 2026, Southland Holdings, Inc. executed a Financial Assistance Agreement with certain surety partners, retroactive to October 1, 2025, formalizing approximately $209.8 million of surety-backed financing for its bonded construction proje...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026