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Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL)
NASDAQ:OCSL
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Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) AI Stock Analysis

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OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending

(NASDAQ:OCSL)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
â–²(4.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/16/26
The score is driven primarily by solid profitability and strong recent cash generation, supported by a generally constructive earnings call emphasizing improving credit quality and conservative leverage. Offsetting factors include uneven growth/revenue softness, mixed near-term technical momentum, and a valuation profile where a very high dividend yield is balanced by a relatively high P/E and refinancing/credit-risk items highlighted on the call.
Positive Factors
Improving Credit Quality
The substantial reduction in non-accruals indicates improving portfolio credit performance and active resolution of troubled exposures. Lower non-accrual levels protect recurring investment income, reduce potential losses, and support more stable net asset value over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Softening Earnings Trend
The sequential decline in adjusted net investment income shows that current portfolio earnings are not consistently expanding. Continued pressure from investment repayments, funding costs, or weaker fee income could constrain dividend coverage and reduce the internally generated capital available for portfolio growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Credit Quality
The substantial reduction in non-accruals indicates improving portfolio credit performance and active resolution of troubled exposures. Lower non-accrual levels protect recurring investment income, reduce potential losses, and support more stable net asset value over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oaktree Specialty Lending Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL) functions as a business development company (BDC), dedicated to providing capital solutions for middle-market businesses. Its investment strategy involves a diverse array of financing types, including i...
How the Company Makes Money
OCSL makes money primarily by earning investment income on a portfolio of debt investments made to middle-market borrowers. The core revenue stream is interest income from loans it holds—typically floating-rate senior secured loans—where OCSL rece...

Oaktree Specialty Lending Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented several clear positives: meaningful progress reducing non‑accruals, a successful Thrasio workout, conservative leverage (net leverage ~1.02x), ample liquidity (~$699M), stable NAV, higher yields on new originations (10.0%) and improved portfolio operating metrics (median EBITDA +4%, interest coverage 2.4x). Offsetting these were modest near‑term headwinds: a small decline in adjusted NII, ~ $15M of realized losses, lower proceeds from exits, industry‑wide deal flow contraction and refinancing/AI risk concentrated in certain cohorts, and an upcoming $350M unsecured note maturity. On balance, the positive balance‑sheet and portfolio improvements and demonstrated workout capabilities outweigh the challenges discussed, but management remains cautious and focused on capital allocation and liquidity management.
Positive Updates
Material Reduction in Non-Accruals
Non-accruals were approximately 1.8% of the total debt portfolio at fair value, down 80 basis points sequentially and down 140 basis points year‑over‑year; management also noted a ~280 basis point decline from the March 2025 peak. Exited 5 non‑accrual positions in the last two quarters, leaving 6 investments on non‑accrual.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Earnings Slightly Weaker
Adjusted net investment income was $32.2M, or ~$0.37 per share, down from $33.7M or ~$0.38 per share in the prior quarter. Adjusted total investment income was $69.2M vs $69.7M prior quarter.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Material Reduction in Non-Accruals
Non-accruals were approximately 1.8% of the total debt portfolio at fair value, down 80 basis points sequentially and down 140 basis points year‑over‑year; management also noted a ~280 basis point decline from the March 2025 peak. Exited 5 non‑accrual positions in the last two quarters, leaving 6 investments on non‑accrual.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call reiterated guidance to prioritize reducing non‑accruals and maintaining a flexible balance sheet: non‑accruals were ~1.8% of the debt portfolio at fair value (down 80 bps sequentially, 140 bps YoY and ~280 bps from the March 2025 peak), with 6 positions on non‑accrual after exiting 5 in the last two quarters (Thrasio repaid ~ $25M, ~80% of loans; remaining second‑out marked up from 80% to 99% and returned to accrual), while net leverage ended the quarter at ~1.02x (down from 1.04x), inside the 0.9x–1.25x target range, total debt was $1.45B, weighted average interest on debt 5.9%, unsecured debt 65% of total, available liquidity nearly $700M ($40M cash, $659M undrawn), unfunded commitments ~ $208M, and management plans to address $350M of unsecured notes maturing Jan 2027 over the next several quarters; third‑quarter operating metrics included adjusted total investment income $69.2M, adjusted net investment income $32.2M (~$0.37/sh) vs $33.7M ($0.38) prior, a $0.33/share dividend ($0.30 base + $0.03 supplemental), NAV $15.70 (stable), portfolio was 82% first‑lien senior secured with weighted average yield on debt investments 9.3% (new debt yield 10.0%), median EBITDA ~$189M, portfolio leverage 5.1x, interest coverage 2.4x, PIK ~7.8% of investment income, new commitments $206M (vs $204M), proceeds $263M (vs $334M), average position ~65 bps of the portfolio, and no single position >2.1%.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid (TTM operating margin ~32%, net margin ~16%) and recent cash generation is strong (TTM operating/free cash flow ~ $189M). Offsetting this are slightly declining TTM revenue (~-2%), volatility in results and cash flows across years, and historically meaningful leverage/cycle sensitivity (with the sharp TTM shift to no reported debt warranting caution on sustainability).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.10M299.70M186.23M236.85M86.04M278.82M
Gross Profit224.78M261.37M57.61M125.20M39.11M248.31M
EBITDA186.52M151.02M57.80M119.06M32.86M240.84M
Net Income42.24M33.92M57.91M117.33M29.22M237.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.86B3.00B3.20B3.22B2.65B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.92M79.63M63.97M136.45M23.53M29.33M
Total Debt1.44B1.49B1.64B1.60B1.30B1.27B
Total Liabilities1.48B1.54B1.71B1.70B1.40B1.32B
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.47B1.49B1.52B1.25B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow277.57M142.40M19.08M228.76M22.39M-230.52M
Operating Cash Flow277.57M142.40M19.08M228.76M22.39M-230.52M
Investing Cash Flow-171.44M85.98M0.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-144.69M-229.35M-86.77M-110.41M-26.82M224.19M

Oaktree Specialty Lending Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.97
Price Trends
50DMA
12.33
Negative
100DMA
11.90
Negative
200DMA
11.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
33.58
Neutral
STOCH
24.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OCSL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.97 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.09, above the 50-day MA of 12.33, and above the 200-day MA of 11.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OCSL.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Risk Analysis

Oaktree Specialty Lending disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oaktree Specialty Lending reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oaktree Specialty Lending Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$892.10M10.277.53%9.15%11.07%-12.44%
70
Outperform
$716.94M20.443.25%14.40%11.89%-58.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$688.90M10.705.79%17.51%-11.58%-40.72%
65
Neutral
$1.02B23.982.98%12.67%-8.10%-12.87%
63
Neutral
$987.23M17.204.17%11.63%117.29%-58.47%
57
Neutral
$697.70M-23.53-2.39%15.47%1.24%-132.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending
11.60
0.16
1.37%
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
8.47
-1.86
-17.97%
BBDC
Barings BDC
8.52
0.84
10.92%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
8.77
0.27
3.13%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
10.42
-0.27
-2.53%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
10.62
-1.20
-10.12%

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Oaktree Specialty Lending issues new unsecured notes
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
On September 16, 2026, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation entered into a Ninth Supplemental Indenture with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, enabling the issuance of $300 million of 7.000% unsecured notes due September 16, 2031. The notes, ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Oaktree Specialty Lending Announces $300 Million Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 11, 2026
On September 9, 2026, Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate of investment banks to issue and sell $300 million of 7.000% notes due 2031. The offering, made under the company’s existing ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2026