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National Research (NRC)
:NRC

National Research (NRC) AI Stock Analysis

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National Research

(NASDAQ:NRC)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(5.99%Upside)
NRC's overall stock score reflects strong corporate actions and reasonable valuation, tempered by financial risks from high leverage and challenges in revenue growth. Technical factors indicate short-term strength but potential overbought conditions.

National Research (NRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Research Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNational Research Corporation provides analytics and insights that facilitate measurement and enhancement of the patient and employee experience in the United States and Canada. Its portfolio of subscription-based solutions provides actionable information and analysis to healthcare organizations across a range of mission-critical, constituent-related elements, including patient experience, service recovery, care transitions, health risk assessments, employee engagement, reputation management, and brand loyalty. The company also offers market insights solutions that allow the tracking of awareness, perception, and consistency of healthcare brands; assessment of competitive differentiators; and enhanced segmentation tools to evaluate needs, wants, and behaviors of communities through real-time competitive assessments and enhanced segmentation tools. In addition, it provides experience solutions, such as patient and resident experience, workforce engagement, health risk assessments, transitions, and improvement tools. Further, the company offers health risk assessment solutions that enable clients to segment populations and manage care for those who are most at risk, engage individuals, enhance preventative care, and manage wellness programs; and transitions solutions, which enable organizations to identify and manage high-risk patients to reduce readmissions, enhance patient satisfaction and support safe care transitions. Additionally, it provides transparency solutions that allow healthcare organizations to share picture of their organization and ensure content informs in consumer decision-making; and governance solutions for not-for-profit hospital and health system boards of directors, executives, and physician leadership. The company serves integrated health systems, post-acute providers, and payer organizations. National Research Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska.
How the Company Makes MoneyNRC generates revenue through a subscription-based model for its analytics and insights services, which are offered to hospitals, healthcare systems, and other healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include licensing fees for access to its software platforms, consulting services for healthcare performance improvement, and sales of its proprietary market research reports. Additionally, the company maintains strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations, which contribute to its earnings by expanding its client base and enhancing its service offerings.

National Research Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: 47.97%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted the company's strategic plans to expand its market and integrate innovative AI solutions, with positive organizational changes and financial management. However, financial results were flat year-over-year, and there is an expectation of increased net debt due to ongoing investments.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion Goals and Strategy
The company aims to double the total addressable market through portfolio additions, acquisitions, and partnerships, with a focus on double-digit annual revenue growth and expanding margins.
Organizational and Leadership Changes
The company has restructured its leadership and sales teams, adding new leaders and sales associates, and implemented new compensation plans and training programs to accelerate pipeline growth.
Innovative Technology and AI Integration
Investment in AI and product leadership to deliver innovative AI solutions to clients, with new tools and insights expected soon in the market.
Financial Management and Capital Allocation
Operating cash flows increased to $12 million compared to $8 million in the previous year. The company returned $18 million to stockholders through dividends and stock repurchases.
Negative Updates
Flat Year-over-Year Financial Results
The financial results were consistent with expectations but relatively flat year-over-year, indicating no significant revenue growth in the short term.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt is expected to increase over the balance of the year due to ongoing investments in technology and market expansion.
Company Guidance
During National Research Corporation's Q1 2024 earnings call, the company outlined ambitious financial goals, including doubling their total addressable market through strategic portfolio additions, acquisitions, and partnerships, and achieving double-digit annual revenue growth. The company aims to expand its margins and create significant value for investors by leveraging its health care DNA and innovative technologies. With plans to enhance enterprise-wide experience solutions and apply a generative AI overlay across their offerings, NRC is focused on providing actionable insights that improve client revenue and costs. Despite flat financial results year-over-year, operating cash flows increased from $8 million to $12 million compared to the previous year, with $18 million returned to stockholders through dividends and stock repurchases. The company maintains a net debt of $40 million as of March 31, 2024, and plans to continue funding growth investments while ensuring financial flexibility for future opportunities.

National Research Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid profitability and cash generation capabilities, but challenges exist in revenue growth and high leverage. Efficient cost management supports profitability, yet declining revenue and a high debt load pose risks.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The company's income statement reveals moderate profitability with a net profit margin of 17.1% for TTM. However, there has been a decline in revenue and net income compared to previous periods, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth. The gross profit margin of 59.2% and EBIT margin of 24.8% suggest efficient cost management, but shrinking revenue is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a significant amount of debt with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2, indicating high leverage. The equity ratio of 21.9% is relatively low, suggesting limited equity buffer. Return on equity is 81.6%, driven by high leverage rather than strong equity growth, highlighting potential financial risk.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement is strong, with a positive free cash flow and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.2, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. Despite this, free cash flow has decreased compared to the previous period, reflecting challenges in maintaining cash flow growth.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
141.30M143.06M148.58M151.57M147.95M133.28M
Gross Profit
83.62M86.13M92.56M94.52M95.60M84.09M
EBIT
35.03M35.19M40.05M46.54M50.27M42.68M
EBITDA
41.21M41.31M45.98M51.83M56.66M50.78M
Net Income Common Stockholders
24.21M24.78M30.97M31.80M37.47M37.26M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
25.03M4.23M6.65M25.03M54.36M34.69M
Total Assets
130.46M132.54M122.44M130.46M157.54M133.42M
Total Debt
22.18M62.68M38.96M22.18M26.55M30.61M
Net Debt
-2.85M58.45M32.30M-2.85M-27.81M-4.08M
Total Liabilities
58.43M107.88M73.48M58.43M72.20M69.11M
Stockholders Equity
72.03M31.28M48.95M72.03M85.34M64.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.94M19.18M22.33M26.43M40.83M36.65M
Operating Cash Flow
29.23M34.63M38.11M36.27M46.34M40.64M
Investing Cash Flow
-19.13M-20.28M-15.78M-9.84M-8.51M-3.72M
Financing Cash Flow
-9.30M-16.76M-40.71M-55.58M-18.16M-15.50M

National Research Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.04
Price Trends
50DMA
13.00
Positive
100DMA
14.18
Positive
200DMA
16.67
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.87
Negative
RSI
75.99
Negative
STOCH
87.48
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.54, above the 50-day MA of 13.00, and below the 200-day MA of 16.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.99 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.48 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NRC.

National Research Risk Analysis

National Research disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Research reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Research Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VMVMD
75
Outperform
$262.83M22.299.79%19.97%17.21%
NRNRC
70
Outperform
$365.48M15.5772.68%2.99%-4.15%-17.17%
60
Neutral
$228.76M14.868.12%5.96%-43.83%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.26-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
42
Neutral
$367.63M-257.38%-17.92%
41
Neutral
$323.11M-100.13%-71.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NRC
National Research
16.63
-7.97
-32.40%
CRVS
Corvus Pharmaceuticals
4.19
2.26
117.10%
TCMD
Tactile Systems Technology
9.84
-1.90
-16.18%
VMD
Viemed Healthcare
6.65
-0.21
-3.06%
HUMA
Humacyte
2.41
-3.78
-61.07%

National Research Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
National Research Shareholders Approve 2025 Incentive Plan
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 7, 2025, National Research Corporation’s shareholders approved the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan, which replaces the 2006 Equity Incentive Plan and the 2004 Non-Employee Director Stock Plan. During the same annual meeting, Donald M. Berwick and Stephen H. Lockhart were elected as directors, KPMG LLP’s appointment as the independent registered public accounting firm was ratified, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NRC Health Announces Q1 Results and Share Repurchase
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, NRC Health announced its first quarter results, highlighting a sequential increase in total recurring contract value, expansion of its sales force, and a new share repurchase program. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend and completed a prior share repurchase program. These developments reflect NRC Health’s strategic focus on revenue growth and shareholder returns, with significant contributions from its leadership team.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
National Research Appoints New Financial Officer
Neutral
Apr 22, 2025

On April 18, 2025, National Research Corporation’s board appointed Michael D. Hays as the principal financial officer while retaining his role as the principal executive officer until Trent Green assumes the CEO position on June 1, 2025. Additionally, Jordan N. Freeman was appointed as the Chief Accounting Officer, with no changes in compensation for these roles. These appointments are part of the company’s strategic leadership transition.

Executive/Board Changes
National Research Approves New Executive Compensation Program
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 3, 2025, National Research Corporation’s Compensation and Talent Committee approved a new compensation program for its executive officers, excluding Trent Green and Michael D. Hays. This decision aligns with the strategic changes following Trent Green’s appointment as CEO, effective June 1, 2025. The new compensation package for Helen L. Hrdy, Chief Operating Officer, includes a grant of 100,000 shares of common stock with specific restrictions, a cash bonus, and a severance arrangement. Similar adjustments were made for Andrew Monnich, Chief Corporate Development Officer, while Michael D. Hays’ compensation remained unchanged.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.