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Eurocastle Investment Ltd (NL:ECT)
:ECT
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Eurocastle Investment (ECT) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:ECT

Eurocastle Investment

(ECT)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
€14.00
▲(14.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/17/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and highly volatile operating performance (sharp revenue decline and a large 2025 net loss) despite a debt-free balance sheet. Near-term technicals also look unfavorable due to negative MACD and extremely weak RSI. Valuation is a modest positive with a mid-teens P/E, but it is not enough to offset fundamentals and momentum risks.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
The absence of reported debt gives Eurocastle meaningful financial flexibility and limits interest burden across its real-estate investment activities. Its substantial equity base provides a buffer against asset volatility and supports continued portfolio management, restructurings, or selective monetizations.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline and large loss
The steep revenue contraction and move into a substantial net loss show that current earnings power is weak and highly sensitive to portfolio outcomes. This reduces visibility into sustainable profitability and may limit the capital available for new investments or consistent shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
The absence of reported debt gives Eurocastle meaningful financial flexibility and limits interest burden across its real-estate investment activities. Its substantial equity base provides a buffer against asset volatility and supports continued portfolio management, restructurings, or selective monetizations.
Read all positive factors

Eurocastle Investment (ECT) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Eurocastle Investment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Eurocastle Investment Limited is a publicly traded closed-ended investment company that focuses on investing in performing and nonperforming loans and other real estate related assets primarily in Italy. On 8 July 2022, the company announced the r...
How the Company Makes Money
Eurocastle’s earnings have historically been generated primarily through (1) income and gains from its investment portfolio and (2) value realization events such as asset sales, repayments, restructurings, or other monetizations of real estate and...

Eurocastle Investment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are uneven. Income statement performance is weak and volatile, with a sharp revenue drop in 2025 and a swing to a large net loss, outweighing the balance-sheet strength. The balance sheet is a positive (debt-free with substantial equity), but equity has eroded over recent years. Cash flow improved materially in 2025 versus 2024, yet multi-year cash generation remains inconsistent.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
51
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.47M234.00K1.09M377.00K376.00K2.76M
Gross Profit2.47M234.00K1.09M377.00K364.00K2.75M
EBITDA0.00-1.48M346.00K-635.00K-883.00K1.06M
Net Income754.00K-1.48M346.00K-635.00K-883.00K1.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.33M21.14M22.54M22.21M23.10M33.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.46M14.29M12.41M14.03M17.72M28.36M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities357.00K533.00K452.00K466.00K753.00K601.00K
Stockholders Equity21.98M20.60M22.09M21.74M22.35M32.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.88M-5.78M604.00K-1.31M4.02M
Operating Cash Flow0.001.88M-5.78M604.00K-1.31M4.02M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.004.24M-4.40M4.87M6.30M
Financing Cash Flow0.000.002.00K27.00K-9.32M-1.00M

Eurocastle Investment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.20
Price Trends
50DMA
13.21
Positive
100DMA
12.97
Positive
200DMA
12.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
72.18
Negative
STOCH
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ECT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.83, below the 50-day MA of 13.21, and below the 200-day MA of 12.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.18 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:ECT.

Eurocastle Investment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€1.41B8.71―7.15%4.05%21.63%
63
Neutral
$1.25B3.739.32%3.11%-64.07%-73.33%
61
Neutral
€796.63M11.896.23%7.54%10.18%-26.93%
58
Neutral
€211.44M-289.00-3.81%9.60%66.89%-101.43%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€342.24M-20.21-2.54%13.72%-3.75%-1040.34%
48
Neutral
€14.11M18.683.56%7.52%-44.85%―
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:ECT
Eurocastle Investment
13.00
0.30
2.36%
NL:ECMPA
Eurocommercial Properties NV
25.70
1.08
4.40%
NL:NSI
NSI NV
17.64
-1.05
-5.62%
NL:TFG
Tetragon Financial
14.90
-3.60
-19.48%
NL:VTA
Volta Finance
5.86
-0.31
-5.10%
NL:WHA
Wereldhave NV
17.32
-0.16
-0.89%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026