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CSG B.V. (NL:CSG)
:CSG
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CSG B.V. (CSG) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:CSG

CSG B.V.

(CSG)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
€14.00
▼(-24.97% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/08/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality and higher leverage risk in the latest financials, despite strong profitability and renewed revenue momentum. Technicals are bearish (below key moving averages with negative MACD), which further limits the score. Offsetting these, the earnings call supported confidence via reaffirmed guidance, strong backlog, and strategic progress, while valuation (P/E 24.21) is acceptable but not clearly cheap without dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability
Re-accelerating revenue growth alongside sustained double-digit net margins indicates strong underlying demand and operating scale. Although margins eased from 2024, the company remains highly profitable, supporting reinvestment, resilience, and continued execution over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increasing leverage reduces balance-sheet flexibility and makes the business more sensitive to refinancing conditions and interest costs. It may constrain the ability to fund capacity expansion or absorb execution setbacks, particularly while the company is also investing heavily.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability
Re-accelerating revenue growth alongside sustained double-digit net margins indicates strong underlying demand and operating scale. Although margins eased from 2024, the company remains highly profitable, supporting reinvestment, resilience, and continued execution over the coming quarters.
Read all positive factors

CSG B.V. (CSG) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

CSG B.V. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Established in 1995 and headquartered in Prague, Czech Republic, CSG N.V. is a defense manufacturer and distributor operating globally, with significant presence across Europe, the United States, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company organizes ...

CSG B.V. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong growth, record backlog, improved margins, geographic diversification and material progress on vertical integration and capacity expansion. Short-term cash flow and a deliberate net working capital build create temporary headwinds and timing risks (backloaded revenue recognition and reliance on recommissioning). Overall, strategic initiatives (U.S. expansion, Land Systems scale, ammo vertical integration) and robust H1 operating performance outweigh the near-term liquidity and timing challenges.
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 17% year-on-year to EUR 3.3 billion in H1 2026.
Negative Updates
High Net Working Capital Build
Net working capital rose to ~EUR 2.9 billion, representing ~40% of LTM revenue at end-June; management attributes this to deliberate pre-stocking for ramp-up and expects reduction to below 20% by year-end, with an estimated ~EUR 1.5 billion to be released.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased 17% year-on-year to EUR 3.3 billion in H1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance: revenue EUR 7.4–7.6bn, operating EBIT margin 24–25%, CapEx intensity 8.5% of revenue, net working capital below 20% of LTM revenue at year‑end and net leverage below 1.3x — with free cash flow expected to be generated mainly via a c. EUR 1.5bn release of working capital in H2. They also reiterated mid‑term targets of mid‑teens organic CAGR, operating EBIT margin 26–28% and mid‑term CapEx intensity of 4–5%. H1 context supporting the guidance: revenue EUR 3.3bn (+17% y/y), operating EBIT EUR 784m (24.1% margin), total backlog EUR 17bn (total backlog + pipeline EUR 46bn), net leverage 1.6x and cash conversion roughly 80–86%.

CSG B.V. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (re-accelerating revenue and solid double-digit net margins) is offset by elevated and rising leverage and a sharp deterioration in 2025 cash generation (negative operating cash flow and deeply negative free cash flow), increasing near-term funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.73B6.74B5.18B1.73B24.93B14.44B
Gross Profit3.70B3.04B2.55B775.15M10.32B6.60B
EBITDA2.03B1.74B1.47B429.62M5.95B2.83B
Net Income969.58M694.06M549.26M174.06M2.97B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.17B9.65B8.03B3.35B2.54B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.73B837.23M1.25B563.87M241.65M104.01M
Total Debt4.42B4.31B3.02B1.14B881.24M366.69M
Total Liabilities7.82B7.92B6.54B2.67B2.04B730.15M
Stockholders Equity3.01B1.44B1.18B460.44M316.58M346.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-233.32M-269.75M739.25M124.88M5.59B2.21B
Operating Cash Flow-8.41M-44.52M856.06M199.13M7.19B3.30B
Investing Cash Flow-433.79M-715.63M-2.08B-70.46M-14.34B-1.37B
Financing Cash Flow1.17B1.02B1.92B190.71M10.37B-1.03B

CSG B.V. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
€576.64B43.6463.91%0.51%22.54%44.56%
68
Neutral
€39.96B37.5425.91%0.39%3.11%104.56%
66
Neutral
€2.16B16.5514.22%2.53%9.11%101.67%
58
Neutral
€13.92B66.6246.17%0.91%21.85%22.85%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
€13.91B27.76――――
43
Neutral
€977.52M246.450.68%1.51%11.82%-51.11%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:CSG
CSG B.V.
14.16
-18.69
-56.91%
NL:AMG
AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP NV
26.42
-6.28
-19.21%
NL:ASM
ASM International NV
824.80
279.92
51.37%
NL:ASML
ASML Holding NV
1,528.20
660.87
76.20%
NL:BESI
BE Semiconductor
174.55
29.96
20.72%
NL:TWEKA
TKH Group N.V.
53.30
17.49
48.82%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026