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Alfen NV (NL:ALFEN)
:ALFEN
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Alfen NV (ALFEN) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:ALFEN

Alfen NV

(ALFEN)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
€11.50
▼(-1.71% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile financial performance (stalled revenue and inconsistent profitability) and a negative P/E driven by losses. Technical indicators are mixed but lean slightly bearish, with the stock below key short- and mid-term moving averages and a negative MACD, partially offset by being above the 200-day average and a neutral RSI.
Positive Factors
Moderate leverage
Moderate leverage and relatively stable equity provide Alfen with financial resilience while it serves capital-intensive grid, charging, and storage markets. A manageable debt burden should preserve flexibility to fund operations and pursue growth without excessive balance-sheet strain.
Negative Factors
Stalled or declining revenue
The recent revenue slowdown raises concern that Alfen is not currently converting its energy-transition exposure into consistent top-line expansion. Two consecutive weak annual periods could limit operating leverage, reduce investment capacity, and make recovery dependent on renewed demand.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage
Moderate leverage and relatively stable equity provide Alfen with financial resilience while it serves capital-intensive grid, charging, and storage markets. A manageable debt burden should preserve flexibility to fund operations and pursue growth without excessive balance-sheet strain.
Read all positive factors

Alfen NV (ALFEN) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

Alfen NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alfen N.V., through its various subsidiaries, specializes in the full lifecycle of electricity grid-related solutions, from initial design and engineering to production and sales. Its diverse offerings include intelligent grid technologies such as...
How the Company Makes Money
Alfen makes money primarily by selling products and project-based systems across three main business areas: (1) Smart Grid Solutions: revenue from the engineering, manufacturing, and delivery of transformer substations (including prefabricated/com...

Alfen NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue has stalled/declined in 2024–2025 and profitability was highly volatile (loss in 2024, only near break-even in 2025). Offsetting this, leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.31) and operating/free cash flow were positive in 2024–2025, though free cash flow dropped sharply in 2025 and cash generation has been inconsistent over the cycle.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue485.58M435.62M487.64M504.48M439.88M249.68M
Gross Profit29.42M124.89M115.39M151.09M88.73M41.29M
EBITDA7.93M20.06M-4.19M50.82M74.43M33.21M
Net Income660.00K-189.00K-27.01M29.68M53.05M21.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets326.63M312.53M362.75M395.97M321.07M194.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments51.09M26.67M17.07M2.07M22.84M47.28M
Total Debt44.93M47.37M49.75M57.17M18.40M18.40M
Total Liabilities174.19M159.77M210.51M216.36M170.49M97.86M
Stockholders Equity152.43M152.76M152.24M179.61M150.58M96.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow53.80M18.56M31.25M-29.06M-20.60M-1.14M
Operating Cash Flow58.24M32.54M55.82M5.64M429.00K10.54M
Investing Cash Flow-15.10M-13.98M1.15M-59.10M-21.02M-11.68M
Financing Cash Flow-9.38M-8.95M-35.57M26.30M-3.84M-3.92M

Alfen NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.70
Price Trends
50DMA
12.88
Negative
100DMA
13.70
Negative
200DMA
11.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.40
Negative
RSI
47.34
Neutral
STOCH
71.77
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:ALFEN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.24, below the 50-day MA of 12.88, and below the 200-day MA of 11.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NL:ALFEN.

Alfen NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€1.87B11.915.85%10.21%-9.13%-52.64%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
49
Neutral
€261.85M391.720.43%7.09%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NL:ALFEN
Alfen NV
11.83
2.64
28.67%
NL:LIGHT
Signify NV
15.37
-5.18
-25.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026