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NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
(NYSE:NIQ)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
▲(4.06% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
NIQ’s score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals but still-mixed financial quality: strong revenue growth and a clear turn to positive operating/free cash flow are offset by high leverage and continued GAAP losses. Technicals add support with a strong uptrend and positive momentum signals. The earnings call meaningfully boosts the outlook due to raised guidance and explicit deleveraging and cash-flow targets, while valuation remains a key drag given negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue and retention
A large subscription base with 105% net dollar retention and 99% gross retention supports predictable revenue and strong customer durability. Expansion within existing accounts can compound growth while reducing reliance on continually replacing churned customers.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High leverage remains a material constraint despite recent improvement, increasing sensitivity to operating setbacks and interest costs. Debt also competes with product investment and other capital-allocation priorities until deleveraging reaches a more comfortable level.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring revenue and retention
A large subscription base with 105% net dollar retention and 99% gross retention supports predictable revenue and strong customer durability. Expansion within existing accounts can compound growth while reducing reliance on continually replacing churned customers.
Read all positive factors
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC (NIQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.42B
Dividend Yield2.93%
Average Volume (3M)1.76M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.40
Revenue Growth8.86%
EPS Growth22.04%
CountryUS
Employees38,760
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.98
Shares Outstanding294,955,870
10 Day Avg. Volume1,180,042
30 Day Avg. Volume1,755,645
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.20
Price to Book (P/B)4.45
Price to Sales (P/S)1.05
P/FCF Ratio184.16
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$19.42Price Target Upside3.61% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)1.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.50B
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
NIQ Global Intelligence Plc operates as a consumer insights company, deploying an advanced AI-driven platform to meticulously analyze vast shopping data. Its services yield crucial understandings of worldwide consumer behavior, empowering brands, ...
How the Company Makes Money
NIQ primarily makes money by selling data, analytics, and insights services to manufacturers and retailers, typically under recurring subscription or multi-year contract arrangements, with additional revenue from project-based analytics and consul...
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall, the call emphasized strong execution: accelerating organic revenue, robust adjusted EBITDA growth and margin expansion, a clear cash-flow inflection and improving leverage. Concurrently, management acknowledged one-time restructuring costs, modest APAC growth and that AI commercialization is still in early stages and expected to scale in 2027. The balance of clear financial outperformance and disciplined reinvestment against manageable near-term costs points to an optimistic outlook.Positive Updates
Top-line growth and scale
Q2 reported revenue grew 8% to ~$1.1B; organic constant currency (OCC) revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% and NIQ delivered its 10th consecutive quarter of 5%+ organic OCC growth.
Negative Updates
APAC recovery still modest
APAC returned to growth but organic constant currency growth was only 1.9% in Q2, lagging Americas (+8.3%) and EMEA (+4.9%).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Top-line growth and scale
Q2 reported revenue grew 8% to ~$1.1B; organic constant currency (OCC) revenue growth accelerated to 5.8% and NIQ delivered its 10th consecutive quarter of 5%+ organic OCC growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
NIQ raised its 2026 outlook and gave Q3 and full‑year guidance: for Q3 it expects reported revenue growth of 4.9%–5.3% (organic constant‑currency 5.2%–5.5%), adjusted EBITDA growth of 15%–17% with margins of 23.0%–23.5%, and adjusted EPS of $0.22–$0.24; for full‑year 2026 it now targets reported revenue growth of 7.1%–7.4% (OCC 5.2%–5.6%), adjusted EBITDA growth of 15%–17% with margins of 23.5%–23.9%, adjusted EPS of $1.08–$1.12, levered free cash flow of $245M–$255M, and net leverage below 3x by year‑end. Management said the raise reflects Q2 outperformance, favorable FX and the YiMian acquisition, expects Q4 OCC in line with Q3 with ~370 bps of margin expansion versus Q3 and adjusted EPS roughly double Q3, and reiterated modeling assumptions of D&A $614M–$619M, GAAP net interest $230M–$235M, income tax $165M–$170M, ~300M diluted shares and CapEx of 6.5%–7% of revenue.NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | May 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.39B | 4.20B | 4.11B | 3.67B | 3.00B | -13.09M |
| Gross Profit | 2.28B | 2.34B | 2.28B | 2.01B | 1.51B | -13.09M |
| EBITDA | 705.10M | 752.10M | 328.04M | 265.37M | 166.75M | -12.66M |
| Net Income | -351.40M | -353.30M | -839.26M | -632.03M | -320.57M | -13.27M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.76B | 6.80B | 6.60B | 8.12B | 4.16B | 233.93M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 416.60M | 518.80M | 273.16M | 310.57M | 155.65M | 1.01M |
| Total Debt | 3.80B | 3.87B | 4.48B | 4.88B | 2.48B | 0.00 |
| Total Liabilities | 5.61B | 5.58B | 6.09B | 6.65B | 3.58B | 57.71M |
| Stockholders Equity | 907.00M | 988.40M | 256.80M | 1.19B | 581.99M | 176.22M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 395.07M | 23.90M | -224.80M | -36.00M | -263.04M | 4.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 553.01M | 298.70M | 73.90M | -11.80M | 66.14M | 4.75M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -298.70M | -235.60M | 9.60M | -1.70B | -464.15M | 0.00 |
| Financing Cash Flow | -75.04M | 177.30M | -65.30M | 1.90B | 319.60M | -6.44M |
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Technical Analysis
Positive
18.74
Price Trends
14.20
Positive
Market Momentum
0.44
Negative
60.18
Neutral
69.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NIQ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.10, above the 50-day MA of 14.20, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NIQ.
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Risk Analysis
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NIQ Global Intelligence PLC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $4.56B | 53.21 | 14.80% | ― | 30.21% | 50.31% | |
71 Outperform | $5.31B | 14.78 | 25.89% | 1.16% | -0.78% | 3.90% | |
64 Neutral | $6.65B | 15.42 | 10.23% | 1.17% | 11.54% | 61.84% | |
62 Neutral | $5.42B | -15.03 | -47.17% | 2.93% | 8.86% | 22.04% | |
62 Neutral | $618.57M | 14.48 | 14.86% | ― | 11.10% | 10.19% | |
57 Neutral | $7.69B | -31.81 | -16.65% | ― | 167.37% | 18.89% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
* General Sector Average
NIQ
NIQ Global Intelligence PLC
18.34
0.97
5.58%
SAIC
Science Applications
127.55
26.22
25.88%
VRRM
Verra Mobility
3.91
-20.51
-83.99%
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
28.31
13.11
86.25%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
35.65
<0.01
0.03%
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
28.38
8.22
40.75%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.