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Anglo American (NGLOY)
OTHER OTC:NGLOY
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Anglo American (NGLOY) AI Stock Analysis

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NGLOY

Anglo American

(OTC:NGLOY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▼(-9.31% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance (multi-year revenue declines and recent net losses) despite solid operating margins and positive free cash flow. Technicals are a key positive with broad strength above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is supported by an exceptionally high dividend yield but tempered by a negative P/E from losses.
Positive Factors
Strong operating margins
Despite weaker revenue and net income, Anglo American retained strong operating profitability in 2025. This indicates that its mining operations still generate substantial earnings before non-operating items, providing a foundation for cost management, reinvestment, and recovery if commodity conditions improve.
Negative Factors
Persistent revenue decline
Four consecutive years of lower revenue point to sustained pressure on production, realized pricing, or both rather than a single-period fluctuation. Continued top-line contraction can reduce operating leverage, constrain reinvestment, and weaken the scale benefits supporting future profitability.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong operating margins
Despite weaker revenue and net income, Anglo American retained strong operating profitability in 2025. This indicates that its mining operations still generate substantial earnings before non-operating items, providing a foundation for cost management, reinvestment, and recovery if commodity conditions improve.
Read all positive factors

Anglo American (NGLOY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Anglo American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Anglo American plc is a globally operating enterprise primarily focused on the mining sector. The company's core activities involve the exploration and extraction of a diverse range of resources, including both rough and polished diamonds, copper,...
How the Company Makes Money
Anglo American primarily makes money by producing and selling mined commodities. Revenue is generated when the company extracts ore or minerals, processes them into saleable products (such as concentrates, refined metals, or graded bulk materials)...

Anglo American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive strategic and operational picture: management delivered on production guidance, realized substantial cost savings and demonstrable deleveraging, and advanced a transformational merger with Teck that could create a major copper‑focused champion. Material negatives include two workplace fatalities, a significant impairment and ongoing market weakness at De Beers, operational incidents affecting steelmaking coal, and near‑term cost and grade headwinds at Collahuasi that lift 2026 unit costs. On balance, the positives—strong simplified portfolio performance, cash generation, portfolio monetizations (~$2.5bn realized) and merger progress—outweigh the negatives, though material execution and market risks remain (notably De Beers exit and remaining regulatory approvals).
Positive Updates
Strategic Transformation and Merger Progress
Announced merger with Teck to form 'Anglo Teck' with major regulatory approvals secured (including Investment Canada Act) and completion targeted in ~12-18 months; $4.5 billion special dividend expected to be payable around completion.
Negative Updates
Workplace Fatalities
Despite improved injury frequency, the company reported two separate workplace fatalities in the first half (projects contractor fall in Minas‑Rio and an LHD accident in Unki), described as tragic and unacceptable.
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strategic Transformation and Merger Progress
Announced merger with Teck to form 'Anglo Teck' with major regulatory approvals secured (including Investment Canada Act) and completion targeted in ~12-18 months; $4.5 billion special dividend expected to be payable around completion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights include 2026 copper unit costs of ~ $1.72/lb (up from $1.50/lb) assuming CLP 860 and PEN 3.2, premium iron ore unit costs of ~ $41/t (ZAR16, BRL5.3), a continuing-operations underlying tax rate of 44–48% (long‑term simplified portfolio 38–42%; 2025 outcome ~39%), continuing depreciation $2.4–2.6bn, ~ $0.2bn of restructuring/merger costs, a one‑off non‑cash $0.5bn lease liability recognition related to Los Bronces water, and simplified‑portfolio CapEx of $2.6–3.1bn p.a. over the next 3 years (De Beers CapEx ~$0.5bn; Woodsmith ~$250m in 2026 and 2027 plus $50m OpEx), with sustaining CapEx ~ $2bn p.a.; operational and cost targets include $0.6bn incremental cost savings in 2025 (total realized $1.6bn of a $1.8bn target, with ~ $0.2bn to be realized in 2026), sustaining attributable free cash flow of $1.4bn in 2025, net debt reduced by $2.0bn to $8.6bn (net debt/EBITDA 1.3x; excl. shareholder loans $6.8bn), continuing‑operations EBITDA $6.4bn (simplified portfolio EBITDA $6.9bn, 44% margin; copper $4.0bn; premium iron ore $2.9bn), Quellaveco expected to produce ~300,000 tpa copper, ~125,000 t of lower‑risk near‑term copper growth from Collahuasi/Donoso 2 stripping, and the Anglo‑Teck transaction still targeted to complete in ~12–18 months (roughly Sept–Mar) with a $4.5bn special dividend payable on or around completion; 2025 underlying EPS was $0.54 and full‑year dividends were $0.23/share (final $0.16).

Anglo American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are pressured versus prior cycle highs: revenue has declined for four straight years and net income swung to losses in 2024–2025. Offsetting this, operating profitability remains solid (EBIT and EBITDA margins still strong) and cash flow is resilient with positive 2025 free cash flow, but rising leverage and weak bottom-line results keep the score subdued.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.49B18.58B27.29B30.65B35.12B41.55B
Gross Profit8.36B7.27B16.13B15.04B21.82B28.30B
EBITDA6.91B6.04B2.44B7.27B12.44B20.03B
Net Income-2.71B-4.14B-3.07B283.00M4.51B8.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.66B55.99B64.87B66.54B67.41B65.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.87B6.44B8.20B6.14B8.46B9.12B
Total Debt17.26B15.48B18.21B16.91B14.37B12.86B
Total Liabilities34.25B31.88B36.33B34.93B33.38B31.21B
Stockholders Equity17.16B17.98B20.76B25.06B27.36B27.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.10B1.70B2.49B484.00M3.57B10.99B
Operating Cash Flow5.32B5.05B8.10B6.50B9.77B16.72B
Investing Cash Flow-1.16B-2.24B-5.13B-5.56B-5.82B-5.56B
Financing Cash Flow-1.18B-4.70B-840.00M-3.22B-4.37B-9.36B

Anglo American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.67
Price Trends
50DMA
26.96
Negative
100DMA
26.04
Negative
200DMA
24.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
40.43
Neutral
STOCH
52.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGLOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.25, above the 50-day MA of 26.96, and above the 200-day MA of 24.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NGLOY.

Anglo American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$140.96B10.9818.86%5.68%14.26%17.02%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$1.47B10.0712.97%1.10%23.37%―
59
Neutral
$53.55B-20.83-15.45%0.78%-11.20%39.22%
59
Neutral
$721.28M-17.90-5.64%1.53%-8.54%61.49%
57
Neutral
$45.45B22.805.76%9.34%12.55%-60.45%
41
Neutral
$26.53M-0.53100.12%―-70.31%-348.07%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGLOY
Anglo American
24.81
6.53
35.73%
GSM
Ferroglobe
3.86
-0.83
-17.71%
OMEX
Odyssey Marine Exploration
11.30
-36.95
-76.58%
RIO
Rio Tinto
81.89
14.88
22.20%
VALE
Vale SA
11.39
0.02
0.19%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
11.08
5.46
97.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026