PBF Energy (PBF) AI Stock Analysis

PBF Energy

(BMV:PBF)

Rating:―N/A

Action:N/A

Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors

Balance Sheet ImprovementSubstantial debt reduction and approximately $426 million of net cash improve financial resilience and reduce funding pressure. Lower leverage should support future capital allocation, while expected interest savings can strengthen earnings and cash generation through the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Highly Cyclical ProfitabilityThe rebound in TTM profitability has not eliminated the core cycle risk of refining. Prior losses and negative margins show that weaker product markets or unfavorable crude differentials can materially reduce earnings, making cash generation and returns less dependable over time.

PBF Energy (PBF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: MXN 9.25B
Dividend Yield: 1.29%
Average Volume (3M): 340
Price to Earnings (P/E): 3.4
Beta (1Y): -0.43
Revenue Growth: 17.51%
EPS Growth: ―
Country: Mexico
Employees: 3,678
Sector: Energy
Sector Strength: 65
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

PBF Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

PBF Energy Inc., operating through its subsidiaries, primarily focuses on the refinement and distribution of various petroleum products. Its business is structured into two core segments: Refining and Logistics. The company's extensive product portfo...

PBF Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:6.24%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights, with record-level adjusted earnings, substantial net debt reduction, an 18% dividend increase, strong operating execution, improving cost and energy efficiency, and favorable refining and renewable diesel market conditions. The main challenges were market volatility, global product supply disruptions, a heavier 2027 turnaround schedule, special-item charges, and modestly delayed operating expense savings.

Positive Updates

Strong Third-Quarter Earnings

Excluding special items, PBF reported adjusted net income of $12.78 per share and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.3 billion for the third quarter. Results were primarily supported by strong product markets driven by tight supply and relatively firm demand.

Negative Updates

Special-Item Charges

Special items decreased third-quarter net income by a net after-tax charge of $29 million, or $0.24 per share. The charges primarily included approximately $11 million of RBI-related costs and a $28 million pretax loss on extinguishment of debt and deferred financing costs.

Company Guidance

For the fourth quarter, PBF expects total throughput of 925 thousand to 985 thousand barrels/day and SBR production of 18 thousand to 20 thousand barrels/day; RBI run rate cost improvements are expected to grow to more than $350 million by year-end 2026, 2026 capital expenditures remain $825 million to $875 million excluding capital related to the Martinez rebuild, and 2026 interest expense is expected to be within guidance. The company expects refinancing and debt pay down to reduce interest expense by at least $130 million in 2027, projects using a substantial majority of its NOLs in 2026, and said an effective tax rate approximately 26% can be used for modeling purposes. In 2027, PBF plans to increase Chalmette jet fuel capability to 20 thousand barrels/day and expects the Paul project to increase gasoline yield and blending capability by about 10 thousand barrels/day; 2027 will be heavier turnaround schedule than most years, while 2028 is gonna be a lighter turnaround year.

PBF Energy Risk Analysis

PBF Energy disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PBF Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate19
Tech & Innovation1
Legal & Regulatory13
Production10
Ability to Sell2
Macro & Political4

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

PBF Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

MX:PBF against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DINO	82Outperform	$19.71B	5.82	34.53%	1.76%	29.47%	848.69%
PARR	78Outperform	$3.82B	4.40	57.75%	―	13.19%	―
Sector *	65Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
DK	55Neutral	$4.50B	20.16	95.27%	1.39%	11.40%	―
CVI	51Neutral	$5.87B	84.59	10.48%	0.98%	17.88%	―

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MX:PBF and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
MX:PBF	PBF Energy	1447.00	822.25	131.61%
CVI	CVR Energy Inc	58.37	21.79	59.56%
DK	Delek US	73.57	35.53	93.41%
DINO	HF Sinclair Corporation	115.00	63.30	122.42%
PARR	Par Pacific Holdings	76.24	35.03	85.00%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

PBF Energy AI Stock Analysis