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Crown Holdings (CCK) AI Stock Analysis

MX:CCK

Crown Holdings

(BMV:CCK)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Structural Can AdoptionCans benefit from structural adoption drivers including beverage innovation, sustainability attributes, recyclability, and substitution away from glass. These trends can support durable volume growth across regions and reinforce Crown’s relevance to major beverage customers over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageLeverage remains elevated relative to the equity base, which reduces financial flexibility if packaging demand weakens or refinancing costs rise. Although leverage has improved from prior years, debt service and obligations can constrain investment and capital allocation.

Crown Holdings (CCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%MX:CCK+69.09%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 12.88B
Dividend Yield
1.02%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.5
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
1.99%
EPS Growth
-20.80%
Country
Mexico
Employees
23,000
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Crown Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Crown Holdings, Inc. is a global enterprise dedicated to the design, production, and sale of a diverse range of packaging solutions and related machinery. Its operations span the Americas, Europe, and Asia Pacific, serving both consumer and industria...

Crown Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 18, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:2.05%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Strong global beverage can demand, 7% adjusted EPS growth, 6% volume growth, robust free cash flow, maintained earnings guidance, substantial shareholder returns, and a strong equipment order book significantly outweighed challenges from inflation, the Middle East conflict, transit packaging weakness, regional volume declines, and capacity constraints.

Positive Updates

Adjusted Earnings and Revenue Growth
Third-quarter diluted earnings per share increased to $2.08 from $1.85 in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose 7% to $2.39 from $2.24, while net sales increased to $3.7 billion from $3.2 billion, primarily reflecting higher global beverage can shipments and the pass-through of higher material costs.

Negative Updates

Inflation and Middle East Conflict Pressure
Inflationary pressures related primarily to the Middle East conflict reduced third-quarter segment income by approximately $17 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share by $0.12. Energy, industrial gases, freight, and other costs remained elevated from pre-conflict levels, and management included a similar headwind in its fourth-quarter estimate.

Company Guidance

Crown expects full year 2026 adjusted diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $8.35 to $8.45 and fourth quarter adjusted diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.63 to $1.73, with net interest expense of $355 million, exchange rates at current levels including a euro dollar at approximately $1.12, effective tax rate of approximately 25%, depreciation of approximately $325 million, non controlling interest expense of approximately $145 million, dividends to non controlling interest of approximately 110, adjusted free cash flow of at least $950 million, capital spending of approximately $550 million, and year end adjusted net leverage of approximately 2.5x; full year global beverage can growth is targeted at 4% to 5%, fourth quarter global volume growth is estimated at 3.5% to 4%, North America shipments are expected to be up in the 3% to 4% range, Europe is expected to continue growing in the order of 3% to 5% or 2% to 4%, and Asia will continue to grow in the low to mid single digit range, while fourth quarter Middle East operations are expected to include continued declines, transit is expected to have a similar comparison to the prior year as Q3 and be down a little bit, and other segment results are expected to be flat to maybe slightly down; the company also said it expects to generate on the order of 900 million to a billion of free cash flow every year and indicated that $700 million, $800 million a year in share buybacks is not too far out of the question.

Crown Holdings Risk Analysis

Crown Holdings disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crown Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Crown Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:CCK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SLGNSLGN69Neutral$4.28B16.3311.09%2.05%4.48%-16.03%
BALLBALL68Neutral$17.59B18.8317.04%1.20%16.86%64.01%
AMCRAMCR65Neutral$21.91B17.629.49%5.49%56.62%32.08%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
AMBPAMBP48Neutral$2.69B52.02-7.98%8.89%17.04%―
SONSON45Neutral$4.94B-23.68-6.12%4.28%3.56%-11673.60%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%MX:CCKBALLSLGNSONAMCRAMBPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:CCK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:CCKCrown Holdings2104.01859.6969.09%
BALLBall Corporation66.4719.3040.92%
SLGNSilgan40.512.697.12%
SONSonoco Products Company49.9611.5530.07%
AMCRAmcor47.3910.3027.76%
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.4.501.3643.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.