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Movado Group Inc. (MOV)
NYSE:MOV
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Movado Group (MOV) AI Stock Analysis

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MOV

Movado Group

(NYSE:MOV)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(8.57% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/26/26
MOV scores solidly on improving fundamentals and cash flow with a conservatively financed balance sheet, reinforced by a mostly positive earnings call highlighting growth and margin progress. The score is held back by weak near-term technical momentum and a mixed valuation profile (higher P/E despite a supportive dividend yield), plus guidance caution tied to temporary margin tailwinds.
Positive Factors
Broad-based revenue growth
Growth across brands, channels and key geographies indicates diversified demand rather than reliance on one product or market. Continued adoption of owned and licensed offerings can support revenue resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability remains below prior peaks
Although profitability is recovering, margins remain materially below earlier cycle levels, indicating that the company has not fully restored its historical earnings power. This leaves results more exposed to product mix, promotions and cost inflation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Broad-based revenue growth
Growth across brands, channels and key geographies indicates diversified demand rather than reliance on one product or market. Continued adoption of owned and licensed offerings can support revenue resilience over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Movado Group (MOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Movado Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT b...
How the Company Makes Money
Movado Group makes money primarily by selling watches and related accessories through two main channels: (1) Wholesale, where it sells branded products in bulk to third-party retailers and distributors, and (2) Direct-to-consumer (DTC), where it s...

Movado Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026
(Q2-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted solid top-line growth, meaningful margin expansion (even after excluding one-time duty refunds), improved profitability, strong cash and no debt, and clear brand/product momentum across multiple labels. Key negatives are that part of the margin improvement was driven by temporary IEEPA tariff reversals and legacy inventory benefits, elevated shipping and marketing costs, and regional softness in the Middle East. Management provided conservative second-half gross margin guidance (55%–56%) and removed the annual outlook, reflecting some caution. Overall, the positive operational and financial trends outweigh the transitory and regional headwinds.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Sales Growth
Net sales for Q2 fiscal 2027 increased 4.9% year-over-year to $169.8 million (constant dollars +4.4%). U.S. net sales rose 4.9% and international net sales increased 4.9% (constant currency +4.1%).
Negative Updates
One-Time IEEPA Duty Refunds and Legacy Inventory Benefit
Q2 included $3.2 million of IEEPA duty refunds which favorably increased gross margin by ~190 basis points. Management stated benefits from legacy inventory and tariff reversals are temporary and not expected to continue, and $6.8 million of previously paid IEEPA duties remain to be recovered but are not recognized until cash is received.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Sales Growth
Net sales for Q2 fiscal 2027 increased 4.9% year-over-year to $169.8 million (constant dollars +4.4%). U.S. net sales rose 4.9% and international net sales increased 4.9% (constant currency +4.1%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Movado said it is discontinuing an annual outlook and instead expects top‑line growth in the mid‑single‑digit range for the remainder of fiscal 2027 and second‑half gross margin of 55%–56%; for context, Q2 sales were $169.8M (+4.9% YoY) and year‑to‑date sales were $312.2M (+6.3%), Q2 gross margin was 59.4% (57.5% excluding a $3.2M IEEPA duty refund that drove ~190 bps of the quarter’s benefit and contributed $0.11 to EPS), Q2 net income was $12.5M ($0.54 per diluted share) and YTD net income was $19.7M ($0.86), cash was $211.6M with no debt, inventory was down $15.0M (7.1%), capital expenditures were $2.3M YTD, the company expects to seek recovery of an additional $6.8M of IEEPA duties (not recognized until received), and it has $44.6M remaining on its share repurchase authorization (to be used to offset dilution).

Movado Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stabilizing with clear improvement versus FY2025: TTM revenue is up strongly, profitability is recovering (TTM net margin ~4.7% and EBIT margin ~6.1%), and cash generation is solid (TTM FCF ~71.4M, ~0.94x net income) after prior-year negative cash flow. The key constraint is that margins and ROE remain well below FY2022–FY2023 peaks, implying reduced earnings power versus prior cycles.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue689.87M671.31M653.38M672.60M751.90M732.39M
Gross Profit387.11M363.60M353.14M370.39M433.89M419.06M
EBITDA60.76M44.28M36.45M70.34M133.23M130.48M
Net Income41.38M26.55M18.36M46.71M94.53M91.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets743.34M742.62M729.23M769.08M787.71M761.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments211.61M230.54M208.50M262.46M251.58M277.13M
Total Debt68.11M78.67M94.77M92.09M88.59M76.42M
Total Liabilities236.13M232.36M245.65M250.13M277.16M284.07M
Stockholders Equity507.22M510.26M481.33M516.80M507.61M472.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow71.41M53.41M-9.58M68.41M47.05M124.87M
Operating Cash Flow75.48M57.92M-1.50M76.78M54.34M130.81M
Investing Cash Flow-6.89M-8.09M-13.74M-11.47M-10.55M-7.91M
Financing Cash Flow-37.07M-36.28M-35.40M-57.60M-65.31M-66.61M

Movado Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.00
Price Trends
50DMA
37.40
Negative
100DMA
33.83
Positive
200DMA
27.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.79
Positive
RSI
35.16
Neutral
STOCH
32.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.29, below the 50-day MA of 37.40, and above the 200-day MA of 27.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MOV.

Movado Group Risk Analysis

Movado Group disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Movado Group reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Movado Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$361.67M16.0331.49%47.74%162.62%
66
Neutral
$550.82M18.958.19%3.01%4.83%136.40%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$318.16M-4.17-69.12%-9.10%-15.30%
52
Neutral
$133.42M-4.56-37.58%21.13%6.41%-893.45%
42
Neutral
$125.60M-1.4143.91%-23.34%-12.90%
41
Neutral
$6.90M-2.8116.37%16.46%73.42%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MOV
Movado Group
34.48
17.27
100.37%
BGI
Birks & Mayors
0.31
-0.51
-62.10%
FOSL
Fossil Group
5.35
2.29
74.84%
ELA
Envela
13.79
6.32
84.61%
LANV
Lanvin Group Holdings
1.01
-1.08
-51.67%
BRLT
Brilliant Earth Group
1.33
-1.59
-54.45%

Movado Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Movado Group Amends and Extends Revolving Credit Facility
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, Movado Group, Inc. and several wholly owned subsidiaries amended their senior secured revolving credit facility with Bank of America, N.A., extending its maturity from October 28, 2026 to July 16, 2031 while reducing total commit...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026