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Magnite (MGNI)
NASDAQ:MGNI
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Magnite (MGNI) AI Stock Analysis

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MGNI

Magnite

(NASDAQ:MGNI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$24.00
▲(0.46% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/07/26
MGNI scores well primarily on improving fundamentals (strong rebound in profitability and sharply reduced leverage), with supportive price trends (above key moving averages and positive MACD). The main offsets are less convincing cash-flow conversion versus earnings and a valuation that looks more fair than discounted; recent debt repricing and leadership continuity add a modest positive.
Positive Factors
Profitability and scale
Magnite has moved from losses in 2022–2023 to approximately 22% TTM net margin while expanding revenue materially over several years. This improvement indicates better operating scale and provides a stronger earnings base to support continued investment in its advertising platform.
Negative Factors
Volatile revenue growth
Although revenue has expanded over the multi-year period, the unusually high TTM growth rate relative to recent annual results suggests an uneven recovery rather than a consistently repeatable trajectory. This volatility makes forward planning less predictable and increases reliance on sustained market or platform momentum.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability and scale
Magnite has moved from losses in 2022–2023 to approximately 22% TTM net margin while expanding revenue materially over several years. This improvement indicates better operating scale and provides a stronger earnings base to support continued investment in its advertising platform.
Read all positive factors

Magnite Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue by region (for example U.S., EMEA, APAC) to show where Magnite earns most of its fees and where it is expanding. Heavy concentration in one market can mean greater exposure to local ad cycles and regulation, while growth abroad points to diversification and new revenue pools.
Chart InsightsInternational revenue shows a steady multi-year uptrend with pronounced year‑end spikes and recent sequential recovery, suggesting successful global monetization rather than a one‑off seasonal blip. Management’s Q1 call — strong CTV contribution growth and SpringServe traction — confirms CTV adoption is a key driver overseas, supporting margin expansion and cash generation. That said, rising CTV concentration and persistent DV+/vertical softness (plus uncertainty around Google remedies) are the main risks that could reverse international momentum.
Data provided by:The Fly

Magnite (MGNI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Magnite Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Magnite, Inc. manages an independent, global platform dedicated to the digital advertising marketplace. This sophisticated system furnishes publishers—entities controlling digital content such as connected TV channels, mobile applications, and web...
How the Company Makes Money
Magnite primarily makes money by charging fees tied to programmatic advertising transactions executed on its sell-side platform. Publishers use Magnite’s technology to make their ad inventory available to buyers (e.g., via DSPs, agencies, and othe...

Magnite Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational and financial progress driven by a robust CTV ramp, double-digit contribution ex-TAC growth, margin expansion, and durability in key customer relationships. Management highlighted durable cost efficiencies (cloud and AI), a disciplined capital allocation plan (debt paydown and buybacks), and raised full-year margin and free-cash-flow targets. Offsetting risks include ongoing DV+ decline, vertical-specific macro weakness (automotive, technology), a large quarter-over-quarter cash reduction from debt repayment and repurchases, uncertainty around timing of Google AdTech remedies, and a planned CFO transition. On balance, the positive growth, profitability, and strategic momentum notably outweigh the moderate risks discussed.
Positive Updates
Top-line Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 was $164 million, up 6% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
DV+ Decline and Ongoing Reallocation
DV+ contribution ex-TAC declined 5% year-over-year to $79 million in Q1 and is guided to decline 4% to 2% in Q2, reflecting continued budget reallocation toward CTV and softness in open-web display.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 was $164 million, up 6% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance: For Q2 management expects contribution ex‑TAC of $177–181M (growth +9% to +12%), with CTV contribution ex‑TAC of $90–92M (+26% to +29%) and DV+ contribution ex‑TAC of $87–89M (down 4% to 2%); they expect Adjusted EBITDA operating expenses of $115–117M implying an Adjusted EBITDA margin of ~34%–36%. For full‑year 2026 they reaffirm at least +11% contribution ex‑TAC growth, mid‑teens Adjusted EBITDA percentage growth, raise Adjusted EBITDA margin to at least 35.5% (from >35%), raise free cash flow growth to the mid‑30% range (from >30%), and reaffirm CapEx of ~ $60M; guidance excludes any potential upside from Google AdTech remedies.

Magnite Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has rebounded strongly versus 2022–2023 (TTM net margin ~22%) alongside material multi-year revenue growth, and leverage is much lower (debt-to-equity ~0.07) which improves resilience. Offsetting this, revenue growth appears volatile and cash conversion has weakened recently (free cash flow down versus 2025 and operating cash flow relatively low versus net income), creating some quality-of-earnings risk.
Income Statement
76
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue742.04M713.95M668.17M619.71M577.07M468.41M
Gross Profit480.73M447.33M409.33M209.80M269.90M266.75M
EBITDA170.38M143.22M112.03M115.64M109.72M71.75M
Net Income166.89M144.61M22.79M-159.18M-130.32M65.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.03B3.16B2.85B2.69B2.71B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments332.62M553.36M483.22M326.22M326.25M230.40M
Total Debt416.98M626.36M608.81M606.65M813.86M809.25M
Total Liabilities2.10B2.24B2.09B1.99B1.92B1.83B
Stockholders Equity936.27M922.35M768.22M701.68M791.30M880.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow212.14M165.63M202.39M176.98M148.15M97.46M
Operating Cash Flow280.94M236.17M235.20M214.37M192.55M126.59M
Investing Cash Flow-89.11M-92.77M-47.50M-37.38M-65.15M-691.00M
Financing Cash Flow-285.11M-75.08M-28.90M-177.84M-30.17M678.05M

Magnite Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.89
Price Trends
50DMA
24.10
Negative
100DMA
21.88
Negative
200DMA
17.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
34.62
Neutral
STOCH
5.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGNI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.19, below the 50-day MA of 24.10, and above the 200-day MA of 17.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGNI.

Magnite Risk Analysis

Magnite disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Magnite reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Magnite Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.13B18.6518.62%―8.32%280.46%
70
Outperform
$694.30M7.019.20%―-4.24%-20.11%
65
Neutral
$1.96B3.2334.27%2.03%-8.46%-157.54%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$2.16B136.572.16%6.16%6.17%351.09%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGNI
Magnite
21.82
1.93
9.70%
ZD
Ziff Davis
57.03
23.02
67.69%
STGW
Stagwell
8.85
4.04
83.99%
CRTO
Criteo SA
14.17
-6.71
-32.14%

Magnite Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Magnite Reprices Term Loan, Enhances Financial Flexibility
Positive
Oct 7, 2026
On October 7, 2026, Magnite announced it had completed a third repricing of its $358 million senior secured term loan due February 2031 and its $175 million revolving credit facility maturing in February 2029. The term loan interest rate was reduc...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Magnite Announces New CFO and Accounting Leadership
Positive
Sep 21, 2026
On September 18, 2026, Magnite promoted Brian Gephart to Chief Financial Officer, effective October 1, 2026, succeeding retiring CFO David Day after his decade-long tenure overseeing the company’s finances. Gephart, previously Chief Accounti...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026