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Mercadolibre
(NASDAQ:MELI)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$1,940.00
▲(4.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (scale and standout free cash flow) and a constructive earnings narrative of broad-based commerce/fintech growth, tempered by deliberate near-term margin and credit-risk pressure. The main offset is weak technical positioning with the price below key moving averages; valuation remains demanding with a high P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Robust Revenue & GMV Growth
Sustained high top-line growth across Brazil, Mexico, Argentina and Chile demonstrates durable market share gains and strong consumer adoption. Broad-based commerce expansion combined with fintech volume growth strengthens network effects and supports multi-year revenue and monetization expansion.
Negative Factors
Deliberate Margin Compression
Management's investment-first posture intentionally depresses operating margins near term, reducing profitability while scale benefits mature. If investments (free shipping, 1P, credit cards) fail to convert into sustained higher lifetime value, the company could face prolonged margin pressure over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Robust Revenue & GMV Growth
Sustained high top-line growth across Brazil, Mexico, Argentina and Chile demonstrates durable market share gains and strong consumer adoption. Broad-based commerce expansion combined with fintech volume growth strengthens network effects and supports multi-year revenue and monetization expansion.
Read all positive factors
Mercadolibre Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyMercadolibre (MELI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$89.40B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)700.54K
Price to Earnings (P/E)46.6
Beta (1Y)0.93
Revenue Growth42.11%
EPS Growth-6.84%
CountryUS
Employees84,207
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)37.88
Shares Outstanding50,697,180
10 Day Avg. Volume512,872
30 Day Avg. Volume700,542
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio11.34
Price to Book (P/B)15.13
Price to Sales (P/S)3.53
P/FCF Ratio9.48
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.02
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.87
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.55
Enterprise Value/Ebitda26.99
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$2,191.43Price Target Upside18.08% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)38.95
Revenue Forecast (FY)$40.55B
Mercadolibre Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates as a prominent provider of digital commerce platforms throughout Latin America. Its primary service, the Mercado Libre Marketplace, is an automated online system allowing businesses, independent vendors, and private ind...
How the Company Makes Money
MercadoLibre primarily makes money through a combination of commerce (marketplace) services and fintech (payments and financial services), supported by logistics and advertising-related monetization.
1) Marketplace (Commerce) revenue
- Transactio...
Mercadolibre Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and top-line picture—49% revenue growth, robust GMV and fintech expansion, significant improvements in logistics efficiency and record engagement metrics. Management acknowledges deliberate near-term margin pressure driven by accelerated investments (free shipping, 1P/CBT, credit card scale) and higher upfront provisions as the credit book grows and loan durations extend. While provisioning and NIM compression (especially in Brazil) are meaningful near-term headwinds, management frames these as intentional, disciplined investments with improving cohort performance and long-term payoff.Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Net revenue increased 49% year-over-year in Q1 2026—the strongest growth rate since Q2 2022, driven by broad-based commerce and fintech expansion.
Negative Updates
Margin Compression from Deliberate Investments
Operating margin compressed to 6.9% as management deliberately increased investment intensity across commerce and fintech. Management indicated this investment posture is intentional and likely to persist in the near term.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Net revenue increased 49% year-over-year in Q1 2026—the strongest growth rate since Q2 2022, driven by broad-based commerce and fintech expansion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was investment-first and fairly specific about near-term posture: they will "invest boldly" across commerce and fintech and have "set the dial" at Q1 intensity—income from operations was $611M (6.9% margin) on net revenue up 49% YoY—and do not expect that margin level to change materially in the near term while retaining the ability to dial it up or down. They cited concrete metrics that justify continued investment: Brazil GMV +38% YoY with items sold +56% (free‑shipping threshold lowered to BRL 19), Mexico GMV +28%, Argentina +41%, Chile +40%; Mercado Pago MAUs +29% YoY, AUM +77%, credit portfolio nearly doubled to $14.6B (credit book growth ~87% YoY), 2.7M credit cards issued this quarter (credit‑card TPV +90% YoY, card MAUs +68%); operational improvements (cost per shipment down 17% YoY and many SKUs in the BRL19–79 band approaching break‑even) support the plan, though they warned higher provisions / cost of risk (noted increase and NIM compression) will continue as the credit business scales and that targeted seller take‑rate cuts implemented at end‑Q1 will begin to impact P&L in Q2.Mercadolibre Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 31.80B | 28.89B | 20.78B | 15.11B | 10.78B | 7.07B |
| Gross Profit | 13.95B | 12.86B | 9.58B | 7.59B | 5.20B | 3.00B |
| EBITDA | 3.39B | 3.56B | 3.21B | 2.25B | 1.32B | 674.00M |
| Net Income | 1.92B | 2.00B | 1.91B | 987.00M | 482.00M | 83.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 46.93B | 42.67B | 25.20B | 17.61B | 13.74B | 10.10B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.46B | 6.30B | 3.75B | 3.75B | 3.03B | 2.79B |
| Total Debt | 12.35B | 11.39B | 6.85B | 5.33B | 5.41B | 3.98B |
| Total Liabilities | 39.65B | 35.92B | 20.84B | 14.54B | 11.91B | 8.57B |
| Stockholders Equity | 7.28B | 6.75B | 4.35B | 3.07B | 1.83B | 1.53B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 10.71B | 10.77B | 7.06B | 4.63B | 2.48B | 355.55M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.95B | 12.12B | 7.92B | 5.14B | 2.94B | 965.04M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -5.34B | -6.18B | -8.29B | -3.45B | -3.87B | -1.60B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 3.18B | 2.90B | 1.96B | -267.00M | 916.00M | 1.93B |
Mercadolibre Technical Analysis
Positive
1855.83
Price Trends
1684.19
Positive
1738.97
Positive
1942.59
Negative
Market Momentum
12.79
Negative
61.59
Neutral
84.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MELI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1855.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1644.21, above the 50-day MA of 1684.19, and below the 200-day MA of 1942.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 12.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MELI.
Mercadolibre Risk Analysis
Mercadolibre disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mercadolibre reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Mercadolibre Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $117.27B | 8.05 | 24.04% | ― | 11.69% | -1.85% | |
71 Outperform | $50.99B | 25.52 | 44.12% | 1.38% | 13.15% | 5.89% | |
71 Outperform | $63.27B | 38.54 | 14.24% | ― | 40.54% | 78.98% | |
70 Outperform | $89.40B | 46.55 | 29.58% | ― | 42.11% | -6.84% | |
67 Neutral | $7.30B | 26.63 | -25.47% | ― | 1.78% | 75.71% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $33.32B | -192.13 | -3.67% | ― | 13.10% | -163.64% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
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Mercadolibre Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MercadoLibre Stockholders Approve Directors, Pay and Auditor
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
MercadoLibre, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 9, 2026, with 42,917,786 of 50,697,182 eligible shares represented, establishing a quorum to conduct business. Shareholders voted on the election of Class I directors, an advisory ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.