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Medtronic (MDT)
NYSE:MDT
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Medtronic (MDT) AI Stock Analysis

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MDT

Medtronic

(NYSE:MDT)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$101.00
▲(11.97% Upside)
Medtronic's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are key strengths, supporting a robust growth outlook. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. These factors collectively result in a moderate overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approval
The final NCD for the Symplicity Spyral system provides Medicare patients access, potentially expanding the market for Medtronic's innovative hypertension treatment.
Product Innovation
The Embrace Gynecology study for the Hugo system indicates Medtronic's commitment to expanding its robotic surgery capabilities, potentially capturing more market share in surgical innovations.
Earnings Growth
Raising EPS guidance reflects strong financial performance and confidence in future growth, driven by strategic initiatives and a robust product pipeline.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
Rising debt levels may strain Medtronic's financial flexibility, potentially impacting its ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns.
Tariff Impact
Significant tariff impacts could pressure Medtronic's margins and profitability, affecting its competitive pricing and market positioning in the long term.
Margin Pressures
Decreasing gross profit margins indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could affect Medtronic's profitability and operational efficiency if not addressed.

Medtronic (MDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medtronic Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients worldwide. Its Cardiovascular Portfolio segment offers implantable cardiac pacemakers, cardioverter defibrillators, and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices; cardiac ablation products; insertable cardiac monitor systems; TYRX products; and remote monitoring and patient-centered software. It also provides aortic valves, surgical valve replacement and repair products, endovascular stent grafts and accessories, and transcatheter pulmonary valves; and percutaneous coronary intervention products, percutaneous angioplasty balloons, and products. The company's Medical Surgical Portfolio segment offers surgical stapling devices, vessel sealing instruments, wound closure, electrosurgery products, surgical artificial intelligence and robotic-assisted surgery products, hernia mechanical devices, mesh implants, gynecology and lung products, and various therapies to treat diseases, as well as products in the fields of minimally invasive gastrointestinal and hepatologic diagnostics and therapies, patient monitoring, airway management and ventilation therapies, and renal disease. Its Neuroscience Portfolio segment offers products for spinal surgeons; neurosurgeons; neurologists; pain management specialists; anesthesiologists; orthopedic surgeons; urologists; urogynecologists; interventional radiologists; ear, nose, and throat specialists; and systems that incorporate energy surgical instruments. It also provides image-guided surgery and intra-operative imaging systems and robotic guidance systems used in robot assisted spine procedures; and therapies for vasculature in and around the brain. The company's Diabetes Operating Unit segment offers insulin pumps and consumables, continuous glucose monitoring systems, smart insulin pen systems, and consumables and supplies. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedtronic generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and technologies across its business segments. The company earns money by selling high-margin products directly to hospitals, healthcare providers, and distributors. Key revenue streams include sales from cardiovascular devices, including stents and heart valves, minimally invasive surgical instruments, and diabetes management solutions. Medtronic also benefits from recurring revenue through service contracts and ongoing sales of consumable products associated with its devices. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers, research institutions, and technology companies enhance its product offerings and market reach, further contributing to its earnings.

Medtronic Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart InsightsMedtronic's Cardiovascular segment shows robust growth, aligning with the 8% increase reported in the earnings call, driven by innovations like Cardiac Ablation Solutions. Neuroscience also maintains strong momentum. The Diabetes segment, despite its lower margins, continues its double-digit growth streak, prompting a strategic spin-off to focus on high-margin areas. This separation aims to enhance operational efficiency and shareholder value. However, potential tariff impacts and currency headwinds pose risks to future margins, which investors should monitor closely.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Medtronic Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 19, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in key areas like Cardiac Ablation Solutions and Diabetes, leading to an increased EPS guidance. However, some areas like MedSurg and Neuroscience experienced slower growth, and tariffs continue to present a financial challenge.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Cardiac Ablation Solutions Growth
CAS grew nearly 50% with low 70s growth in both the U.S. and Japan, driven by high demand for Pulsed Field Ablation systems.
Improvement in Diabetes Segment
Diabetes grew 8%, with 11% growth in international markets, driven by the success of the 780G system and Simplera Sync sensor.
Increased EPS Guidance
EPS came in ahead of guidance, leading to an increase in EPS guidance for the full year to a range of $5.60 to $5.66.
Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience grew 3%, supported by high single-digit growth in both Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation.
Strong Performance in Cardiovascular
Cardiovascular grew 7%, led by strong growth in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and double-digit growth in cardiac surgery, ICDs, and Leadless Pacing.
Negative Updates
Slower Growth in MedSurg
MedSurg grew 2%, in line with current expectations, but below company average.
Challenges in Neuroscience Growth
Neuroscience growth was below trend due to delivery changes in Specialty Therapies, expected to improve in Q2.
Continued Tariff Headwinds
Tariffs are expected to have a $185 million impact on fiscal 2026.
U.S. Diabetes Performance
Diabetes growth in the U.S. was slower than international markets, attributed to product availability and timing.
Company Guidance
In the recent first-quarter earnings call, Medtronic reported a consistent mid-single-digit revenue growth, aligning with their guidance, and an EPS that surpassed expectations. Key highlights included a high single-digit growth in their Cardiovascular segment, particularly in Cardiac Ablation Solutions, which saw nearly 50% growth. The Neuroscience segment grew by 3%, with notable expansion in Neurosurgery and Neuromodulation. MedSurg grew by 2%, while the Diabetes division reported an 8% growth, bolstered by international markets. Medtronic raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year and anticipating accelerated growth driven by their robust product pipeline and strategic initiatives. The company also discussed the planned separation of the Diabetes business, expected to be EPS accretive, and the formation of new board committees focused on growth and operational excellence.

Medtronic Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medtronic demonstrates strong financial health with consistent profitability, stable leverage, and solid cash flow generation. Minor concerns include increasing debt and slight margin pressures, but overall, the company's financial position supports its growth strategies.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Medtronic's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin around 65% and a net profit margin of approximately 13.6% in TTM. Revenue growth is modest but positive, indicating stable demand. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over time suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio below 0.6, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is stable around 9.6%, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a well-capitalized company. However, the increase in total debt over time could pose future risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals robust free cash flow growth in TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has slightly decreased, which could indicate increased capital expenditures or other cash uses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.20B33.54B32.36B31.23B31.69B30.12B
Gross Profit21.70B21.91B21.15B20.51B21.54B19.63B
EBITDA9.35B9.22B8.20B8.70B8.78B7.52B
Net Income4.66B4.66B3.68B3.76B5.04B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets90.97B91.68B89.98B90.95B90.98B93.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.12B8.96B8.01B7.96B10.57B10.82B
Total Debt28.61B28.52B25.02B24.36B24.11B26.39B
Total Liabilities42.84B43.42B39.56B39.28B38.26B41.48B
Stockholders Equity47.89B48.02B50.21B51.48B52.55B51.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.30B5.18B5.20B4.58B5.98B4.88B
Operating Cash Flow7.15B7.04B6.79B6.04B7.35B6.24B
Investing Cash Flow-2.40B-1.94B-2.37B-3.49B-1.66B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow-5.01B-4.36B-4.45B-4.96B-5.34B-4.14B

Medtronic Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price90.20
Price Trends
50DMA
93.98
Negative
100DMA
91.45
Negative
200DMA
88.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.95
Positive
RSI
30.33
Neutral
STOCH
8.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MDT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 90.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.65, below the 50-day MA of 93.98, and above the 200-day MA of 88.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MDT.

Medtronic Risk Analysis

Medtronic disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medtronic reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medtronic Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$146.09B52.7321.62%54.80%
$215.34B15.5330.62%1.91%6.37%142.39%
$48.77B35.420.19%65.34%
$136.19B46.7814.04%0.94%10.95%-18.32%
$115.70B24.909.72%3.13%4.98%22.08%
$23.57B33.6330.63%14.21%5.66%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDT
Medtronic
90.20
3.38
3.89%
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
123.84
8.30
7.18%
BSX
Boston Scientific
98.59
13.05
15.26%
DXCM
Dexcom
60.43
-8.57
-12.42%
EW
Edwards Lifesciences
83.07
16.38
24.56%
SYK
Stryker
358.16
-8.37
-2.28%

Medtronic Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Medtronic’s AGM Approves Key Governance Changes
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Medtronic held its Annual General Meeting where shareholders elected twelve directors to serve until the 2026 meeting, ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for fiscal year 2026, and approved executive compensation. Additionally, the meeting saw the renewal of the Board’s authority to issue shares and opt out of pre-emption rights, authorization for overseas market purchases of shares, and amendments to the Articles of Association to facilitate reserve capitalization and update advance notice provisions. These decisions are poised to impact Medtronic’s governance and financial strategies, potentially enhancing shareholder value and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s Innovative Approach to Diabetic Neuropathy Pain: A Study Update
Oct 16, 2025

Study Overview: Medtronic is conducting a study titled Feasibility and Therapeutic Efficacy Study of Medtronic’s DTM-Closed-Loop Integrated SCS Technology for Managing Diabetic Peripheral Neuropathic Pain (DPN). The study aims to assess the safety and effectiveness of a new spinal cord stimulation (SCS) approach in treating painful diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN). This research is significant as it explores innovative treatment methods for managing chronic pain associated with diabetes.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Medtronic Issues €1.5 Billion in Senior Notes
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Medtronic, Inc., a subsidiary of Medtronic plc, issued €1.5 billion in senior notes, with maturities in 2030 and 2045, to refinance existing debts. The issuance is expected to strengthen Medtronic’s financial position by repaying Medtronic Luxco’s senior notes due in 2025, and the notes have been approved for listing on the New York Stock Exchange, indicating a strategic financial maneuver to optimize debt management.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s NIM Vital™ System Study Completion: A Boost for Investor Confidence
Sep 24, 2025

Medtronic recently completed a clinical study titled ‘Product Surveillance Registry (PSR) – Nerve Integrity Monitoring (NIM) Vital Cohort.’ The study aimed to confirm the clinical safety and performance of Medtronic’s NIM Vital™ System and its accessories in real-world surgical settings. This research is significant as it supports the efficacy of the NIM Vital™ System in various surgeries, including intracranial, extracranial, and neck surgeries.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Medtronic Announces Pricing of New Senior Notes
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Medtronic announced the pricing of a significant offering aimed at repaying existing senior notes due in 2025. The company plans to issue €1.5 billion in senior notes due in 2030 and 2045, which are fully guaranteed by Medtronic Luxco and Medtronic plc. This move reflects in Medtronic’s fiscal year 2026 earnings guidance and underscores its strategic financial management. Additionally, Medtronic Luxco has elected to redeem €500 million of its outstanding senior notes on September 29, 2025, contingent on the successful issuance of the new notes, indicating a proactive approach to managing its debt obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Hold with a $90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s Cardiac Device Study: A Key Update for Investors
Sep 7, 2025

The Medtronic CRDM Product Performance Report, officially titled ‘Medtronic CRDM Product Performance Report,’ aims to evaluate the long-term reliability and performance of Medtronic’s marketed cardiac therapy products. The study focuses on analyzing product survival probabilities to ensure the effectiveness of devices used in treating conditions such as arrhythmia, bradycardia, heart failure, and sinus tachycardia.

Medtronic’s Product Surveillance Registry: A Commitment to Safety and Effectiveness
Sep 7, 2025

The Medtronic Product Surveillance Registry aims to continuously evaluate and report on the safety and effectiveness of Medtronic’s market-released products. This study, officially titled the Medtronic Product Surveillance Registry, seeks to streamline clinical surveillance and enhance performance assessment across various medical conditions, benefiting patients, hospitals, clinicians, and regulatory bodies.

Medtronic’s Innovative Pacemaker Study: A New Frontier in Hypertension Treatment
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: The study titled ‘BradycArdia paCemaKer With AV Interval Modulation for Blood prEssure treAtmenT’ aims to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of a novel atrioventricular interval modulation (AVIM) algorithm in managing hypertension. This prospective, multinational, randomized, double-blind clinical trial is significant as it explores innovative solutions for blood pressure management using Medtronic’s Astra/Azure pacemaker.

Medtronic’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Medtronic’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth in certain key areas, while also acknowledging challenges in others. The company expressed optimism with an increased EPS guidance, driven by strong performances in Cardiac Ablation Solutions and Diabetes. However, slower growth in MedSurg and Neuroscience, along with ongoing tariff challenges, were noted as areas of concern.

Medtronic Reports Strong Q1 FY26 Results
Aug 20, 2025

Medtronic plc, headquartered in Galway, Ireland, is a leading global healthcare technology company focused on developing solutions for challenging health problems, offering a range of products including cardiac devices, surgical robotics, and patient monitoring systems.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Medtronic Expands Board, Appoints Two New Directors
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Medtronic‘s Board of Directors expanded from 11 to 13 members, appointing John Groetelaars and William Jellison as new directors, effective August 19, 2025. Medtronic also reported its first quarter fiscal 2026 financial results, showing an 8.4% increase in revenue to $8.6 billion and a 4.8% organic growth, with significant contributions from Cardiac Ablation Solutions. The company raised its FY26 EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its growth drivers and operational efficiencies.

The most recent analyst rating on (MDT) stock is a Buy with a $109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Medtronic stock, see the MDT Stock Forecast page.

Medtronic’s Long-term Cardiac Device Study: Implications for Investors
Aug 1, 2025

Medtronic is conducting a study titled ‘Medtronic CRDM Product Performance Report’ to evaluate the long-term reliability and performance of its cardiac therapy products. The primary objective is to analyze the survival probabilities of market-released cardiac rhythm products, which is significant for ensuring product longevity and reliability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025