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Laird Superfood (LSF) AI Stock Analysis

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LSF

Laird Superfood

(NYSE MKT:LSF)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–²(4.17% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

LSF scores in the high-40s primarily due to still-weak financial fundamentals (continued losses and currently negative operating/free cash flow) and a soft technical setup (negative MACD and trading below key moving averages). The earnings call improves the outlook modestly via reaffirmed FY2026 guidance and strong reported growth/EBITDA progress, but valuation remains difficult to support with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.

Positive Factors
Acquisition-led scaleThe acquisitions have materially expanded LSF’s revenue base and broadened its functional food platform. If integration continues successfully, the larger portfolio and combined commercial capabilities can support greater distribution, cross-selling and operating scale over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitabilityDespite stronger revenue and narrower losses than earlier periods, LSF has not yet demonstrated durable GAAP profitability. Negative operating earnings mean the business remains dependent on successful scaling and cost control before it can consistently compound shareholder value.

Laird Superfood (LSF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%LSF-42.17%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$27.42M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
31.90K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-6.3
Beta (1Y)
1.92
Revenue Growth
73.26%
EPS Growth
-239.94%
Country
US
Employees
27
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Laird Superfood Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Laird Superfood, Inc. manufactures and markets plant-based natural and functional food in the United States. The company provides powdered and liquid coffee creamers, and hydration and beverage enhancing supplements; hydrate coconut water products; p...

Laird Superfood Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 12, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-45.21%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a constructive growth story driven by transformative acquisitions, meaningful top‑line expansion (+244% Q2) and a material improvement in adjusted EBITDA ($3.0M), supported by a stronger cash position and no debt. However, results also show notable margin compression (≈9.6 percentage points), elevated operating and integration costs, and a wider GAAP net loss as the company absorbs acquisition-related expenses and integrates lower‑margin businesses. Management reaffirmed FY guidance and highlighted retail and marketplace distribution momentum, while acknowledging remaining integration work and DTC softness. Overall, the positives around scale, liquidity, and early synergy realization modestly outweigh the near‑term margin and cost challenges.

Positive Updates

Large Revenue Lift from Acquisitions
Q2 net sales of $41.3M, up 244% versus Q2 2025 ($12.0M), primarily driven by the Navitas and Terrasoul acquisitions.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Compression
Q2 gross margin declined to 30.3% from 39.9% a year ago, a contraction of 9.6 percentage points (gross profit $12.5M vs $4.8M), driven by lower‑margin acquired businesses and inflationary commodity costs.

Company Guidance

Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of consolidated net sales of $138–$148 million and adjusted EBITDA of $8–$12 million, saying the outlook reflects a full year of the combined Laird, Navitas and Terrasoul platform, early synergy capture and an expected revenue acceleration in H2 (they said they’d be disappointed if results weren’t nearer the mid‑to‑high end). Key metrics on the call: Q2 net sales were $41.3M (+244% YoY) and YTD net sales $55.2M (+134% YoY); Q2 adjusted EBITDA $3.0M (YTD $1.8M); Q2 gross margin 30.3% (down 9.6 pts YoY) and YTD gross margin 31.1% with management forecasting low‑30s gross margin in H2; Q2 net loss $1.8M ($0.25/sh) and YTD net loss $0.1M ($0.10/sh); Q2 channel mix was wholesale $21.3M (51%) and e‑commerce $20.0M (49%); balance sheet: $23.2M cash and no debt as of June 30, 2026. They will update guidance as integration milestones and visibility into the back half improve.

Laird Superfood Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is improving on the top line and margins versus 2021–2023, and leverage is manageable with positive equity. However, profitability remains negative (operating profit/EBITDA/net income still below zero in TTM) and cash flow is currently pressured with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in TTM after a prior-period improvement, keeping the overall financial quality in the mid-to-lower range.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

53Neutral

Cash Flow

37Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.58M49.89M43.30M34.22M35.83M36.81M
Gross Profit26.41M18.91M17.69M10.31M5.19M9.43M
EBITDA-6.22M-2.98M-1.49M-9.84M-22.84M-22.96M
Net Income-2.79M-3.25M-1.82M-10.16M-40.34M-23.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets145.72M19.22M19.26M18.03M30.04M65.85M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.20M5.32M8.56M7.81M17.43M31.68M
Total Debt3.76M155.88K246.43K382.64K135.92K0
Total Liabilities134.69M7.76M6.06M4.62M7.53M3.79M
Stockholders Equity11.03M11.46M13.20M13.41M22.51M62.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.11M-2.86M840.73K-10.91M-15.47M-24.30M
Operating Cash Flow-1.06M-2.79M865.50K-10.77M-14.31M-22.10M
Investing Cash Flow-88.91M-76.45K-24.78K690.31K8.97M-12.64M
Financing Cash Flow108.99M-331.68K-33.38K-27.42K102.27K576.25K

Laird Superfood Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.40

Price Trends

50DMA3.32Negative
100DMA3.86Negative
200DMA3.37Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.23Negative
RSI31.06Neutral
STOCH10.11Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.40 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.73, below the 50-day MA of 3.32, and below the 200-day MA of 3.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LSF.

Laird Superfood Risk Analysis

Laird Superfood disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Laird Superfood reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Laird Superfood Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

LSF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LWAYLWAY68Neutral$335.82M31.0412.66%<0.01%25.59%1.38%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
NATRNATR50Neutral$212.38M15.4711.00%―6.77%34.53%
LSFLSF47Neutral$28.21M-6.28-11.36%―73.26%-239.94%
BYNDBYND45Neutral$132.98M0.36-154.97%―-14.11%70.22%
HAINHAIN40Underperform$13.18M-0.04-106.47%―-13.23%43.34%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%LSFBRIDLWAYNATRHAINBYNDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
LSF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LSFLaird Superfood, Inc.2.40-1.65-40.74%
BRIDBridgford Foods5.43-2.17-28.55%
LWAYLifeway Foods22.30-2.23-9.09%
NATRNature's Sunshine Products12.84-0.89-6.48%
HAINThe Hain Celestial0.15-0.92-85.98%
BYNDBeyond Meat7.15-28.55-79.97%

Laird Superfood Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Laird Superfood Appoints Veteran Executive to Board

Positive
Aug 19, 2026

On August 13, 2026, Laird Superfood&#8217;s board appointed veteran food and beverage executive Matthew Spanjers as a director, with his term running until the next annual shareholders&#8217; meeting. He was also named to the compensation committee,...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026