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Cheniere Energy
(NYSE:LNG)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$310.00
▲(11.19% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong cash generation offset by leverage risk) and a very constructive earnings update with raised 2026 guidance and strong operational execution. These positives are moderated by a rich valuation (high P/E with modest yield) and mixed technical conditions that point to neutral-to-soft near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Long-term contracted growth
The QatarEnergy agreements extend contracted LNG sales through 2054, supporting durable revenue visibility and utilization of Cheniere’s liquefaction assets. Their Henry Hub-linked structure also aligns customer pricing with input costs while reinforcing Cheniere’s position as a reliable global supplier.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Historically elevated leverage makes Cheniere more sensitive to volume changes, commodity conditions, and refinancing requirements than companies with steadier capitalization. Although equity has turned positive, debt obligations can restrict flexibility during weaker operating or market periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Long-term contracted growth
The QatarEnergy agreements extend contracted LNG sales through 2054, supporting durable revenue visibility and utilization of Cheniere’s liquefaction assets. Their Henry Hub-linked structure also aligns customer pricing with input costs while reinforcing Cheniere’s position as a reliable global supplier.
Read all positive factors
Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$58.52B
Dividend Yield0.78%
Average Volume (3M)1.77M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.1
Beta (1Y)0.13
Revenue Growth21.65%
EPS Growth-21.45%
CountryUS
Employees1,717
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)13.50
Shares Outstanding206,534,160
10 Day Avg. Volume1,297,910
30 Day Avg. Volume1,773,536
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)5.40
Price to Sales (P/S)2.18
P/FCF Ratio17.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.37
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.61
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit6.83
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.81
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$316.56Price Target Upside13.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering16
EPS Forecast (FY)10.59
Revenue Forecast (FY)$22.95B
Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cheniere Energy, Inc. is an energy infrastructure firm predominantly focused on liquefied natural gas (LNG) related activities within the United States. The company owns and operates two significant LNG terminals: one in Sabine Pass, located in Ca...
How the Company Makes Money
Cheniere primarily makes money by producing LNG at its liquefaction facilities and selling it under long-term contracts and through shorter-term/spot market transactions. Its core revenue model is anchored by long-term Sale and Purchase Agreements...
Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a decidedly positive operational and financial narrative: strong Q2 financials, a 20% YoY production increase, meaningful upward revisions to full-year EBITDA and DCF guidance, continued project execution (Stage 3 near completion, mid‑scale trains progressing) and a materially de-risked Sabine Phase 1 via a lump-sum EPC. The company also took steps to reduce accounting-driven earnings volatility and returned substantial capital to shareholders. Offsetting these positives are significant macro and regional headwinds — the Strait of Hormuz disruption, a sizeable Middle East supply loss (~18 Mt), a global exports decline (~3 Mt YoY), an ~11 bcm European storage deficit and lower Chinese imports (~10% YoY) — which amplify market volatility and competitive dynamics. On balance, the company’s strong execution, upgraded guidance and balance-sheet actions outweigh the macro/lifecycle risks described during the call.Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.8 billion, distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.2 billion and net income of about $3.1 billion (up nearly $1.5 billion vs. 2Q 2025).
Negative Updates
Severe Middle East Disruption and Supply Loss
Effective closure/constraint of Strait of Hormuz materially disrupted LNG supply; reduction in Qatar and UAE exports represented ~18 million tonnes lower LNG supply during the quarter and contributed to a global exports decline of ~3 million tonnes year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.8 billion, distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.2 billion and net income of about $3.1 billion (up nearly $1.5 billion vs. 2Q 2025).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cheniere raised its full‑year 2026 outlook, now guiding consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $7.9–$8.4 billion (midpoint +$650 million) and distributable cash flow (DCF) of $5.3–$5.8 billion (midpoint +$550 million), while maintaining CQP distribution guidance of $3.10–$3.40 per common unit; the company tightened its 2026 production range to 53–54 million tonnes (≈+0.5 Mt at the midpoint) and says under 1 million tonnes (~50 TBtu) of 2026 volumes remain unsold, with a $1 move in market margins estimated to change full‑year EBITDA by less than $50 million. Management cited Q2 results that underpin the raise—consolidated adjusted EBITDA ≈ $1.8 billion, DCF ≈ $1.2 billion, net income ≈ $3.1 billion, and production of 184 cargoes / 672 TBtu (up 20% YoY)—plus operational drivers (Stage 3 >98% complete, Train 6 substantial completion, imminent Train 7 commissioning), optimization and debottlenecking; they also noted capital deployment in Q2 (declared dividend $0.555/share, repurchased ~2.2 million shares for $550 million, and funded ≈$1.1 billion of growth CapEx — ~$200 million equity / ~$900 million debt) and cautioned that a $500 million guidance bandwidth remains due to ramp timing, year‑end cargo timing and market volatility.Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
77
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 22.25B | 19.63B | 15.78B | 20.28B | 33.76B | 17.64B |
| Gross Profit | 11.78B | 5.69B | 5.29B | 8.12B | 11.53B | 5.62B |
| EBITDA | 8.19B | 11.18B | 7.53B | 16.91B | 5.62B | 171.00M |
| Net Income | 2.92B | 5.33B | 3.25B | 9.88B | 1.43B | -2.34B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 47.97B | 49.13B | 43.86B | 43.08B | 41.27B | 39.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.52B | 1.58B | 2.64B | 4.07B | 1.35B | 1.40B |
| Total Debt | 26.56B | 28.61B | 25.59B | 26.32B | 27.95B | 31.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 36.48B | 36.05B | 33.80B | 34.06B | 41.44B | 39.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.19B | 7.92B | 5.70B | 5.06B | -2.97B | -2.57B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.04B | 2.46B | 3.16B | 6.30B | 8.69B | 1.50B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.14B | 5.54B | 5.39B | 8.42B | 10.52B | 2.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.50B | -2.89B | -2.28B | -2.20B | -1.84B | -912.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.14B | -4.25B | -4.45B | -4.18B | -8.01B | -1.82B |
Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
278.80
Price Trends
277.47
Positive
263.32
Positive
251.96
Positive
Market Momentum
3.00
Negative
56.33
Neutral
59.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 278.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 277.17, above the 50-day MA of 277.47, and above the 200-day MA of 251.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNG.
Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $31.29B | 10.66 | 103.64% | 5.13% | 15.43% | 34.31% | |
71 Outperform | $31.53B | 9.45 | 46.30% | 0.72% | 100.72% | 153.27% | |
68 Neutral | $58.52B | 21.05 | 47.41% | 0.78% | 21.65% | -21.45% | |
67 Neutral | $4.57B | 28.12 | 8.62% | 2.22% | 94.64% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
61 Neutral | $3.71B | 22.16 | 6.94% | 1.00% | 48.97% | 3.43% | |
41 Neutral | $61.37M | -0.01 | -1737.94% | 3.40% | -37.46% | -77.39% |
* Energy Sector Average
LNG
Cheniere Energy
284.22
64.84
29.56%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
63.76
12.20
23.66%
GLNG
Golar LNG
44.99
7.43
19.77%
NFE
New Fortress Energy
3.76
-84.74
-95.75%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
33.02
7.57
29.75%
VG
Venture Global, Inc. Class A
12.85
3.29
34.40%
Cheniere Energy Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Affirms LNG Strategy
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
On July 28, 2026, Cheniere Energy’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per common share, reinforcing its shareholder return strategy as a major U.S. LNG exporter. The dividend will be paid on August 18, 2026 to shareholders o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.