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Kinder Morgan (KMI)
NYSE:KMI
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Kinder Morgan (KMI) AI Stock Analysis

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KMI

Kinder Morgan

(NYSE:KMI)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(8.36% Upside)
Kinder Morgan's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting robust natural gas demand and strategic project developments. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and the valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The attractive dividend yield provides a buffer, but market momentum remains a concern.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Kinder Morgan's robust cash generation capabilities enhance its ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial stability, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Natural Gas Segment Outperformance
The natural gas segment's strong performance underscores Kinder Morgan's strategic focus and competitive advantage in a growing market, driving future revenue growth.
Robust Project Pipeline
A strong project pipeline positions Kinder Morgan for sustained growth, leveraging its infrastructure to capitalize on increasing energy demands and regulatory support.
Negative Factors
CO2 Segment Decline
The decline in the CO2 segment highlights challenges in diversifying revenue streams, potentially impacting overall growth and profitability if not addressed.
Rising Debt Levels
Reliance on debt financing can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful management to maintain balance sheet health.
Weak RNG Volumes and RIN Prices
Weak RNG volumes and RIN prices pose challenges to earnings stability, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in renewable energy segments.

Kinder Morgan (KMI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kinder Morgan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipeline, and underground storage systems; natural gas gathering systems and natural gas processing and treating facilities; natural gas liquids fractionation facilities and transportation systems; and liquefied natural gas liquefaction and storage facilities. The Products Pipelines segment owns and operates refined petroleum products, and crude oil and condensate pipelines; and associated product terminals and petroleum pipeline transmix facilities. The Terminals segment owns and/or operates liquids and bulk terminals that stores and handles various commodities, including gasoline, diesel fuel, chemicals, ethanol, metals, and petroleum coke; and owns tankers. The CO2 segment produces, transports, and markets CO2 to recovery and production crude oil from mature oil fields; owns interests in/or operates oil fields and gasoline processing plants; and operates a crude oil pipeline system in West Texas, as well as owns and operates RNG and LNG facilities. It owns and operates approximately 83,000 miles of pipelines and 143 terminals. The company was formerly known as Kinder Morgan Holdco LLC and changed its name to Kinder Morgan, Inc. in February 2011. Kinder Morgan, Inc. was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyKinder Morgan generates revenue primarily through its fee-based business model, which comprises several key revenue streams. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment is the largest contributor, earning money by charging customers for the transportation of natural gas through its extensive pipeline network. The CO2 segment generates revenue through the sale of carbon dioxide used for enhanced oil recovery. The Terminals segment earns income by providing storage and handling services for various liquid and dry products. Additionally, the Products Pipelines segment contributes revenue through the transportation of refined products. Kinder Morgan also benefits from long-term contracts with customers, which provide stable cash flows. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the energy sector further enhance its earnings potential.

Kinder Morgan Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Net Oil Production
Average Net Oil Production
Measures the average amount of oil produced, reflecting operational efficiency and the company's capacity to meet market demand.
Chart InsightsKinder Morgan's average net oil production has been on a declining trend since 2019, with a notable drop post-2023. This suggests potential operational challenges or strategic shifts away from oil production. The absence of recent earnings call insights leaves the reasons for this decline unclear, but investors should monitor for any strategic pivots or external factors impacting production levels. The slight uptick in late 2024 might indicate stabilization efforts, though the overall downward trajectory remains a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kinder Morgan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call portrayed a generally positive outlook for Kinder Morgan, driven by strong earnings growth, a robust project pipeline, and improved financial metrics. However, challenges remain in the RNG market and CO2 segment. Overall, the positive aspects, particularly in the natural gas segment, outweigh the lowlights.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
EBITDA grew by 6% and adjusted EPS increased by 16% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in the natural gas segment and the Outrigger acquisition.
Natural Gas Segment Outperformance
The natural gas segment, accounting for two-thirds of the business, exceeded budget expectations, excluding the Outrigger acquisition. Transport volumes were up 6%, and gathering volumes increased by 9% compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Robust Project Pipeline
Kinder Morgan is actively pursuing over $10 billion in potential projects, primarily in natural gas, with a current backlog of $9.3 billion.
Dividend Increase
Declared a quarterly dividend of $0.2925 per share, representing a 2% increase over the 2024 dividend.
Improved Balance Sheet and Credit Ratings
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 3.9x. Fitch upgraded the senior unsecured rating to BBB+, with positive outlooks from S&P and Moody's.
Federal Regulatory Support
Benefiting from a more supportive federal regulatory process for project approval, aiding in expansion efforts.
Negative Updates
Weak RNG Volumes and RIN Prices
Lower than budgeted D3 RIN prices and RNG volumes negatively impacted earnings. Although RNG volumes improved, RINs prices remained weak.
CO2 Segment Decline
CO2 segment experienced a 14% decline in CO2 volumes and a 4% drop in oil production volumes compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Crude and Condensate Volumes Decrease
Crude and condensate volumes dropped by 3% due to taking Double H out of service for the NGL conversion project.
Company Guidance
During the Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call for Kinder Morgan, the company provided guidance emphasizing the robust demand for natural gas driven by LNG feedgas needs and electricity demands, particularly from AI data centers. S&P's Commodity Insights estimates a 130% increase in natural gas demand by 2030, reaching 31-32 Bcf per day. Kinder Morgan highlighted its strong cash generation and strategic positioning with over $9 billion in approved projects, and a backlog of $9.3 billion supported by take-or-pay contracts. The company reported a 6% increase in EBITDA and a 16% growth in adjusted EPS year-on-year, supported by the Outrigger acquisition and strong natural gas segment performance. Looking ahead, Kinder Morgan is pursuing over $10 billion in potential projects, primarily in natural gas, with internal projections estimating a 28 Bcf per day increase in natural gas demand by 2030. The company's financial strength is underscored by a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.9x and an upgrade to BBB+ by Fitch.

Kinder Morgan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kinder Morgan demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow generation. While the company maintains healthy profit margins, there is a slight decline in operational efficiency. The balance sheet shows a moderate level of leverage, typical for the industry, but there is potential to optimize the capital structure further.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Kinder Morgan's income statement shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.95% in the TTM period, indicating a positive trajectory after previous fluctuations. The company maintains healthy margins with a gross profit margin of 35.18% and a net profit margin of 16.62%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06, which is typical for the industry but indicates a reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is stable at 8.89%, showing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 42.50%, suggesting a balanced capital structure, though there is room for improvement in reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 106.5% in the TTM period, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.45 indicates robust cash flow relative to earnings, and the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.49 suggests efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.41B15.07B15.16B19.55B17.53B11.48B
Gross Profit5.77B5.53B5.13B5.50B6.37B4.28B
EBITDA7.81B7.63B7.25B7.03B5.85B4.41B
Net Income2.73B2.61B2.39B2.55B1.78B119.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets72.32B71.41B71.02B70.08B70.42B71.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.00M88.00M83.00M745.00M1.14B1.18B
Total Debt32.58B31.67B31.89B31.57B33.21B34.58B
Total Liabilities40.28B39.54B39.29B37.96B38.49B39.41B
Stockholders Equity30.74B30.53B30.31B30.74B30.82B31.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.75B3.01B4.15B3.35B4.43B2.84B
Operating Cash Flow5.74B5.63B6.49B4.97B5.71B4.55B
Investing Cash Flow-3.47B-2.63B-4.17B-2.17B-2.31B-911.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.26B-2.89B-3.01B-3.15B-3.46B-2.64B

Kinder Morgan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.84
Price Trends
50DMA
26.90
Negative
100DMA
27.01
Negative
200DMA
26.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Positive
RSI
38.61
Neutral
STOCH
11.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.56, below the 50-day MA of 26.90, and below the 200-day MA of 26.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KMI.

Kinder Morgan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$52.18B12.1531.38%7.54%4.67%2.07%
75
Outperform
$65.43B11.447.15%-6.41%
74
Outperform
$40.47B11.8317.14%6.41%58.76%13.74%
70
Outperform
$56.81B12.7713.73%7.71%-3.65%9.69%
68
Neutral
$57.49B21.188.87%4.51%8.54%7.22%
68
Neutral
$69.01B29.2419.00%3.43%11.48%-17.82%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KMI
Kinder Morgan
25.84
0.60
2.38%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.55
0.35
2.16%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
30.22
2.23
7.97%
OKE
Oneok
64.31
-32.78
-33.76%
WMB
Williams Co
56.51
3.05
5.71%
MPLX
MPLX
51.20
8.21
19.10%

Kinder Morgan Corporate Events

Kinder Morgan’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 24, 2025

Kinder Morgan’s recent earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, driven by strong earnings growth, a robust project pipeline, and improved financial metrics. Despite challenges in the RNG market and CO2 segment, the positive aspects, particularly in the natural gas segment, outweigh the lowlights.

Kinder Morgan Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 23, 2025

Kinder Morgan, Inc. is a leading energy infrastructure company in North America, specializing in the transportation and storage of natural gas, refined petroleum products, crude oil, and other commodities. The company operates an extensive network of pipelines and terminals, providing critical energy services across the continent.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Participate in Wolfe Conference
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Wolfe Utilities, Midstream & Clean Energy Conference scheduled for September 30, 2025. The company plans to discuss its business operations and strategies, with materials and a live webcast available on its website, indicating a proactive engagement with stakeholders and industry peers.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Hold with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Present at Barclays Conference
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Barclays Energy-Power Conference on September 3, 2025, where company representatives will discuss its business operations. The presentation will be available via live and archived webcast on Kinder Morgan’s website, potentially impacting stakeholder engagement and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Kinder Morgan to Attend Citi Natural Resources Conference
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Kinder Morgan announced its participation in the Citi 2025 Natural Resources Conference scheduled for August 12-13, 2025. This participation is aimed at discussing the company’s business and affairs, with materials to be made available on their website prior to the event, highlighting its proactive engagement with stakeholders and potential impact on its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (KMI) stock is a Buy with a $28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kinder Morgan stock, see the KMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025