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Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA
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Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

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LILA

Liberty Global LiLAC

(NASDAQ:LILA)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(6.52% Upside)
Liberty Global LiLAC's overall stock score is primarily impacted by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and ongoing losses. However, the technical analysis shows moderate bullish momentum, and the earnings call provides some optimism with strong subscriber growth and strategic risk management. The poor valuation metrics further weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Subscriber Growth
Strong postpaid subscriber growth indicates effective customer acquisition strategies and potential for increased revenue through expanded service adoption.
Revenue Growth
The return to year-over-year revenue growth suggests successful business strategies and resilience in market demand, supporting long-term financial stability.
Cost Management
Improved OIBDA margins reflect effective cost management, enhancing profitability and providing a buffer against financial volatility.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Revenue
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and could affect long-term profitability and competitive positioning.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory setbacks can hinder strategic initiatives and partnerships, potentially limiting growth and market expansion opportunities.

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Global LiLAC (LILA) is a leading telecommunications and entertainment company, primarily operating in Latin America and the Caribbean. As a subsidiary of Liberty Global, LiLAC offers a wide range of services, including video, broadband internet, and voice services, catering to residential and business customers. The company is known for its strong focus on customer satisfaction and innovative service offerings, which include advanced digital entertainment platforms and high-speed internet access.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through several key streams, including subscription fees from its broadband, video, and voice services. The company earns significant income from its cable and telecommunications services, which attract customers through bundled offerings that combine multiple services at competitive prices. Additionally, LiLAC benefits from advertising revenues generated through its video platforms and partnerships with content providers, allowing for advertising placements. The company may also realize revenue through strategic partnerships and joint ventures that expand its service offerings and market reach. Overall, its diversified service portfolio, coupled with a strong customer base, plays a crucial role in driving its earnings.

Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong postpaid subscriber growth and revenue increases in several segments, including a significant parametric insurance payout to mitigate hurricane damages. However, challenges include the impact of Hurricane Melissa, a decline in Puerto Rico revenue, cash flow difficulties, and a regulatory setback in Costa Rica. Despite these challenges, the company remains optimistic about future growth and operational improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Postpaid Additions
Added over 100,000 postpaid net adds across the group, driven by Costa Rica and fixed mobile convergence efforts, marking the strongest quarter in three years.
Revenue Growth
Reported $1.1 billion in Q3 revenue, marking a return to year-over-year growth driven by better trends in B2B and residential revenue.
Adjusted OIBDA Growth
Posted adjusted OIBDA of $433 million, reflecting a rebased year-over-year growth of 7% in the third quarter.
Parametric Insurance Payout
Parametric insurance program expected to mitigate losses from Hurricane Melissa with an $81 million payout expected before year-end.
Commercial Strategy Success in Costa Rica
Added almost 130,000 postpaid subscribers, a 13% expansion on Q4 2024 base, driven by prepaid to postpaid migration.
Negative Updates
Hurricane Melissa Impact
Significant damage in Jamaica with substantial disruptions, though full impact assessment is ongoing.
Decline in Puerto Rico Revenue
Reported a 5% year-over-year rebased decline in Puerto Rico revenue, primarily due to subscriber losses from the mobile network migration.
Cash Flow Challenges
Adjusted FCF before partner distributions was $16 million in Q3, a decline year-over-year due to challenges in collections, particularly from government customers.
Regulatory Setback in Costa Rica
Costa Rica's regulator, Sutel, issued a resolution prohibiting the proposed transaction with Millicom, leading to an appeal.
Company Guidance
In the Liberty Latin America's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call, the company reported robust performance with key metrics indicating positive trends. The group added over 100,000 postpaid net additions, marking the strongest quarter in three years, driven by Costa Rica and prepaid to postpaid migrations. Revenue reached $1.1 billion, representing year-over-year growth, significantly aided by improvements in business-to-business (B2B) contracts and government-related deals. The company also posted an adjusted OIBDA of $433 million, reflecting a 7% year-over-year growth, and enhanced its adjusted OIBDA margin by 22% through cost initiatives. Despite challenges like Hurricane Melissa, which impacted operations in Jamaica, Liberty Latin America remains committed to delivering organic growth and cash flow generation. The company also highlighted a parametric insurance payout of $81 million to mitigate hurricane-related damages, underlining its strategic risk management approach.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Global LiLAC faces significant financial challenges. The income statement reflects declining revenues and substantial losses, while the balance sheet shows high leverage and negative equity returns. Although cash flow generation has improved, it remains insufficient to offset net losses. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Liberty Global LiLAC's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data reveals a negative net profit margin of -26.61%, indicating substantial losses. Revenue has declined sharply by 70.5% TTM, reflecting a concerning trend. While the gross profit margin remains healthy at 53.21%, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, at -13.89% and 7.21% respectively, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet presents a high debt-to-equity ratio of 14.28 TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is negative at -117.99%, reflecting poor profitability. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited shareholder equity relative to total assets, which could pose risks in financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows mixed results. The free cash flow growth rate is positive at 38.39% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.39, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, suggesting that cash flows are not fully covering net losses, which could impact liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.43B4.46B4.51B4.81B4.81B3.76B
Gross Profit2.35B2.96B3.00B3.08B3.08B2.50B
EBITDA877.70M964.60M1.55B1.34B1.17B620.40M
Net Income-734.40M-657.00M-73.60M-170.70M-440.60M-682.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0012.80B13.59B13.58B15.37B15.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00654.30M988.60M781.00M956.70M894.20M
Total Debt8.37B8.17B8.26B7.96B7.65B8.42B
Total Liabilities10.89B11.17B11.28B11.02B12.47B11.74B
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.12B1.76B1.92B2.22B2.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow814.90M215.90M312.00M208.70M279.90M74.30M
Operating Cash Flow742.60M756.30M897.00M868.80M1.02B640.10M
Investing Cash Flow-592.80M-688.50M-615.80M-1.12B-1.27B-2.45B
Financing Cash Flow-152.90M-386.40M-62.40M-29.20M426.60M271.10M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.98
Price Trends
50DMA
8.00
Negative
100DMA
7.48
Positive
200DMA
6.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
49.59
Neutral
STOCH
32.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.05, below the 50-day MA of 8.00, and above the 200-day MA of 6.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis

Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$1.76B14.6822.59%3.46%7.30%21.31%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
55
Neutral
$1.39B-9.77%3.08%-18.28%-42.53%
54
Neutral
$1.64B-79.15%-0.83%-25.72%
50
Neutral
$1.57B-1.32-79.15%-0.83%-25.72%
40
Underperform
$899.80M-4.19%-982.67%
39
Underperform
$1.09B-136.94%16.13%-6.48%-588.01%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
7.98
1.04
14.99%
CCOI
Cogent Comms
20.62
-52.63
-71.85%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.95
0.88
42.51%
IRDM
Iridium Communications
16.74
-12.36
-42.47%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
8.07
1.22
17.81%
ATUS
Altice Usa
1.97
-0.82
-29.39%

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Liberty Latin America Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Liberty Latin America Ltd. is a leading communications company operating in over 20 countries across Latin America and the Caribbean, providing digital video, broadband internet, telephony, and mobile services under various consumer brands. In its latest earnings report for Q3 2025, Liberty Latin America showcased a strong commercial momentum, achieving year-over-year revenue growth and the highest quarterly mobile postpaid additions in three years. The company also returned to positive operating income, with a 7% year-over-year increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Liberty Latin America reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with notable year-over-year revenue growth driven by its mobile business, particularly in Costa Rica. The company achieved its highest quarterly mobile postpaid additions in three years and returned to positive operating income, with a 7% YoY increase in rebased Adjusted OIBDA. Despite the challenges posed by Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica, Liberty Latin America is actively working on infrastructure repairs and expects to receive insurance proceeds to aid recovery efforts. The company remains optimistic about its financial performance in the upcoming quarters, focusing on cost reduction and unlocking stock value.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Q3 2025 Results Announcement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, after the NASDAQ market closes, with an investor call scheduled for the following day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC Sets CEO Performance Goals
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced that the vesting of performance share units (PSUs) awarded to CEO Balan Nair has been conditioned on achieving specific performance objectives for 2025. The company’s compensation committee has set these objectives to include strategic initiatives, capital allocation, and risk management improvements, with potential vesting of 156,250 PSUs if Nair’s performance is deemed ‘strong’ by March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Global LiLAC Secures $250M Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Liberty Global LiLAC‘s subsidiaries entered into a Credit Agreement for a $250 million secured facility, with $200 million drawn and $50 million available over the next year, maturing in 2030. This financing, secured by Puerto Rican assets, aims to support Liberty Puerto Rico’s operations and future investments, aligning with strategic liquidity goals announced earlier in 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases Q2 2025 Financial Report
Neutral
Aug 28, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica released its financial report for the quarter ending June 30, 2025. This announcement, made available on the Liberty Latin America website, highlights the company’s ongoing financial transparency and its commitment to keeping stakeholders informed about its operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Liberty Global LiLAC Approves Executive Retention Bonuses
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Liberty Latin America Ltd.’s compensation committee approved cash retention bonuses for key officers involved in strategic initiatives announced on August 7, 2025. The bonuses, awarded to executives Christopher Noyes and John Winter, are 2.5 times their annual salaries and will vest over three years, with conditions on employment continuity.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment with Growth Potential
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company demonstrated substantial growth in subscriber numbers and adjusted OIBDA, it also faced challenges, including revenue declines and cash flow issues. The call highlighted strong potential for future growth, particularly in Panama and Costa Rica, while addressing ongoing challenges in Puerto Rico.

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A: Strategic Moves and Financial Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Liberty Global Plc Lilac Class A, operating under the Liberty Latin America umbrella, is a leading communications company providing digital video, broadband internet, telephony, and mobile services across Latin America and the Caribbean. The company also operates a comprehensive subsea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network connecting over 30 markets in the region.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Liberty Latin America announced its financial results for Q2 and H1 2025, highlighting continued growth in broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers, with over 100,000 net additions in H1. Despite an operating loss of $205 million, the company achieved an 8% year-over-year increase in Adjusted OIBDA, driven by cost efficiencies and growth in key markets. Liberty Latin America plans to separate Liberty Puerto Rico to unlock shareholder value, while its remaining operations are expected to benefit from strong infrastructure investments and generate substantial cash flow.

The most recent analyst rating on (LILA) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Liberty Global LiLAC stock, see the LILA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025